globe derby 2/4/2007

[bayman]

gdp monday,

r1 1 looks winner from 2,3,4,5 with rough place hopes to 6,8
r2 8 a special this is one of them that trialled very well, from 2,5,6 with 9,10 next best
r3 very open with chances 2,3,4,6,7,8,10 i have 2 top pick
r4 7 a special this is the other one that trialled brilliantly (it beat among others cullens hope on its merits) for multis 1,3,4,5,9,10
r5 another good thing in 1 (goes well fresh) for multis 2,7,8,9
r6 9 is a graded certainty with main dangers 1,2 with next best 7,10
r7 1 likely leader & back to 1800m looks the one from 2,7,8,9 with next best 5,10
r8 another trial tip (2nd handed but from a good judge) in 8 only danger is 9 with next best 2,4,5
r9 open race with main chances 1,3,4,9 top pick 4 next best 2,5,7
r10 another open race with chances to 1,2,4,5,6,8,10 but i like 4 e/w as it was unlucky last start & is racing well in its last couple

suggested bet(s)
r1 no 1 win
r2 no 8 win
r4 no 7 win
r5 no 1 win
r6 no 9 win
r8 no 8 win

they all look like winning but can i tip 6/10 ? nuh one or two of them will get beaten i spose

betfair lay
r10 no 2 (after last week i dont think it can run out 11 furlongs)

good luck on the punt & mal ring me if your going to the track as i'll get you to do some business for me with my pal dammarrell

[SCD]

Agree with a lot of Bayman's tips today - looks like a good days punting might be coming up

R1 - 1 a special from everything except 7 (2 a very good place hope - on it's win over Carnival Rose)
R2 - I don't know the 8 - so on raced ones main hopes is 2,3,6,10 - but the 8 will be hard to beat with ability
R3 - I like the 10 here from 2,4,6,7,8, but down in grade and has learnt to trot more consistent.. 10 should win
R4 - 1 and 7 have both trialled well.. I expect 2 to lead and hand up to 7 (making it a special) from 1,2,3,5
R5 - 1 a special from 2,7,8,9
R6 - 2,9 the main hopes (1 will lead), and main place hope along with 7,8,10
R7 - 1 is freshened, back to better distance.. should win - except for the driver change, making it an open race, so other main hopes are 2,4,7,8,10
R8 - 8 + 9 a great quinella with place hopes to 2,4,6, and if you have enough the 10 should improve, better driver.. but seriously - good to see the battlers with a chance to win a race.. but where's my old Favourite??? Sherwood Ralph - even you deserve a start in this race!!
R9 - 1,2,3,6,9 the main hopes in a tough race
R10 - 1 to lead, so hopes are 1,2,6,8,10

Suggested Bets
R1 - 1 w
R3 - 10 w
R5 - 1 w
R6 - 2 e/w
R8 - 8+9 quin

Betfair Bets
R1 - 4 bad driver change and can't beat the 1 here
R3 - 2 when bussled out the gate from a trot, gallops... would risk it in a harder grade here.
R5 - 9 - 1800m suits, but needs a front row draw..
R6 - 1 Raced like a crab at Mildura, and although on the pegs, - can't sprint home as quick as 2 or 9...
R9 - 9 very disappointing last start + another start for Fitzgerald, might just start to "go off" after leaving the Thompson barn..

Good luck and hope we can keep up the good punting..

[mal]

Absolute smorgasboard meeting, lots of stand outs
as suggested by the 2 gurus who have put in immaculate previews

EARLY MAL

R1-1 STANDSBY CHASM
if leads would win this and i think it might lead
WIN

R5-1 SAVED A CORKA
this one is a malpet, simply leads and wins
I have it $1-30
Bookie will have it $1-20
TAB will have it $1-30
Paper probably a crazy $1-90 and we can all back it in the million $ challenge

R6
a conflict of interest here
SCD has declared [2] YOUNG WALTON ew
BAYMAN has declared [9] UNIQUE BABE for the win
MALS VERDICT
----------------

If [2] crosses the [1] it would be the one to beat
IF[1] leads the [2] then the [9] would be the one to beat

R6-9 UNIQUE BABE
Will run a good race irrespective of what happens
EW
If [1] is scratched the quinella 2/9 instead

Good luck

[mal]

LATE MAL
-----------

After seeing the prices today this is my final assessment

R1-1 STANDLEY CHASM[$3-50]
EW SPECIAL

R5-1 SAVED A CORKA[$1-20]
the paper finally got a price right
WIN but too short too back
NO BET

