AFL Premiership betting

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AFL Premiership betting

Postby Booney » Fri Feb 28, 2020 9:59 am

Thought I'd keep track of the premiership betting from week to week. Seems to have been some decent fluctuations from prior to Marsh Series 1 to Marsh Series 2.

After Marsh Series 1 :

Richmond $4.50
WCE $5.75
Collingwood $8
GWS $8.50
Brisbane $11
Geelong $12
Bulldogs $12
Hawthorn $19
Melbourne $26
Essendon $34
Port Adelaide $34
Carlton $41
North $41
St Kilda $41
Adelaide $51
Sydney $51
Fremantle $61
Gold Coast $251
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Re: AFL Premiership betting

Postby Lightning McQueen » Fri Feb 28, 2020 10:17 am

Booney wrote:Thought I'd keep track of the premiership betting from week to week. Seems to have been some decent fluctuations from prior to Marsh Series 1 to Marsh Series 2.

After Marsh Series 1 :

Richmond $4.50
WCE $5.75
Collingwood $8
GWS $8.50
Brisbane $11
Geelong $12
Bulldogs $12
Hawthorn $19
Melbourne $26
Essendon $34
Port Adelaide $34
Carlton $41
North $41
St Kilda $41
Adelaide $51
Sydney $51
Fremantle $61
Gold Coast $251


mmmm
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Re: AFL Premiership betting

Postby LMA » Fri Feb 28, 2020 10:34 am

Bit of hype around about the Dogs chances, probably due to CD rankings recently. WCE for mine, they have some serious cattle.
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Re: AFL Premiership betting

Postby Lightning McQueen » Fri Feb 28, 2020 10:38 am

LMA wrote:Bit of hype around about the Dogs chances, probably due to CD rankings recently. WCE for mine, they have some serious cattle.

And a favourable draw.
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Re: AFL Premiership betting

Postby The Bedge » Fri Feb 28, 2020 11:18 am

Booney wrote:Thought I'd keep track of the premiership betting from week to week. Seems to have been some decent fluctuations from prior to Marsh Series 1 to Marsh Series 2.

Carn mate, could show the tracking of the fluctuations! ;)
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Re: AFL Premiership betting

Postby Lightning McQueen » Fri Feb 28, 2020 11:40 am

The Bedge wrote:
Booney wrote:Thought I'd keep track of the premiership betting from week to week. Seems to have been some decent fluctuations from prior to Marsh Series 1 to Marsh Series 2.

Carn mate, could show the tracking of the fluctuations! ;)

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Re: AFL Premiership betting

Postby mots02 » Fri Feb 28, 2020 11:47 am

The Bedge wrote:
Booney wrote:Thought I'd keep track of the premiership betting from week to week. Seems to have been some decent fluctuations from prior to Marsh Series 1 to Marsh Series 2.

Carn mate, could show the tracking of the fluctuations! ;)


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Re: AFL Premiership betting

Postby JK » Fri Feb 28, 2020 1:53 pm

Lightning McQueen wrote:
The Bedge wrote:
Booney wrote:Thought I'd keep track of the premiership betting from week to week. Seems to have been some decent fluctuations from prior to Marsh Series 1 to Marsh Series 2.

Carn mate, could show the tracking of the fluctuations! ;)

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Re: AFL Premiership betting

Postby Armchair expert » Fri Feb 28, 2020 2:01 pm

Tigers should be $1.50
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Re: AFL Premiership betting

Postby gadj1976 » Fri Feb 28, 2020 10:37 pm

WCE for me!

Cannot for the life of me seeing a team that got flogged in a GF being less than 10 bucks going into the following season.
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Re: AFL Premiership betting

Postby gadj1976 » Sun Jul 12, 2020 11:35 pm

gadj1976 wrote:WCE for me!

Cannot for the life of me seeing a team that got flogged in a GF being less than 10 bucks going into the following season.


And they are outside the 8 after rd 6.
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Re: AFL Premiership betting

Postby Corona Man » Mon Jul 13, 2020 6:58 am

Can the Coleman be won this year by a player bagging 35 goals for the season, it’s about the pace so far.
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Re: AFL Premiership betting

Postby Booney » Mon Jul 13, 2020 9:08 am

After Marsh Series 1 / After 6 rounds
Richmond $4.50 / 8 + 3.50
WCE $5.75 / 7 +1.25
Collingwood $8 / 7 - 1
GWS $8.50 / 6.50 - 2
Brisbane $11 / 9 -2
Geelong $12 / 9 -3
Bulldogs $12 / 21 + 9
Hawthorn $19 / 29 +10
Melbourne $26 / 51 + 25
Essendon $34 / 19 - 15
Port Adelaide $34 / 7.50 - 26.50
Carlton $41 / 41 -
North $41 / 81 + 40
St Kilda $41 / 26 -15
Adelaide $51 / 1501 + 1450
Sydney $51 / 201 + 150
Fremantle $61 / 126 + 65
Gold Coast $251 / 101 - 150

Adelaide the biggest + 1450

GC the biggest - 150
PAFC. Forever.

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Re: AFL Premiership betting

Postby Trader » Mon Jul 13, 2020 10:50 am

Same stats as above, however reflected as a portion of the market share:

Port Adelaide / 0.0249 / 0.1098 / +0.0849
St Kilda / 0.0207 / 0.0549 / +0.0342
GWS / 0.0998 / 0.1267 / +0.0269
Geelong / 0.0707 / 0.0915 / +0.0208
Essendon / 0.0249 / 0.0434 / +0.0185
Brisbane / 0.0771 / 0.0915 / +0.0144
Collingwood / 0.106 / 0.1177 / +0.0117
Gold Coast / 0.0034 / 0.0082 / +0.0048

North / 0.0207 / 0.0206 / -0.0001
Carlton / 0.0207 / 0.0201 / -0.0006
Fremantle / 0.0139 / 0.0065 / -0.0074
Sydney / 0.0166 / 0.0041 / -0.0125
Adelaide / 0.0166 / 0.0005 / -0.0161
Hawthorn / 0.0446 / 0.0284 / -0.0162
Melbourne / 0.0326 / 0.0162 / -0.0164
WCE / 0.1475 / 0.1177 / -0.0298
Bulldogs / 0.0707 / 0.0392 / -0.0315
Richmond / 0.1885 / 0.103 / -0.0855
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