by Oaksnaf » Sun Apr 21, 2013 11:28 am
HEALESVILLE RACE 1
5 HARPER SEVEN $2.83
6 ABSOLUTE $6.57
3 LITTLE MISS RUSH $7.30
2 DR GEE GEE $10.02
4 SWAHILI SAM $11.13
7 CELIAS PUZZLE $12.37
1 DICKY $18.85
9 SISCO DANCE $28.74
6.60 to the first split #5. 6.63 tot he first split for Little Miss Rush. Harper Seven drawn rails, Rush raced out in the middle. Win times 19.46 / 19.79.
If Little Miss Rush moves to the middle of the track again and Vassalo's rails madly, this will be a problem. And most of Vassalo's runners are mad railers here for some reason.
That is the only thing that can stop HARPER SEVEN from winning here. Is too classy for these
ABSOLUTE will improve on run drawn outside the pace and is unlikely to get a HUGE check in the race this time around. #4 will be running on, while #2 is drawn to improve given runners on outside and inside.\
Hard to find value in this one. But #4 place value for the exotics.
RACE 2
5 HARRY HORSE $3.14
7 SHANNON VALE $4.31
8 MIA SURGEON $5.32
6 SMOOTH GRIN $8.10
2 RIDDLER $15.25
4 CRAZY WAL $28.70
9 RAW SCRAWLA $43.74
1 CATTOGIO $66.66
A clear difference in ability in this semi-final. Too much pace from #5 early on against these, and the others who can jump are weak over the concluding stages. Well weaker. #7 was run off the track last week when in a good position yet despite this still went on to win the race in 19.78 only 4 lengths or so behind the time of HARRY. There won't be much between them two this time around time wise, while #8 will be flying home.
Good betting race for exotics revolving around the Top 4. 5th only to run 3rd. Unless value.
RACE 3
4 MUSICA $3.68
3 ITS IRON HIDE $4.54
6 RIDE FREE POPPA $6.92
9 LIL MAYBE $8.55
2 CHOIR MASTER $9.50
1 DR MEL $13.03
8 RED SURGE $24.52
7 LAVROS RAIDER $41.52
Small field helped Musica win heat, but was an incredible effort given the slow start, crashed to the outside runner, swung to the rails nearly sideways and then flew through the field and then got a little bump when getting into the lead. Huge effort.
#3 ran up to ability on trial form and got a dream run to the rails. Was helped in race by the early speed and clearly split pack. But was strong to the finish. #6 will enjoy the run here today and was never without bother for mine, yet mind stayed on the job and was strong on the rails.
Trial form is that the reserve is a big chance in this race. The others, 1,2 are drawn exceptionally well to improve and must be included in the exotics. The others not for mine at all.
RACE 4
1 WAVE BURST $2.96
7 LUMPSTAR $4.06
8 STILL WATCH $6.88
2 MAYBE CHEAP $8.49
4 DR SANCSHA $12.94
3 SISCO DREAM $24.35
9 RAIDER LEE $45.81
5 BLUE HAVILAH $86.20
This is perhaps one the clearest races of the day for mine to seperate the field. WAVE BURST has the form, has the box, has the racing pattern to suit the box and will be exceptionally hard to beat here. Won't lead, but will motor home on the rails and pass #4 who leads this race.
LUMPSTAR was a great run, cannot fault. Early speed will be a concern and a full field with no vacant box on inside will also increase chances of problems moreso. But was run hard to fault.
STILL WATCH was the biggest plunge of the day after the word got around about trial etc. Backed from 18s in 4s in the space of 2 minutes. Harder to find rail today.
RACE 5
8 HEAD EM UP $3.64
6 DINS ECHO $5.55
3 AMLIN LASS $6.16
2 BANGKOK STAR $8.46
1 MATLOCK $10.44
5 UNFANTASIZED $14.32
7 BOBBY BE GOOD $17.68
4 NORTHERN GUNNA $24.25
#1 draw does suit
#2 also rails runner
#3 great speed early and rails
#4 goes straight all the time, but is steady, runs on
#5 inconsistent runner but this field is much stronger
#6 early speed here, must cross the #5 who can sweep out
#7 Slow out, needs rails to run on. Enjoys it here.
#8 Great Cran form, perfectly boxed with the 7 on inside. Gets chance to prove CRAN form continues to show up here.
RACE 6
2 BLACK VEGAS $3.57
5 KAYGEES GIRL $4.41
3 CHALLIS MISS $4.90
8 QUEEN SELENE $9.21
7 REST AND RESTORE $11.38
9 DR SUNOVA $17.34
4 WHITE GREASE $29.36
RACE 7
2 MISS SPENCE $2.71
1 ANNA RAY GIRL $3.72
5 MAJOR FIRE $6.30
8 WALK DON’T RUN $11.85
4 MAXZIVA $18.06
3 PREMIER MAGPIE $33.97
6 MY SENORITA $51.78
10 STAWBS PRIDE $71.03
Great exotic race. TOO much pace from #1,2 in this race. They are going to be so hard to catch.
RACE 8
1 EARLY RETURN $1.92
6 ZALDINI $6.80
7 MISTER MOOMS $9.33
3 TOP AVENGER $10.36
4 OUR WILFRED $14.21
2 ROCK YA BONES $24.07
8 WINNERS CIRCLE $69.03
Perfect box, near perfect record. Too much pace and too much ability here. Early Return just wins.Top Avenger heads to outside fence again. Zaldini can jump ok though, needs to move across before TOP Avenger.
Good race for the placings as also #2 heads out into the middle of the track.And 7 comes in.
RACE 9
8 SPIRITE LEE $2.39
7 DIRTY MARY $5.55
4 JODIE CAMBAZ $6.17
2 DENISE MAGIC $8.46
3 GIFTED JAY JAY $19.66
5 BLUE AURA $29.96
6 MAJOR BLONDE $45.67
9 LIGHT TIGHTS $69.60
Only the TOP 4 can figure in this race. There is a clear distinction in ability over this T/D for these runners in this race. Hard to find value, perhaps the 7 will provide it. I would think #8-4 are favoured in market by Joe.
RACE 10
6 JUST A FANTASY $3.47
5 SHIFTY MIFTY $4.28
1 MEXICO JOE $5.88
2 FIVEAWAY ARANDT $7.25
4 SHES A JET $11.06
7 HELLO FLIP $28.54
8 PINK WHISLTE $43.50
3 CARLOS WEST $48.34
RACE 11
6 SUPERIOR ASHLEE $3.31
7 TIRRANNA REX $5.61
2 REFUSED BAIL $6.92
3 OUR DEBREE $9.49
5 TRINITY JACK $10.55
4 JULIA JAY $14.47
1 SHIRAZ MONELLI $17.86
8 DEMON HUNTER $19.85
RACE 12
4 HILLVIEW JAKE $3.48
5 KOKO KOLA $5.30
7 KID MAXIMUS $5.89
6 RELLIM LESTA $8.98
8 WHOS HOOK $9.98
2 DR TALULA $13.69
3 INFRINGEMENT $20.87
1 NITRO ROCKS $48.47
QUADDIE:
1,2,3,6,8 / 2,3,5 / 1,2 /1
Can afford to go wide early, and then skinny.