OAKSY Doggies Tips

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Re: OAKSY Doggies Tips

Postby Oaksnaf » Thu Mar 28, 2013 3:59 pm

BENDIGO RACE 4

1 SPYWARE $2.91
8 DEWANA SUMMER $3.99
6 TINY POWER $7.51
5 UNCLE JED $10.30
2 DEWANA FUSION $11.45
3 ALLWORTH GIRL $21.54
4 LUCY ELLE $32.83
10 OTHER AXLE $76.27
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Re: OAKSY Doggies Tips

Postby Oaksnaf » Thu Mar 28, 2013 4:20 pm

BENDIGO RACE 5

5 COOL PUZZLE $3.33
3 BLACK QUILL $5.08
4 SUPER IMPRERIOR $5.64
6 SUPER INDIGO $9.55
1 UP AND GONE $10.61
7 ORANGE JACK $19.97
2 ROYAL POTTS $24.65
8 KYAH DANE $27.39
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Re: OAKSY Doggies Tips

Postby Oaksnaf » Thu Mar 28, 2013 4:30 pm

GEELONG RACE 5

6 BROADACRES $4.06
7 ALLEN HODNEY $5.01
4 STATE OF BLING $6.88
5 ZIPPING CLINT $8.49
3 OUR PALE ALE $9.43
1 LITTLE ODESSA $10.48
8 CHEAP CHAMP $15.97
2 OUR SITUATION $37.11
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Re: OAKSY Doggies Tips

Postby Oaksnaf » Thu Mar 28, 2013 4:43 pm

BENDIGO RACE 6

5 KIRABILLY TONY $3.39
2 ACOLA STAR $5.74
7 SUPER ZIPPY $6.38
8 ONYA JACK $7.09
1 CLOVALLEY WES $12.00
6 ULTIMATE REFUND $13.34
3 BECCY COLE $22.59
4 JACK ENLIM $34.42
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Re: OAKSY Doggies Tips

Postby Oaksnaf » Thu Mar 28, 2013 4:46 pm

GEELONG RACE 6

6 BUCKLE UP MASON $2.61
4 SHRIKE $3.98
8 PAINTED MISS $9.24
1 LARAHS WISH $10.27
10 BOWSTREET BUSTER $12.68
7 ROUSE FLYER $19.32
3 WHICH ARANDT $49.87
2 CONNEMARA SKY $93.84
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Re: OAKSY Doggies Tips

Postby Oaksnaf » Thu Mar 28, 2013 4:52 pm

BENDIGO RACE 7

1 BIT BERGER $2.95
2 CLARETOWN WESTY $3.63
5 JOSH MILNE $5.53
6 TOTAL DELIGHT $10.41
8 MILL HOUSE $19.59
3 COSTANZA $29.85
7 INSPECTOR LYNLEA $69.35
4 MY SELYNA $95.14
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Re: OAKSY Doggies Tips

Postby Oaksnaf » Thu Mar 28, 2013 4:54 pm

GEELONG RACE 7

1 GUNDA BALE $3.76
6 RIVERSIDE BUZZ $5.73
2 ABIT PATCHY $6.37
5 SIEGER $7.86
4 GRAND GRANGE $11.98
7 CONNEMARA FIRE $13.31
3 STUDLY DAN $16.44
8 SCORSESE $18.26
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Re: OAKSY Doggies Tips

Postby Oaksnaf » Thu Mar 28, 2013 5:00 pm

BENDIGO RACE 8

4 REAL VAIN $2.23
1 ONYA SPLASH $6.40
8 TURNOUT $7.90
7 MISS HONDO $10.83
5 NIRRA MEG $13.37
2 LARAS ENFORCER $22.64
6 TAPESTRY LACE $34.51
3 SUPER NITRO $38.35
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Re: OAKSY Doggies Tips

Postby mighty_tiger_79 » Thu Mar 28, 2013 6:57 pm

busy day at the office!
Matty Wade is a star and deserves more respect from the forum family!
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Re: OAKSY Doggies Tips

Postby Oaksnaf » Thu Mar 28, 2013 10:00 pm

Reward for effort today.
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Re: OAKSY Doggies Tips

Postby mighty_tiger_79 » Fri Mar 29, 2013 9:19 am

Oaksnaf wrote:Reward for effort today.


and you needed a big reward, cos that was one almighty effort!!

i ended up on the golf course and thinking of different strategies that i need to use.

