Greyhounds This Week

[Oaksnaf]

Shep Race 4

6 LA BELLA SAL $3.73
3 NAOMI KEEPING $5.11
8 LITTLE LUCAS $6.31
5 RUFUS DUFUS $7.79
1 WHERES ALWYN $9.62
7 SEVENTH CADET $14.67
4 ELITE JIMMY $22.35
9 PREVARICATOR $30.66

373-QUIN

An open race here, but in knowing that there is plenty of value to be had in the exotics with these selections. Especially with #1 not being included to run 1st/2nd.

Bet?

Box Top 4 Quin = $6
#6 WIN $2.50
#5 WIN $1.50

[mighty_tiger_79]

Sorry MT79. Didn't see your selections above...

I'll have to do a bit of a combo of both tips

no need to apologise Moppy, I bludge off Oaksy tips too

you gotta go where the money is.....................and the money is always with Oaksy selections, afterall he is a professional punter and form analyser and in only a few months on here has made a few of us plenty of cash

[Oaksnaf]

Shep Race 5

6 LUCKY MOMENY $2.74
3 SUPREME DARKNESS $6.37
7 SEE YOU LATTE $7.08
10 FROTHIES ANGEL $10.79
8 SNOW DANGER $11.99
2 ELITE YIPPEE $14.80
1 BIG WANALTA $20.30
5 BLEDISLOE $22.56

274-EXACTA

This can be a tricky race. There is plenty of pace from 6,7 in the early stages of the race and we know #2 Supreme Darkness is a CAT (Ie wont chase bunny, will chase other runners). And most of the time, these CATS since they are not seen as winning chances are not put into exotics giving the dividend value.

I believe that Supreme Darkness is going to sit on the fence behind #6 Lucky Moment who should cross this field easily. From there #3 will cause a few problems for #7 who won't go round. Reserve is perfectly positioned in this race too, hence why rated so highly in the market order.

How do we bet?

Well, I think this race is a simple equation to bet into.

Exacta 6-3,7 X 5 = $10

[mighty_tiger_79]

just gone through and worked out the best selection

2 - 5 is from a little system I operate, looks the goods in this

5 - 6,7 only winning hopes

9 - 6 , 4 again two chances here I could find

gone all up the above selections and doubled up races 2 and 5

also did race 2 - 5,8 into race 5 - 6,7

[Oaksnaf]

Well Shep is your Holy Grail MT! So it is a good sign that we see the races in similar fashion.

[mighty_tiger_79]

Shep Race 1

8 BABY BONUS $3.52
1 DIVA DOLL $4.34
5 CANE CALDO $5.96
3 FROSTY COBRA $6.62
4 STONE HILL $15.38
2 PANTHEON $23.44
7 DINGO $26.04
6 BEST CHORD $49.00

362-QUIN

#1 Diva Doll is hit/miss and will need to rail up here to win. Can be knocked around in early stages of race as #3 has enough pace, even the #4 can ping the lids, but #4 fades badly.

#8 Baby Bonus gets a clear run out-wide and has no pace on inside so should clear easily and muster up quickly as crosses to to the rail clearly as insides jostle for position. #5 is positioned perfectly to sit on the rail behind the pace setters and is stronger in the finish. Great place VALUE if >$1.80.

As you can see the market reflects their winning chances in this race. I believe only 4 dogs can win this race, the others just play a part in how suited the runners are.

How to bet if you can't bet at time of jump.

For $10 spendage in this race
Box Quin Top 4 = $6
$4 WIN on Top Rater

the 5 is nice overs at this stage

boxing up your top 4 in the tri

[mighty_tiger_79]

Well Shep is your Holy Grail MT! So it is a good sign that we see the races in similar fashion.

yes it is a very good sign and as seen on fri morning at sheppy - when we get similar ratings they generally come in = $$$$$$$$$$

[mighty_tiger_79]

found the winner which was nice as that was my top pick but the others just couldnt get into it

result 3-4-2-8

[Oaksnaf]

Nice work!

A little bit of interferance ruined my race. But it happens. Hard to find the value in Race 2 though, looks like punters are well on top of 5,8.

[mighty_tiger_79]

loaded up on the tris here in race 2

5/8/f
5/f/8

5/78/78

5/8/137
5/137/8

5/1378/1378

1378/5/1378

1378/1378/5

58/13578/13578

58/58/137
58/137/58

[Mop Up]

Geebus!!

How much did that cost you all up?

I might just try a simpler one

[mighty_tiger_79]

Geebus!!

How much did that cost you all up?

I might just try a simpler one

spent $96

[Oaksnaf]

When your betting with smaller amounts, you have to aim for the higher S/R bets, unless you are betting appropiately to a bank. IE: BANK $1000 ... Bet 2% = $20 per race.

If you have a bank of say $250 and your betting $10 a race then you have a smaller chance of your bank sustaining a long run of outs. And they come, especially with exotic betting.

A simple trifecta to take would be

5,8-5,8-1,3 = $4 for 100%
5,8-1,3-5,8 = $4 for 100%
5-8-3 $2 for 200%

OUT $10

[mighty_tiger_79]

5-8-7 would be very very nice here

even 5-7-8

surely the punting gods will allow me a collect and a silly tri divvie that pays close to $100

[Mop Up]

I took the 5,8 quinella

And

5,8/1,3,5,7,8/1,3,5,7,8 for $18

[Mr_Willy]

I took the 5,8 quinella

And

5,8/1,3,5,7,8/1,3,5,7,8 for $18

Should be a nice collect... Tri paid $184.40 on UNITAB 8-3-7

[Mop Up]

Sorry didnt have the 1 for 2nd... but anyways yes... not sure on Sportinbet what odds it is I get on the Trifectas because when you put it on it says SBO as in Sportingbet Odds.. time will tell

Paid 280 in NSW but only 126 in VIC

[mighty_tiger_79]

I took the 5,8 quinella

And

5,8/1,3,5,7,8/1,3,5,7,8 for $18

nice hit!!!!!!!!

you killed my divvie though

[Oaksnaf]

Well done.

So far for $10 per race. -$1.40 with that $18.60 Exacta in Race 2.

[Mop Up]

HAHA sorry MT, Still winners are grinners

Yeah that was handy, never won like that on the dogs before! SBO paid out as the unitab results so $184

Gr8 tips boys!