R6-9 UNIQUE BABE {$2-40]
with YOUNG WALTON scratched it will be too short now
WIN but too short to back
NO BET

R9-4 ELYSESS CREST [$3-00]
best horse by a mile
EW special

r10-4 KARION KWEENY [$13]
nice 3rd last start
PLACE

_______________________________

R7-1 THE DALMATION is having its 3rd run in a week TAKE CARE

[SCD]

LATE MAL
-----------

R7-1 THE DALMATION is having its 3rd run in a week TAKE CARE

Mal - THE DALMATION hasn't raced since last Monday (to my reckoning) and the horse goes much better off a 7 - 10 day break (for reasons I won't go into here) - so 1800m suits, barrier 1 suits.. just the driver concerns me.. but think it's a great e/w chance today...

[mal]

THE DALMATION
your right scd, well spotted

2ND OF 6 KAP 18/03
3RD OF 9 GDP 24/03
7TH OF 7 GDP 26/03


did have its 3rd run in a week between 18-26 march[and ran last ]
having its 4th run in 15 days today

been freshened but might still be a risky propostion after the 3 hard runs last week

SCD what do you know about
R8-8 MISDGOUGH
Its a NZ horse with very ordinary form
But with WEBSTER on it it might be favourite on course ?
If its $1-10 on early TAB markets I will have my answer
I think the $4-00 in the paper today might be excessive if ready
BAYMAN tipped it for a special, Im gussing he knows it goes ok
You have tipped it as well
Help me I need guidance

[mal]

STANDLEY CHASM WINS
PAPER $3-50
TAB $1-50

This is how we kill 3 birds with one stone in one race

1 paper $3-50 tab $1-50

2 jimmy jaques on the betting about 30 seconds before the jump of this race
" THE TOP 4 ARE ALL OVERS ON THE TAB COMPARED TO THE BETTING RING,
THIS HAPPENS TO BE A REGULAR OCCURENCE."

3 STANDLEY CHASM THE $1-50 FAV wins the race
the 4th favourite MUCHOS GRATIAS is well driven to follow the leader
and runs on well to run a clear second at $12-40
yes our man SIMON JONES runs 2nd on the roughie
if only trainers would give him better drives..........
PS jimmy jaques commenting on JONES
" JONES GREAT DRIVE FRIDAY NIGHT AT PORT PIRIE IS....."

3 birds with one stone

[SCD]

SCD what do you know about
R8-8 MISDGOUGH
Its a NZ horse with very ordinary form
But with WEBSTER on it it might be favourite on course ?
If its $1-10 on early TAB markets I will have my answer
I think the $4-00 in the paper today might be excessive if ready
BAYMAN tipped it for a special, Im gussing he knows it goes ok
You have tipped it as well
Help me I need guidance

Horse has trialled well, in a good barn (in good form) and let's be honest - any NZ horse with a scrap of ability should be winning an R0 non-winners race, looks a nice enough horse in the making - should win his fair share of races - only danger is the other NZ horse number 9 from another good stable, so expect these two to be a good quinella bet. and a good bet that Damarell bets $1.50 each of two and $3 the 3rd favourite..

[jackpot jim]

Standley Chasm actually started UNDERS on the tote as Baymans Favourite Bookie Dammarel Bet $1.60. (eased from $1.30).
Opening market race 1 1 $1.30
2 $2.00
3 $8.00
4 $5.00
5 $17.0
6 $13.0
7 $51.0
8 $21.0
No wonder no punters go to the trots!!!!!!!

[mal]

Standley Chasm actually started UNDERS on the tote as Baymans Favourite Bookie Dammarel Bet $1.60. (eased from $1.30).
Opening market race 1 1 $1.30
2 $2.00
3 $8.00
4 $5.00
5 $17.0
6 $13.0
7 $51.0
8 $21.0
No wonder no punters go to the trots!!!!!!!

JJ are you saying that
1 was $1-30
2 was $2-00
must be a misprint

[mal]

LATE MAL
-----------

After seeing the prices today this is my final assessment

R1-1 STANDLEY CHASM[$3-50]
EW SPECIAL

R5-1 SAVED A CORKA[$1-20]
the paper finally got a price right
WIN but too short too back
NO BET

R6-9 UNIQUE BABE {$2-40]
with YOUNG WALTON scratched it will be too short now
WIN but too short to back
NO BET