I know the 388m races at angle park and the 400m gawler are no good for me, yet i can hit the 400m bendigo etc a little better. :?

i like shepparton but they race at the wrong time of day. and cannington sat nights will be harder to do the form for now im getting back into comp golf.
Matty Wade is a star and deserves more respect from the forum family!
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Re: OAKSY Doggies Tips

Postby Oaksnaf » Fri Mar 29, 2013 12:04 pm

Yeah I imagine that the first 30m at 388 angle is a big difference to Bendigo given where the corner.is and the radius of the turn.

After a good run my 3rd selection is showing level stakes profit after 428 races. So I will be updating my wagering for the bank as we go.
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Re: OAKSY Doggies Tips

Postby Oaksnaf » Sat Mar 30, 2013 10:46 am

Don't have access to the computer so excuse the lack of names for

Bendigo Race 1

#2 $2.43 great debut much better than these
#8 $4.56 will be running home strongly suited box
#1 $6.96 has to lead otherwise fades.
#3 $16.16 cannot run time but suited outside the speed.
#6 $17.96 drawn to improve cannot run under 24.5
#4 $22.17 slow out runs home but slow time
#7 $24.63 best drawn to rails weakens when wide
#9 $46.35 no chance
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Re: OAKSY Doggies Tips

Postby Oaksnaf » Sat Mar 30, 2013 11:04 am

Race 2

#7 $4.06 in good kennel and showed great speed in st shep.
#2 $5.57 great consistency only needs others to make an error
#1 $6.88 in good kennel and easier field than recent races
#6 $7.65 drawn outside the speed can run on better than these
#8 $10.49 always finds trouble box 8 will help
#5 $12.95 simply must lead as fades
#4 $14.39 cannot run flash tines and draw is awkward
#3 $17.76 will get cramped for room early
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Re: OAKSY Doggies Tips

Postby Oaksnaf » Sat Mar 30, 2013 11:36 am

Race 3

#6 $3.70 has showed great speed at ballarat boasts well for this
#7 $5.08 loves wgl which proves well for here
#5 $5.64 led a long way here on debut cannot afford to be crossed
#3 $8.60 the Geelong run was ok drawn well
#4 $11.77 inconsistent beginner
#2 $14.56 NSW form not great
#8 $22.19 poor win strike rate and cannot cross these
#1 $24.65 poor runner
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Re: OAKSY Doggies Tips

Postby Oaksnaf » Sat Mar 30, 2013 12:43 pm

Race 4

#8 $3.83 has ability just needs the room to show it
#1 $4.73 box 1 gives this runner a better chance to hold rails and run on
#7 $6.48 storms home against these
#6 $7.20 well drawn gets better chance to lead today and is ok finish
#2 $9.88 cannot afford to miss badly box helps
#4 $15.06 slow out gets too far back
#5 $22.96 better out wide cannot lead these gets cramped
#3 $43.20 has no hope.
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Re: OAKSY Doggies Tips

Postby Oaksnaf » Sat Mar 30, 2013 1:42 pm

Race 5

#5 $3.16 ability is above these drawn well with one who moves towards rails and an inconsistent jumper outside
#4 $5.95 begins ok against these gives best chance to run to Sandown form
#3 $7.35 runs on
#1 $8.16 jumps well but is weak needs luck
#6 $11.20 too inconsistent but has ability
#7 $12.44 fades
#8 $18.96 unlikely to challenge only one good run in career
#10 $28.90 slow out and stays at rear.
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Re: OAKSY Doggies Tips

Postby Oaksnaf » Sun Mar 31, 2013 12:14 pm

Here are the 2013 numbers so far.

