AFL ROUND 12 + SANFL ROUND 11 DISCUSSION

[mal]

MAL ODDS only and only as a guide for discussion as per usual

CA 3-20
HW $1-33

KA $1-85
AC $1-85

WB $1-50
FR $2-50

GE $1-15
BL $5-25

PP $1-80
ES $2-00
___________________________________________________________________________
RI $3-20
ML $1-33 I PREDICTED THEY WOULD COME GOOD 2 ROUNDS AGO [2 WINS]

SS $1-40
CO $2-75

WC $0-99
SK $7-00

ST
PA

NA
EG

GL
WA

SA
CD

The 2 suggested MALbets last week
WC lose to ES
SS beat HW
About even
I didnt make WC a footy mal as have a poor record at TELSTRA DOOM
I think they have about a 33% win ratio on the skating rink

I am sure if we back WC we win win v Faint Kilda
Anything over $1-25 would be a gift.
ML look winners
GE would be $0-99 but for travelling a few times of late
WB are going to be short, that game worries me as WB again lost
the 2nd half in Brisbane and are travelling back

*********THE LAST 3 GAMES ARE ON A SPLIT ROUND*************

[Dutchy]

CA great odds

[G]

MAL oh mighty one, may I enquire as to how or why you would have Port Power favourite over the vastly better performed Essendon. May I suggest you look at the past month's form.

[Dutchy]

Hawks also on back to back 6 day breaks...tread warily

Bays will be a great bet at the points anything up to -20.5...thoughts?

[bayman]

Hawks also on back to back 6 day breaks...tread warily

Bays will be a great bet at the points anything up to -20.5...thoughts?

that would depend on which glenelg team turned up, the one that played norwood would lose & the one that played north today would win easily, bear in mind there was more than a few bay players slightly injured & a concussion today so there could be some outs especially given a short week

[mal]

MAL oh mighty one, may I enquire as to how or why you would have Port Power favourite over the vastly better performed Essendon. May I suggest you look at the past month's form.

Professor G
My turn at last I get a chance to shoot you down

Your 5 team multi all up from the round 11 discussion post

You tipped
CO/FR/WC/NA and NADAL

4 FOOTY TIPS
1 WINNNER
you got approximately $1-50 $1-55 and $1-25 beaten !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
My advice stick to trots and tennis

Port at home I think will win
Essendon have been blessed with umpiring decsions and luck the last 2 weeks

[G]

Once again I have to bow down and salute the mighty MAL, even though he tipped the same sides that I did and had no idea about the Tennis. Agreed that Essendon may have been a bit lucky of late but at least they have been in a position against good sides to ride their luck.
My point is keep tipping the Power for the rest of the year and see how your pocket and your reputation hold up.

[mal]

Once again I have to bow down and salute the mighty MAL, even though he tipped the same sides that I did and had no idea about the Tennis. Agreed that Essendon may have been a bit lucky of late but at least they have been in a position against good sides to ride their luck.
My point is keep tipping the Power for the rest of the year and see how your pocket and your reputation hold up.

I declared West Coast and Sydney as my 2 bets last round
Anything else was merely chatter for discussion.

[mighty_tiger_79]

FROM JOHNNYS SITE.............

Odds avail. after team selections Friday morning

1.80 STURT -6.5 2.20 5.00 16/6/07 21.15 PM
1.90 PORT ADELAIDE -2.5 2.25 5.50 UNLEY OVAL

1.20 GLENELG -30.5 2.20 2.40 17/6/07 2.00 PM
4.00 WEST ADELAIDE +22.5 4.20 17.00 CHALL. RECRUITMENT OVAL

2.55 SOUTH ADELAIDE +8.5 2.75 8.00 17/6/07 2.00 PM
1.50 CENTRAL DISTRICT -16.5 2.25 3.20 HICKINBOTHAM OVAL

1.60 NORTH ADELAIDE -13.5 2.25 3.40 17/6/07 2.00 PM
2.25 WOOD-TORRENS +5.5 2.60 6.00 PROSPECT OVAL - DRAW

[Dutchy]

Sturt @ $1.80 has to be a great bet surely?...Port a rabble and Sturt on a roll...only chance is a let down however they have been straved of success for so long this may stop it happening

You can get $1.35 win and -25.5 for evens on Sportsbet for the Bays...also tempting

some nice differences in the markets between books which is nice instead of following each other....as usual Seal's mod has NFI

[mighty_tiger_79]

Sturt @ $1.80 has to be a great bet surely?...Port a rabble and Sturt on a roll...only chance is a let down however they have been straved of success for so long this may stop it happening

You can get $1.35 win and -25.5 for evens on Sportsbet for the Bays...also tempting

some nice differences in the markets between books which is nice instead of following each other....as usual Seal's mod has NFI

they will probably put up somewhere in between johnnys market and sportsbets

[mighty_tiger_79]

what are the stats with the eagles/north at prossie?

i thought the eagles go ok out there.

the rooster is a bit short given the way they played on monday and im guessing the eagles werent all that good either on saturday against the legs.

