Netball Round 8 Preview (4 from 4 last wk) - value!

[Plunge Penguin]

G'day all,

Have been firing with the tipping last week, and hopefully leading any punters into some good returns. All games are Friday night this week.

MELBOURNE KESTRELS v PERTH ORIOLES

Not exactly one for the purists here, although Perth are rebounding from a good win against the Hunter Jaegers (*sigh*) last week. Melbourne hit the front in the last term against Sydney last week, but just couldn't quite get over the line for those of us that took the $7 on offer. This should be a different kestrel of fish for Melbourne - expecting Melb $1.05, Perth $8.25: points option of 19.5

TIP: MELB 19-21

MELBOURNE PHOENIX v HUNTER JAEGERS

The flying Phoenix, undefeated this year, run into a team that will be more than nuisance value for anyone that underestimates them. While going under to Perth last week, Hunter have been generally impressive this year with some real versatility around the court under coach Jon Fletcher. The Phoenix, boasting one of the best in the world in Sharelle McMahon, however, should pack too many guns for Hunter. Don't take silly short odds though, as Hunter will have their moments. Expecting Melb $1.10, Hunter $6.00, points at 17.5, which leans me toward looking very carefully at the points option on the visitors.

TIP: PHOENIX 15-17

ADELAIDE V SYDNEY

What a belter this will be. If you have the slightest interest in netball, head along to ETSA Park for this one. Two of the league's best, going hard at it all night, and there should be very little in it toward the end. Laura VonBertouch's 100th CBT game should give the locals some motivation to win for their inspirational skipper, and the clash between Kristen Hughes and Australian skipper Liz Ellis is worth the trip alone. Really hard to confidently pick the winner in this one, but we'll take the home team. Expecting Sydney to open $1.65, Adelaide $2.15, points of 2.5, which really leans me toward a go on the TBirds

TIP: ADELAIDE 4-6

AIS DARTERS V QUEENSLAND FIREBIRDS

The Darters have had their moments this year, but ultimately, lack of experience is costing them at vital moments, as to be expected with a young group. Queensland are travelling reasonably, but are still yet to deliver that real killer performance that coach Vicki Wilson was so used to as one of this country's finest players. Their pace around the court will be matched by the Darters exhuberance, so it comes down to the goal circle edge for QLD for mine. The fifth best attack statistically meets the least potent. Enough for me to take QLD but again, not at silly odds. I'd expect UniTAB to put up QLD $1.20, Darters $4.00, points of 8.5, which is about right. Don't take anything less than that on QLD though.

TIP: QLD 11-13

[mighty_tiger_79]

this is absolutely sensational, who would have thought that there was such good money to be made from netball.

PP, you should do what DUTCHY does on the footy for the netball!!

[Plunge Penguin]

Cheers for the idea, MT_79 - just worried I would then put the mockers on myself after that!!

Odds are out; if I didn't know better, I'd wonder if Punitab were reading this forum:

MELB KESTRELS: $1.04, PERTH $9.00 (POINTS 13.5)

QLD $1.20, AIS $4.00 (POINTS 8.5)

ADELAIDE $1.85, SYDNEY $1.85

MELB PHOENIX AND HUNTER - no head to head, points only of 21.5

Firstly - the -13.5 points on the Kestrels staggers me. I realy expected another 6 goals or more on this. This is leaning me toward the Bet of The Round: Kestrels at -13.5 looks an utter gift. Perth are notoriously bad travellers for one...

Surprised they can't split the Swifts and TBirds - ALMOST leans me toward Sydney at the odds now, as that is about 20c better value that expected.

A lot is being made of Phoenix being undefeated, and against Hunter having another walk in the park. I'm not so sure of that - Hunter are just the team to bring them undone, at the points at very least. +21.5 is very appealing.

Will take:

Kestrels -13.5/Hunter +21.5/QLD -8.5 into Syd with one multi and Adelaide on another - return on both is $11.71 per $1 unit invested.

Will also look at Kestrels -13.5 into QLD -8.5 at $3.67 per $1 invested as another alternative.

There is real value to be found in this round, lads - work around both options in the TBirds Swifts game, but I'm seeing this round as another good opportunity - there would have to be some MASSIVE form reversals in a couple of games that I just can't see happening. (Famous last words??)