I have a long way to go to try and find some consistency and profit in this game!!

433 races down

TOP RATING
138 Wins @ 31.8%
$409.40 Return -5.4%

Overlays
204
38 Wins @ 18.6%
$194.30 Return 4.7%

2nd RATING
84 Wins @ 19.4%
$426.10 Return -1.6%

Overlays
263
34 Wins @ 13%
$279.80 Return +6.4%

3rd RATING
75 Wins @ 17.3%
$443.60 Return +2.4%

4th RATING
53 wins @ 12.2%
$309.50 Return -28.5%

Overlays
187
11 Wins @ 6%
$120.60 Return -35.5%



In terms of my market:

Range 0-$2.50
34 Selections
19 Winners
$35.80 Return

Overalays
11 Selections
4 Winners
$12.60 Return

Range $2.51-$3.50
188 Selections
68 Winners
$189 Return

Overlays
82 Selections
17 Winners
$80.10 Return

Range $3.51-$4.50
294 Selections
80 Winners
$302.70 Return

Overlays
152 Selections
27 Winners
$164.10 Return

Range $4.51-$5.50
272 Selections
50 Winners
$277.7 Return

Overlays
165 Selections
20 Winners
$186,80 Return

Range $5.51-$6.50
239 Selections
46 Winners
$260.2 Return

Overlays
136 Selections
15 Winners
$142.60 Return

Range $6.51 - $7.50
234 Selections
33 Winners
$161.80 Return

Overlays
132 Selections
6 Winners
$60 Return

Range $7.51 - $8.50
180 Selections
20 Winners
$97.4 Return

Overlays
82 selections
3 Winners
$21.80 Return

Range $8.51 - $9.50
156 Selections
14 Winners
$109.40 Return

Overlays
74 Selections
5 Winners
$73.70 Return


Now it does seem that the light bulb has been turned on. Will see how we go at Sandown today.
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Re: OAKSY Doggies Tips

Postby Oaksnaf » Sun Mar 31, 2013 12:45 pm

SANDOWN RACE 1

3 WOT PRICE FAGEN $2.21
8 BILLYS WHIRL $6.34
4 TWO LEFT FLEET $9.66
7 CLASSIC CASH $10.73
6 BIG DON $13.25
1 VAPOURISED $16.36
2 IMPREFECTION $18.18

#1 is a wide runner and will cause havoc for those who cannot get underneath. #2 hasn't been impressive to me when given equal opportunity.

#3's efforts have been good enough to easily beat this field. Be weary of #4 who is returning after tough debut. For mine #8 is the big improver from outwide looks well suited there and can run on against these. #6 should of won at TRA recently but threw the race away.
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Re: OAKSY Doggies Tips

Postby Oaksnaf » Sun Mar 31, 2013 1:01 pm

SANDOWN RACE 2

1 JACK BALE $3.21
7 PREMIER SERIES $3.96
6 SHES OUR HARRY $5.44
2 CONDIMENT LADY $11.37
4 LOCHNESS MONSTER $14.03
3 ME AMIGA $17.32
8 SCOTTS DESIRE $29.34

#1 gets the best box and draw for this race as #2,3 drop back after box rise, so there wont be a problem if he moves off a little at the start here. #4 can move across to the rails with 6,7. That is where the pace will come from. #6 showed great muster at Geelong while #7 showed consistent pace in all runs out of the boxes.

Based on finish ability I find the #1,7 equally matched ahead of #6. Then daylight. I believe #2 has been lucky in running at Sale and we are yet to find a true performance indicator. Will be in the market. #1 will probably be odds on, I believe #1,6,7 are the Quinalla/Tri numbers here.
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