Greyhounds This Week

Best Bets? Talking Odds? This is the place.

Re: Greyhounds This Week

Postby Oaksnaf » Wed Feb 10, 2010 9:04 am

Small idea.

Lets think about this. The internet TAB punter uses DFS. The pub/tab punter has last 3 starts. These two types should make up the majority of the investee's in a pool. Of course you have the on-track punters, then the trainers, owners, form students, professionals/syndicates and misc punters.

If we target the basic investors into the pools. The online TAB/pub punter. Then we limit ourselves to their basic information.


Form a market on the basis of their information. Keep a keen eye out for runners that run at HUGE unders when comparing to our market.

Why?

There has to be other factors influencing the pool for these massive Unders. Whether it be the connections, on-track news or a big punter investing. It should show up. These are the runners to look out for and to see how often they fill the placings.


With this in mind. I will look at Angle Park Race 1 on the DFS form and try and think like the ONLINE punter.

The basics:

DFS Ratings = 6-3-1-2
TIP from caller = will have to wait for them to upload the information on DFS.

So I am scrolling down. The tracks that I know are Gawler/Angle Park for SA.

#1 ...it has Box 1 for a start. Finished second last start. 5/13 placings.
#2 ....finished last at a track I don't know.... who is this runner?
#3 ....second on debut, must go alright. Track don't know.
#4 ....Box 4....12 starts nah.....
#5 ...This is the one that I like at odds. Says checked and has been well backed lately. And I know the trainer.
#6....This one will win. Look at the 30.60 Angle run.
#7 ....Who??
#8 .... Has Victorian form. Box 8. Sure i'll box it in exotics.

My mind jumps all over the place as to who will fill the placings. But I know which dogs I don't like.

6 should win this.

yeah..... I'll just stand it out a few times in exotics and put my roughie #5 in everything.

^^^ I'm assuming that is the train of thought when you look at the TAB odds screen. I can roughly predict what the market will be.



So this is our ONLINE PUNTER DFS FORM ANALYSIS MARKET

6 SATANIC RULER $2.63
5 KITANA BALE $7.55
3 MINI VIRUS $7.63
1 JAMZIE BALE $7.71
8 WEOWNA CHA CHA $7.79
7 ACES DELIGHT $27.58
4 FLOOD HERO $30.64
2 TEXAS BANDID $34.05


Look for HUGE unders. if 1,3,5,6,8 start @ $3.00 then there is someone else with KNOWLEDGE investing into this pool.
Oaksnaf
Veteran
 
Posts: 3889
Joined: Tue Jul 28, 2009 3:51 pm
Has liked: 130 times
Been liked: 291 times

Re: Greyhounds This Week

Postby Oaksnaf » Wed Feb 10, 2010 9:43 am

Angle Park Race 2

DFS RATINGS = 5-2-4-6
TIPS = 5-1-2-3

#1...Box 1... first starter. What??
#2...4th,4th. But was well backed. Might have something here.
#3....Nup dont know anything about this one. Is 4th in tips though.
#4...3rd on debut, ahh yeah looks alright
#5...the 225 form reads ok.
#6...I know the trainer
#7...First starter??
#9....First starter?? Know the trainer.

This race is doing my head in. I'll just wait until the odds come up and then decide. I want something juicy coupled with the SURE THING. But I like the 3.... but I need something to confirm my thoughts.
Oaksnaf
Veteran
 
Posts: 3889
Joined: Tue Jul 28, 2009 3:51 pm
Has liked: 130 times
Been liked: 291 times

Re: Greyhounds This Week

Postby Oaksnaf » Wed Feb 10, 2010 10:24 am

Sandown Race 1

Maiden LAW Tip #5 BOSSY BETTY is the TIP
#5-1

Sandown Race 2

Maiden LAW Tip #3 DR.GAZELLE is the TIP
#3-8
Oaksnaf
Veteran
 
Posts: 3889
Joined: Tue Jul 28, 2009 3:51 pm
Has liked: 130 times
Been liked: 291 times

Re: Greyhounds This Week

Postby Oaksnaf » Wed Feb 10, 2010 11:02 am

Oaksnaf wrote:Angle Park Race 2

DFS RATINGS = 5-2-4-6
TIPS = 5-1-2-3

#1...Box 1... first starter. What??
#2...4th,4th. But was well backed. Might have something here.
#3....Nup dont know anything about this one. Is 4th in tips though.
#4...3rd on debut, ahh yeah looks alright
#5...the 225 form reads ok.
#6...I know the trainer
#7...First starter??
#9....First starter?? Know the trainer.

