Dutchy's NBL $54.10 profit at season end

[Dutchy]

NBL Round 20
WOLLONGONG HAWKS v SINGAPORE SLINGERS
Game Total
Win Under 203.5
$25- @ $1.90
to return $47-00 189 points, 14 up my sleve!

Record
System 0-4
I $40-
R $0-
P -$40-
Tips 5-1
I $160-
R $248.70
P $88.70

Net Profit $48.70

thats a 5-1 record with the only loss a 0.5 loss....liking the NBL a lot all of a sudden!!!

[mighty_tiger_79]

just as the season is drawing to a close!!!!!!!!

[Dutchy]

thats why I like betting late season MT as most games have soemthing tiding on them therefore you get honest performances

Im off for the day/night boys on a pub crawl so getting this one in early -


NBL R20
Adelaide-Melbourne
Over 205.5 Points
$30- @ $1.85
to return $55.50

these 2 teams traditionally always have high scoring affairs...should be a big win to Melbourne, but even when losing Adelaide still score highly (lost by 32 last week but still put up 99 points)...Im very suprised this line is so low, in fact ive taken PUNITAB odds here as all the other books have the line at 207.5, Im happy to take the worse odds to get the extra 2 points...

[Dutchy]

NBL R20
Adelaide-Melbourne
Over 205.5 Points
$30- @ $1.85
to return $55.50 221 points...got this one easy....record moves to 6-1

Record
System 0-4
I $40-
R $0-
P -$40-
Tips 6-1
I $190-
R $304.20
P $114.20

Net Profit $74.20

[Dutchy]

alright there is a game today in Darwin...a home game for Perth but they play Cairns which is much closer to Darwin than Perth!!!..Perth plyed in Melbourne on Wed night and now up in Darwin...plenty of travelling, while Carins just popped across the top of the country...considering the line offered here you just have to be on Cairns side...

Cairns v Perth
Cairns +10.5
$25- @ $1.90
to return $$47.00

[Dutchy]

well Cairns up by 9 at half time so thats gives me 19.5 points in a low scoring game...

[Dutchy]

Cairns v Perth
Cairns +10.5
$25- @ $1.90
to return $$47.00 Cairns won by 5, in the last 15 days Perth have been flown Perth/Cairns/Townsville/Perth/Melbourne/Perth/Darwin/Perth not including connecting flights....and the bookies put up a 10 point start!!!! joke.....and Mal thought the trotters had it tough

Record
System 0-4
I $40-
R $0-
P -$40-

Tips 7-1
I $215-
R $351.20
P $136.20

Net Profit $96.20

[Paul Nixon]

Dutchy- interested to hear your thoughts on sth dragons v adelaide. Punitab offering the line at 10.5 pts.

[mal]

P/NIXON welcome to the stable.
DUTCHYS the man.

[Dutchy]

PN - will have a bet tongiht, but not in that game...If you had to bet in that game you would have to take South Dragons to win even with the 10 point start....back soon

[Dutchy]

alright Lads here it is, Ive been keen on this one all day Perth travel (yes they are weary) to the Gong, Perth have lost their last 2 games against Melbourne and Cairns however the Hawks arent in their league and will have a heavy revenge factor in their eyes tonight. Groves is doubtfull for the Hawks with a swollen ankle, reports say he will play but what will his influence be? Perth will be fired up for this one and are clearly the superior team, expect them to win easy....

BTW checking the books on this game, Centrebet had -5.0, IAS -5.5 and PUNITAB -6.5 (but expect you to take worse odds at $1.85!!!!)

WOLLONGONG HAWKS v PERTH WILDCATS
Line -5.0 PERTH WILDCATS
$40- @ $1.90
to return $76-00

System Bet
WOLLONGONG HAWKS v PERTH WILDCATS
PERTH WILDCATS Win over 10.5
$10- @ $2.90
to return $29.00

PN - Punitab have 36ers +10.5 for $1.85, Centrebet +9.0 for $1.90 - work that out!!!! As I said if I was to be in that game I would take SD -9.0 and also have something on the game going over 207.5 points....also might have a bet on Brisbane tonight if the above bet gets up (that game starts 10.30pm)

[Paul Nixon]

Thanks for your thoughts dutchy-ended up leaving the game alone. Too many pts to give the sixers

[Dutchy]

well ordinary night tonight...bloody Perth just didnt play after 1/2 time...weary I guess after crossing the country 4 times in the past fortnight...still should have won....missed 13 3 point shots ina row at one stage, this is from the best 3 point team % in the league...they didnt look switched on...should have stuck with the 36ers game where I felt the over 207 was value...it was 140all at full time!!!

Still my record is 7-2 and if you put $100- on each of my selections you would be $430- up...

Im sacking the System as it aint working...keen to try it next year though with a bit of tweaking...


Tips 7-2
I $255-
R $351.20
P $96.20

[mal]

invest 255
return 351
profit +96

As Michal Jackson once sang
" Dont stop till ya get enough."

[mighty_tiger_79]

DUTCHY

BAYMAN was lucky enough to be given some tickets for tonights blockbuster from a board member and im tagging along. To make the game a little more interesting what is the best value?

Cairns at $1.80 on punitab!!!!!!

[mighty_tiger_79]

i take the cairns bit back on centrebet they are $1.98, the market is basically reversed.

[Dutchy]

will look later and advise but on the surface Cairns looks great value

[mighty_tiger_79]

well here we go,

ive jumped on CAIRNS at $1.95 BETFAIR had $15 on that.

centrebet multi's with the help of DUTCHY!!!!!!!!

i bludged and took Sacramento and detroit at the line, had $5 to get back $18.24

sacramento line
detroit line
cairns win x $5 = $36.22

all the above just win = $4.97 x $15

cairns under 10.5
sac -2
det - 4.5 =$10.94 x $5

cairns over 10.5
sac -2
det -4.5 =$18.79 x$3

[Dutchy]

DET win easy, SAC game about to start...could be a big night MT!!!

[Dutchy]

alright took my second hit on Wednesday taking my record to 7-2 (AG where have you been?)...Perth have figured in both my losses so maybe a team to keep clear of...as MT mentioned this is a crazy price for the Adelaide/Cairns game, I assess it Cairns $1-50 Adelaide $2.90, Cairns have had a full weeks rest while Adelaide went to Melbourne on Wed night to lose in Overtime 149-147, yes they gave up 149 points!!!!...no defence and Cairns have the offensive weapons to make the most of this including former 36er The Big CAT....Darnell Mee is the best defender in the league so the 36ers wont be getting the easy flowing game they had Wed...only thing pointing to a win to the 36ers here is its their last game of the season, will they step up for the last game? I dont think so, so much has gone wrong they will just want to get the game over and hit the turps.....Ill take the $1.93 Centrebet is offering (IAS the same but PUNITAB has 36ers favs at $1.80!!!)

Cairns to beat Adelaide
$30- @ $1.93
to return $57.90

Ive also had a little bit of Cairns over 10.5 at the juicy $4.85...