Dutchy's Footy 2013

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Re: Dutchy's Footy 2013

Postby Dutchy » Sun Apr 07, 2013 2:52 pm

Been another good weekend, one bet today, WCE have had the 2 weeks off and if you look at the other 3 teams that have had the 2 week break Freo, Essendon & Crows they have all performed well this weekend. Hawks are off a 6 dayer plus a trip to Perth. Dont understand how they are favourites for this one.

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Re: Dutchy's Footy 2013

Postby Dutchy » Sat Apr 13, 2013 2:09 pm

North Melbourne Win (with Sportsbet 3/4 time refund)
1.5 unit @ $2.15

WCE -60.5 / GWS +32.5
1 Unit @ $3.68

North Adelaide / Norwood / WCE / Carlton +39.5
2 Units @ $1.90
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Re: Dutchy's Footy 2013

Postby Dutchy » Sat Apr 13, 2013 7:16 pm

Geelong / Carlton Under 199.5
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Re: Dutchy's Footy 2013

Postby Johno6 » Sat Apr 13, 2013 8:07 pm

I like that bet too Dutch. Awfully high IMO.
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Re: Dutchy's Footy 2013

Postby Dutchy » Sun Apr 14, 2013 10:36 am

Bullies +28.5
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Port +14.5
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Re: Dutchy's Footy 2013

Postby Dutchy » Sun Apr 14, 2013 1:58 pm

Collingwood / Hawks under 200.5
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Re: Dutchy's Footy 2013

Postby valleys07 » Sun Apr 14, 2013 10:27 pm

Fremantle vs. Essendon was the only game to have the unders come in.

So far this season the overs are up 19/8
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Re: Dutchy's Footy 2013

Postby Squids » Mon Apr 15, 2013 3:47 pm

I'd much rather back overs. I would rather he cheering for a team to score than not to score. Its not a bet type that I look at often though.
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Re: Dutchy's Footy 2013

Postby valleys07 » Mon Apr 15, 2013 5:04 pm

Concerning overs / unders:

At present, if game totals are @ 180 points or lower, overs are an 85% chance of coming in.
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Re: Dutchy's Footy 2013

Postby the egg » Mon Apr 15, 2013 10:54 pm

Overs 21-6 for the closers I have, this should really regress though, off the totals data I have 800+ games it was exactly 50% heading into this season for Over/Unders, was surprised by that.

some pretty big opening totals this week, infact its the average for this weeks is 10pts higher than all of the ones I have. Should see some more unders this week
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Re: Dutchy's Footy 2013

Postby Dutchy » Fri Apr 19, 2013 6:38 pm

Geelong +8.5
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Freo +32.5
1 Unit @ $2.00

Norwood/Centrals Win
2 Units @ $1.91

North Adelaide +10.5
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Re: Dutchy's Footy 2013

Postby beeroclock » Fri Apr 19, 2013 11:09 pm

Dutchy wrote:Geelong +8.5
1 Unit @ $2.00

Freo +32.5
1 Unit @ $2.00

Norwood/Centrals Win
2 Units @ $1.91

North Adelaide +10.5
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Eages in front by 30 in the third :shock:
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Re: Dutchy's Footy 2013

Postby Dutchy » Sat Apr 20, 2013 11:38 am

Add 0.5 unit Freo +31.5 @ $1.90

Hawks / Freo under 193.5
1 unit @ $1.90

Collingwood +2
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WCE / Centrals / Crows / Roos
1.5 units @ $3.05

South +13.5
1 unit @ $1.90

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Re: Dutchy's Footy 2013

Postby Dutchy » Sun Apr 21, 2013 2:00 pm

Brisbane/Roos Under 205.5
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Roos -10.5 into Adelaide -19.5
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Re: Dutchy's Footy 2013

Postby Dutchy » Thu Apr 25, 2013 2:59 pm

Collingwood/Swans Win
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Re: Dutchy's Footy 2013

Postby Dutchy » Thu Apr 25, 2013 3:29 pm

Sydney/Saints Under 189.5
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Re: Dutchy's Footy 2013

Postby Dutchy » Sat Apr 27, 2013 2:05 pm

not a great weekend for punting on the footy IMO.

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Re: Dutchy's Footy 2013

Postby Dutchy » Sat Apr 27, 2013 5:09 pm

Port Power Win
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WCE Under 98 points
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Re: Dutchy's Footy 2013

Postby Dutchy » Sun Apr 28, 2013 5:08 pm

These totals are just getting too high

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Re: Dutchy's Footy 2013

Postby Dutchy » Fri May 03, 2013 6:43 pm

Collingwood / Sydney / Roos / Hawks Win
1.5 Units @ $2.24

Saints Under 88.5
1.5 Units @ $1.95

Glenelg +30.5
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