This race is doing my head in. I'll just wait until the odds come up and then decide. I want something juicy coupled with the SURE THING. But I like the 3.... but I need something to confirm my thoughts.


4 CYRUS JUMPED $4.54
5 DADDYS LADY $4.78
2 SPEEDY PAUSE $7.29
6 JACOBELLA BALE $7.37
3 FANCY DAN $7.44
1 COBBLESTONE LASS $8.27
7 MYSTIC HORIZON $23.72


Anything that jumps @ $2.50
Oaksnaf
Veteran
 
Posts: 3889
Joined: Tue Jul 28, 2009 3:51 pm
Has liked: 130 times
Been liked: 291 times

Re: Greyhounds This Week

Postby Oaksnaf » Wed Feb 10, 2010 11:06 am

Here is our ANGLE PARK Race 3 ONLINE PUNTER market.

1 SOUTH CENTRAL $2.44
2 KATCHA KIHAEL $2.46
7 JERRAWA ROAD $20.26
8 TOMS PRECINCT $22.51
6 SADEAK $25.01
4 JIMMY FOR SAV $38.12
5 CHLOE DOUGLAS $42.35


Back 1,2 if $1.60
Back others if around $6
Oaksnaf
Veteran
 
Posts: 3889
Joined: Tue Jul 28, 2009 3:51 pm
Has liked: 130 times
Been liked: 291 times

Re: Greyhounds This Week

Postby Oaksnaf » Wed Feb 10, 2010 11:35 am

Angle Park Race 4

5 BURNING DAYLIGHT $5.39
8 DIVAS A FLYER $5.44
4 SOPHINA BALE $5.50
7 SHELLY SPICE $6.79
6 TARTIE FEN $7.55
3 VIRUS BLASTER $9.32
1 BURNOUT KING $26.72
2 RUDOLPH MARX $40.73

$2.50-$2.80 for top 3.
Oaksnaf
Veteran
 
Posts: 3889
Joined: Tue Jul 28, 2009 3:51 pm
Has liked: 130 times
Been liked: 291 times

Re: Greyhounds This Week

Postby Oaksnaf » Wed Feb 10, 2010 11:44 am

Sandown...Race 1 #3 Bartolo dog is at huge oVERS
Oaksnaf
Veteran
 
Posts: 3889
Joined: Tue Jul 28, 2009 3:51 pm
Has liked: 130 times
Been liked: 291 times

Re: Greyhounds This Week

Postby Oaksnaf » Wed Feb 10, 2010 11:51 am

Back to finding UNDERS.

Angle Park Race 5

7 EBONYS CHILD $4.17....want $2
8 HAYDIE SLAP $6.36...want $3
2 DES SANNETTE $6.42.....$3
6 KARMAZZ $7.93......$3.5
4 EMERLEY DANCER $8.81...... $3.8
1 CAZ CAN DO $10.88......$4
3 STRIDING TO WIN $14.92......$4.5
5 PROVEN REBEL $20.47....$5.3
Oaksnaf
Veteran
 
Posts: 3889
Joined: Tue Jul 28, 2009 3:51 pm
Has liked: 130 times
Been liked: 291 times

Re: Greyhounds This Week

Postby Oaksnaf » Wed Feb 10, 2010 12:06 pm

----------REAL MARKETS---------

Sandown Race 3

1 LATIFI JIAM $2.95
4 CHARLIE CHA CHA $4.49
3 GILARDINO $6.16
2 NITRISS NEVEELK $14.32
7 BWANA BOSS $14.47
5 ELITE MASTER $14.62
8 CRACK IT LILEE $22.29
6 WANDY PRINCE $41.94