[mal]

My aplogies in the WB V FR game
Had not realised it was in Darwin
So revised market
WB $1-90
FR $1-90

WB have been stopping at the end of thier games and may be suspect
if FR stay with them in the early stages

[westcoastpanther]

WWT at 1-39 $3.20 has to be overs doesn't it? They have some handy ins including Cicca & Inkster and my opinion looking at the two teams head to head has the Eagles the stronger side. For what I think could be a close 50/50 result $3.20 is worth a dabble.....

[scoob]

WWT at 1-39 $3.20 has to be overs doesn't it? They have some handy ins including Cicca & Inkster and my opinion looking at the two teams head to head has the Eagles the stronger side. For what I think could be a close 50/50 result $3.20 is worth a dabble.....

ALL ABOARD... the guru has spooken!!!!

[Dutchy]

WWT at 1-39 $3.20 has to be overs doesn't it? They have some handy ins including Cicca & Inkster and my opinion looking at the two teams head to head has the Eagles the stronger side. For what I think could be a close 50/50 result $3.20 is worth a dabble.....

ALL ABOARD... the guru has spooken!!!!

AG reckons WCP is the man....lets wait for AG's call.....

Thanks for your thoughts WCP, tend to agree...but dont know if I can bring myself to put money on this game, their form lines have been very erratic!

[mighty_tiger_79]

WWT at 1-39 $3.20 has to be overs doesn't it? They have some handy ins including Cicca & Inkster and my opinion looking at the two teams head to head has the Eagles the stronger side. For what I think could be a close 50/50 result $3.20 is worth a dabble.....

ALL ABOARD... the guru has spooken!!!!

AG reckons WCP is the man....lets wait for AG's call.....

Thanks for your thoughts WCP, tend to agree...but dont know if I can bring myself to put money on this game, their form lines have been very erratic!

DUTCHY given AG'S recent form on posting a loser after the race had been run, Im thinking we forget AG's call and CHARGE!!!!!!!!!!!!

[mighty_tiger_79]

the crows have won the last 5 against the Gold Coast Roos, but things have changed dramatically since the last clash, go the roos!!!!

tonights game with the hawks/blues should be a close game, nothing really separates these 2 on the stats, but expect the hawks to win, just with over-all talent, but not expecting a blowout. maybe both teams under 15.5 pts.

freo and the doggies are the same as the above game, on the stats not much separates them, not really sure who will win this, I think the dogs should, but as MAL has alluded, the dogs have hit the wall in the 2nd half of there games recently......maybe the dockers at +24.5.

port/bombers - can the bombers make it 2 from 2 at footy park, i think they should, port are a rabble, they play one man short, because tredrea runs around but the players very rarely look for him at the moment. the bombers to prove the last 2 wins were no fluke!!!! and should win quite comfortably, maybe a 40+ result

[mighty_tiger_79]

just taken a boxed multi with the cats as a banker with

kanga's
hawks
bombers

i just mentioned it in the AFL room but when the cats have become flag favs they have lost the very next week.......so the lions arent without any hope.

im really keen on

STURT win/points
CENTRAL win/points they should win by closer to 10 goals just
Glenelg with absolutely no confidence points! if they are serious it should be 50+

hawks
essendon
kangas all at +24.5 for a return of $2.21!!!!!!!!

ALL ABOARD

JUST ADDED this on tabsportsbet

RETURN
AFL R12 Carlton-Hawthorn 15/06 Hawthorn Under 39.5 Pts 1108 2.30
AFL R12 Geelong-Brisbane 17/06 Geelong 1007 1.08
AFL R12 Kangaroos-Adelaide 16/06 Kangaroos Under 39.5 Pts 1109 2.40
AFL R12 Port Adel-Essendon 17/06 Essendon Under 39.5 Pts 1105 2.35

Dollar Return 14.00

the above bet is a loser after the hawks winning by 100!!!!!!!

anyway i took these with johnny

STURT
CENTRAL
GLENELG ALL WInning @ $3.20 x $40

the above at the points
-7.5
-20.5
-28.5
had $25 x $8

then
kanga's win
geelong win
essendon win
sturt win
glenelg pts -28.5
central pts -20.5
=$29.04 x $20

kangas win
geelong win
essendon win
sturt win
central win
glenelg win

=$12.20 x $15

[mal]

MAL oh mighty one, may I enquire as to how or why you would have Port Power favourite over the vastly better performed Essendon. May I suggest you look at the past month's form.

G

Have a look at my 5 lots of odds
4 winners better than the TAB out of 5

I will do it for you

Just for the record
ES played in Sydney and The DOOM the last 2 weeks
Now refer to Professor Dutchys DOOMers