R9-4 ELYSESS CREST [$3-00]
best horse by a mile
EW special

r10-4 KARION KWEENY [$13]
nice 3rd last start
PLACE

_______________________________

R7-1 THE DALMATION is having its 3rd run in a week TAKE CARE

LATE MAL SUMMARY

R1-1
PAPER $3-50
TAB $1-50

R5-1
PAPER $1-20
TAB $1-40 at last

R6-9
PAPER
$2-40
TAB $1-40 but the other fav was scratched

r9-4
PAPER $3-00
TAB $1-40

r10-4 our logshot roughie ran a close 4th[was a$30/1 on the tab]

SCD/BAYMAN/MAL all tipped winners on a gimme programme

4 outa 5 fro LATE MAL followers

[bayman]

LATE MAL
-----------

After seeing the prices today this is my final assessment

R1-1 STANDLEY CHASM[$3-50]
EW SPECIAL

R5-1 SAVED A CORKA[$1-20]
the paper finally got a price right
WIN but too short too back
NO BET

R6-9 UNIQUE BABE {$2-40]
with YOUNG WALTON scratched it will be too short now
WIN but too short to back
NO BET

R9-4 ELYSESS CREST [$3-00]
best horse by a mile
EW special

r10-4 KARION KWEENY [$13]
nice 3rd last start
PLACE

_______________________________

R7-1 THE DALMATION is having its 3rd run in a week TAKE CARE

LATE MAL SUMMARY

R1-1
PAPER $3-50
TAB $1-50

R5-1
PAPER $1-20
TAB $1-40 at last

R6-9
PAPER
$2-40
TAB $1-40 but the other fav was scratched

r9-4
PAPER $3-00
TAB $1-40

r10-4 our logshot roughie ran a close 4th[was a$30/1 on the tab]

SCD/BAYMAN/MAL all tipped winners on a gimme programme

4 outa 5 fro LATE MAL followers

MAL ARE YOU GUY SEBASTIAN ?? (READ THE ABOVE LINE)

[bayman]

WHILE I MADE A PROFIT & WHO DIDN'T ? I'M ANNOYED AT MYSELF FOR NOT SAVING THE OTHER WAY IN RACE 8, I HAD 8/9/2,4,5 BY $20 IN A TRIFECTA, I SHOULD'VE GONE 9/8/2,4,5 FOR A FEW BUCKS AS WELL TO SAVE. BUT I ONLY HAVE ONE PERSON TO BLAME

[jackpot jim]

Standley Chasm actually started UNDERS on the tote as Baymans Favourite Bookie Dammarel Bet $1.60. (eased from $1.30).
Opening market race 1 1 $1.30
2 $2.00
3 $8.00
4 $5.00
5 $17.0
6 $13.0
7 $51.0
8 $21.0
No wonder no punters go to the trots!!!!!!!

JJ are you saying that
1 was $1-30
2 was $2-00
must be a misprint

YES. That was his prices until about 3 mins b4 race.
1 started $1.60
2 started $2.20
3 " $9.00
4 " $5.00
5 " $19.0
6 " $15.0
7 " $51.0
8 " $21.0

158%

[mal]

Standley Chasm actually started UNDERS on the tote as Baymans Favourite Bookie Dammarel Bet $1.60. (eased from $1.30).
Opening market race 1 1 $1.30
2 $2.00
3 $8.00
4 $5.00
5 $17.0
6 $13.0
7 $51.0
8 $21.0
No wonder no punters go to the trots!!!!!!!

JJ are you saying that
1 was $1-30
2 was $2-00
must be a misprint

YES. That was his prices until about 3 mins b4 race.
1 started $1.60
2 started $2.20
3 " $9.00
4 " $5.00
5 " $19.0
6 " $15.0
7 " $51.0
8 " $21.0

158%

JJ point taken

[bayman]

Standley Chasm actually started UNDERS on the tote as Baymans Favourite Bookie Dammarel Bet $1.60. (eased from $1.30).
Opening market race 1 1 $1.30
2 $2.00
3 $8.00
4 $5.00
5 $17.0
6 $13.0
7 $51.0
8 $21.0
No wonder no punters go to the trots!!!!!!!

JJ are you saying that
1 was $1-30
2 was $2-00
must be a misprint

YES. That was his prices until about 3 mins b4 race.
1 started $1.60
2 started $2.20
3 " $9.00
4 " $5.00
5 " $19.0
6 " $15.0
7 " $51.0
8 " $21.0

158%

JJ point taken

THATS GOOD FOR DAMMARRELL AS I RECALL MAL POSTING A MARKET FROM KAPUNDA & THE FIRST TWO FAVOURITES WERE 1.50 & 1.80 I'VE SEEN BETTER MARKETS AT THE BAY SHEFFIELD