297-EXACTA
Oaksnaf
Veteran
 
Posts: 3889
Joined: Tue Jul 28, 2009 3:51 pm
Has liked: 130 times
Been liked: 291 times

Re: Greyhounds This Week

Postby Oaksnaf » Wed Feb 10, 2010 12:24 pm

Great start

Sandown Race 4

2 UNO THE DREAM $3.62
6 MEPUNGA TEQUILA $4.02
3 ARVOS CORDELIA $4.46
5 FANTASY QUEEN $15.80
7 MR MERLIN $15.97
1 GIGIT $16.14
8 SHAUNY BADTOOTH $30.37
10 VAMOS $33.74

362-QUIN
Oaksnaf
Veteran
 
Posts: 3889
Joined: Tue Jul 28, 2009 3:51 pm
Has liked: 130 times
Been liked: 291 times

Re: Greyhounds This Week

Postby Oaksnaf » Wed Feb 10, 2010 12:42 pm

Sandown Race 5

1 ICEMAN RAIKKONEN $3.11
8 BUNJI $3.45
2 SHOOTER BADOOTA $6.50
7 DR EVEREST $15.10
3 AHMIR BALE $15.26
5 OUR RHINO MAN $28.72
4 UPSY DAISY $29.02
6 NO MORE WOT $29.33

311-QUIN

The reason behind #7 being so high in the pecking order. In a race full of early speed, the slow starters get the advantage as find rail easy and avoid squeeze at the bend. If places, will be exceptional OVERS in exotics.
Oaksnaf
Veteran
 
Posts: 3889
Joined: Tue Jul 28, 2009 3:51 pm
Has liked: 130 times
Been liked: 291 times

Re: Greyhounds This Week

Postby Brodlach » Wed Feb 10, 2010 12:53 pm

Oaksnaf wrote:Sandown Race 5

1 ICEMAN RAIKKONEN $3.11
8 BUNJI $3.45
2 SHOOTER BADOOTA $6.50
7 DR EVEREST $15.10
3 AHMIR BALE $15.26
5 OUR RHINO MAN $28.72
4 UPSY DAISY $29.02
6 NO MORE WOT $29.33

311-QUIN

The reason behind #7 being so high in the pecking order. In a race full of early speed, the slow starters get the advantage as find rail easy and avoid squeeze at the bend. If places, will be exceptional OVERS in exotics.



7 runs third paing $5.10, any 2 paid $18 with the 1 :D
July 11th 2012....
Brodlach wrote:Rory Laird might end up the best IMO, he is an absolute jet. He has been in great form at the Bloods



2024 Melbourne Cup Punting Challenge winner knocking off the Pirate King!
User avatar
Brodlach
Coach
 
 
Posts: 49947
Joined: Mon Jan 15, 2007 1:18 pm
Location: Unley
Has liked: 72 times
Been liked: 4896 times
Grassroots Team: Colonel Light Gardens

Re: Greyhounds This Week

Postby Oaksnaf » Wed Feb 10, 2010 1:01 pm

Sandown Race 6

8 PURE PEACHES $2.93
1 HOLSTEIN MISS $2.96
6 BOBS BOY $8.48
4 BORN LOUIE $15.97
3 COCO HOKO POKO $24.33
2 TEXAS TIGER $30.04
7 PROVEN ROSITA $30.36
5 BIG YELLA $30.68

293-EXACTA

The key to this race is the pace out-wide. 6,7 are hit/miss at the start. #8 is fairly consistent and gets the best box to begin. Will need to cross to the rail and have #1 Holstein Miss (Who can ping the lids..... but misses a lot too) underneath. Will be interesting to see what happens up the back straight. If #3 has room, except to run on nicely.

