by mighty_tiger_79 » Thu Aug 21, 2014 5:18 pm
august 21st
race 1 - 3 is clearly the best dog in this race. Doesn't have to lead to win.
the 2 will begin quickly and the 4 is a tad slow.
the 3 should get a dream run .
I expect the 2 to cross to the fence ahead of the red and the 3 to not be too far away on the first turn and should run over the top of the leading 2 dog.
the 7 is the interesting runner, first up from VIC for the Murrays - they normally get their runners from the west, so this must have something that they like. they like a punt so follow the markets.
the 8 loves it out here, and could be good odds for exotics
race 2
I have the 4 as my top selection here narrowly ahead of the red.
they look the standout runners here.
the red didn't enjoy a lot of luck last time out.
for the 3rd/4th it looks between the 2,8.
the 2 looks like it is a non-winner
race 3
only really 4 contenders to worry about here
2,5,7,8
the 6,7,8 all possess early pace.
the 6 isn't suited here
the 7 can ping to the lead and the 8 will get a beautiful cart across the field
if the 5 produces its best first split, it will simply win
the 2 is the up n comer here and has a good record, can run the time, suited by the rails and if there is any trouble out wide it will suit this runner perfectly
2-5-7-8
a good race to look at nailing the tri in order for various units on various combos
race 4
8-7-1
again looks a good race to nail the tri
these all possess early pace
the red is first up since Feb, first try at this distance
the 7 also has early pace and this will assist the 8 who is a little stronger in the last sectional
race 5
7 - looks the top pick, and the pink is the only possible danger
probably the red is the next best to fill in a placing. It did beat the 7 when they had these same boxes a few weeks back.
the 7 should be $1.50
race 7
4 - the top pick here and no real clear 2nd pick.
$2.20 - it just needs to improve on its last 2 starts where it has begun poorly
if it lobs with them early it win easily
race 8
one of my fav runners is in this -8 Kalden Gambino
the 7 and the 8 will both ping lids
the 7 is a tad weak in the section and the pink will be storming to the post
the 4 can also begin quickly, but it needs to lead to win, it wont be leading here! I would be happy to lay the 4 if it is under $15
I would expect the 8 to be close to $1.30
its an interesting race for the exotics
the 5 has its best time recorded from this box and the 6 is a consistent performer and I think they both have the ability to fill in the exotics at good ew odds - $10+
race 9
8 - just wins - it simply lobs handy and wins $1.10
the red looks the strong exacta dog
the 2 is from VIC couldn't possibly win, but might be a tri chance along with the 4,7
race 10
2 - victa brooke
been a long time since it has saluted, perhaps turned into a nonny.
this is a perfect opportunity for it, drawn on the rails, has early pace
the main danger and the fav on the tote will be the 6. this is a slow out run on dog. it is the slowest beginner in the field but is a railer and will head straight left and if it finds the fence unhindered it will be storming home.
I would be hoping to get $6 for the 2. I would stake this on a 1 x 4 ratio
Matty Wade is a star and deserves more respect from the forum family!