With the speed out-wide and insides slow/missing it gives #4 a beautiful run in the race. Yes bad box for this T/D. But in terms of suitability, is much more suited than better dogs.
Oaksnaf
Veteran
 
Posts: 3889
Joined: Tue Jul 28, 2009 3:51 pm
Has liked: 130 times
Been liked: 291 times

Re: Greyhounds This Week

Postby mighty_tiger_79 » Wed Feb 10, 2010 1:08 pm

bloody hell Oaksy, have you quit your day job?? ;)
Matty Wade is a star and deserves more respect from the forum family!
User avatar
mighty_tiger_79
Coach
 
Posts: 60973
Joined: Tue Jan 03, 2006 7:29 pm
Location: at the TAB
Has liked: 13446 times
Been liked: 4647 times

Re: Greyhounds This Week

Postby Oaksnaf » Wed Feb 10, 2010 1:11 pm

mighty_tiger_79 wrote:bloody hell Oaksy, have you quit your day job?? ;)

Shhhhh.
Oaksnaf
Veteran
 
Posts: 3889
Joined: Tue Jul 28, 2009 3:51 pm
Has liked: 130 times
Been liked: 291 times

Re: Greyhounds This Week

Postby Oaksnaf » Wed Feb 10, 2010 1:16 pm

Sandown Race 7

4 KNIGHT RAIDER $3.73
5 SKULL WHEEL $4.60
2 NELLIE NOODLES $5.11
8 PURE CITY $11.88
1 US FIVE $14.66
7 CALLIGNEE $16.29
3 STORM SURFER $18.10
6 JUDGE BURNS $20.11

373-QUIN

Distance race here with early speed to the first corner coming from 2,4,5. #2 is the inexperienced runner so form is likely to jump all over the place. #4,5 are easier to predict due to consistencies.
Oaksnaf
Veteran
 
Posts: 3889
Joined: Tue Jul 28, 2009 3:51 pm
Has liked: 130 times
Been liked: 291 times

Re: Greyhounds This Week

Postby Oaksnaf » Wed Feb 10, 2010 1:31 pm

Well the good run had to come to an end somehow.

Sandown Race 8

1 GUTTER BLACK $3.36
5 LIAMS GAL $4.61
8 MISSION POSSIBLE $5.70
4 MO HENRY $9.65
7 ARVOS JEMMA $11.91
2 KURNAI KING $16.34
3 SHEER PING $24.90
9 PURE SHIRAZ $46.85

336-QUIN
Oaksnaf
Veteran
 
Posts: 3889
Joined: Tue Jul 28, 2009 3:51 pm
Has liked: 130 times
Been liked: 291 times

Re: Greyhounds This Week

Postby Oaksnaf » Wed Feb 10, 2010 1:49 pm

Looks like Top Raters are back on track with 4/6 winners thus far.

Sandown Race 9

1 EL GENERALE $2.62
6 SUB SOIL $3.99
5 WHY NOT NICK $9.27
2 EYES LIKE GOOFA $14.12
8 FUN HOUSE $14.27
7 DR REX $17.62
4 AVALON STORM $26.86
3 HALLS ROCKIN $40.93


262-EXACTA

Only speed in the race comes from 1,6. Should clear them out early. 2,5,8 runs on late.
Oaksnaf
Veteran
 
Posts: 3889
Joined: Tue Jul 28, 2009 3:51 pm
Has liked: 130 times
Been liked: 291 times

Re: Greyhounds This Week

Postby mighty_tiger_79 » Wed Feb 10, 2010 1:51 pm

sandown race 9

1 is boxed to run in the first 2

2,5,6 look the exotic chances
Matty Wade is a star and deserves more respect from the forum family!
User avatar
mighty_tiger_79
Coach
 
Posts: 60973
Joined: Tue Jan 03, 2006 7:29 pm
Location: at the TAB
Has liked: 13446 times
Been liked: 4647 times

Re: Greyhounds This Week

Postby mighty_tiger_79 » Wed Feb 10, 2010 1:52 pm

sandown race 10

2 is the clear selection here, others look hit and miss

take this in the all up with race 9 - 1 for both win and place
Matty Wade is a star and deserves more respect from the forum family!
User avatar
mighty_tiger_79
Coach
 
Posts: 60973
Joined: Tue Jan 03, 2006 7:29 pm
Location: at the TAB
Has liked: 13446 times
Been liked: 4647 times

PreviousNext

Board index   General Talk  The Gambling Room

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 8 guests

Around the place

Competitions   SANFL Official Site | Country Footy SA | Southern Football League | VFL Footy
Club Forums   Snouts Louts | The Roost | Redlegs Forum |