A Daily Punt....$75.21 profit...campaign retired

Best Bets? Talking Odds? This is the place.

Postby Dissident » Wed Dec 13, 2006 9:02 am

Dutchy wrote:still thinking about NBA


Me too, it's hard.
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Postby Dutchy » Wed Dec 13, 2006 9:24 am

tough day I believe...thinking about MIL/SEA under...not 100% convinced on some of the tips given out, waiting to see if B7 comes up with a play
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Postby Dissident » Wed Dec 13, 2006 9:51 am

He's gone the over I think.
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Postby Dutchy » Wed Dec 13, 2006 10:28 am

He went the over on the GSW game, indicates he likes the under on the MIL game so Ive gone -

WEDNESDAY
SEA @ MIL
Total points under 207.5
$30- @ $1.91
to return $57.20

SAC @ GSW
Total points over 213.5
$20- @ $1.91
to return $38.20

multi the above two with
DEN -8.0
$5- @ $6.93
to return $34.65
Geez the Denver line has gone from -5.5 to -8.0 within the last hour,
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Postby Dissident » Wed Dec 13, 2006 10:36 am

Dutchy wrote:He went the over on the GSW game, indicates he likes the under on the MIL game so Ive gone -

WEDNESDAY
SEA @ MIL
Total points under 207.5
$30- @ $1.91
to return $57.20

SAC @ GSW
Total points over 213.5
$20- @ $1.91
to return $38.20

multi the above two with
DEN -8.0
$5- @ $6.93
to return $34.65
Geez the Denver line has gone from -5.5 to -8.0 within the last hour,


Yeah I know (DEN) I got it at -7.5. No JJ for Atlanta - scoring is hard now. The UNDER looks good (unless that's reduced too).

SEA/MIL point looks a sure thing.
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Postby Dutchy » Wed Dec 13, 2006 5:40 pm

WEDNESDAY
NHL System Bets
OTTAWA SENATORS +1.5 @ Detroit Red Wings
$10- @ $1.54
to return $15.40 :lol: :lol:

BOSTON BRUINS +1.5 @ Montreal Canadiens
$10- @ $1.54
to return $15.40 :lol: :lol:

SEA @ MIL
Total points under 207.5
$30- @ $1.91
to return $57.20 :lol: :lol:

SAC @ GSW
Total points over 213.5
$20- @ $1.91
to return $38.20 :lol: :lol:

multi the above two with
DEN -8.0
$5- @ $6.93to return $34.65 :lol: :lol:

great day...cant resist this is the same bet from a few weeks ago, Farely always plays well against W/Sydney

NBL Round 13
ADELAIDE 36ERS v WEST SYDNEY RAZORBACKS
Most Points
Win FARLEY, Willie (Adelaide)
$15- @ $3.40
to return $51.00
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Postby Dissident » Wed Dec 13, 2006 7:05 pm

Well done mate!!
Good to see a whole column of smilies there, rather than one frown (and missing a multi!)
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Postby Dutchy » Wed Dec 13, 2006 9:02 pm

cheers...finally glad to crack a multi again!...money to be made everywhere with Dutchy and Diss's NBA!!!

If SA get up in the cricket it will be an extra good day as I backed them at $2-00 and then half way thru the SA innings I put up $1.50 (lay) for Queensland and someone took it!!!! so effectively got $3-00 for SA to win
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Postby Dissident » Wed Dec 13, 2006 9:23 pm

Dutchy wrote:cheers...finally glad to crack a multi again!...money to be made everywhere with Dutchy and Diss's NBA!!!

If SA get up in the cricket it will be an extra good day as I backed them at $2-00 and then half way thru the SA innings I put up $1.50 (lay) for Queensland and someone took it!!!! so effectively got $3-00 for SA to win


Last ball!!!!!!!!!!!!
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Postby Dutchy » Wed Dec 13, 2006 9:53 pm

Record
WL 76-69 (NBA 68-42)
Invested $2755.00
Returned $3114.91
Profit $359.91
ROI 13.03%
NHL System 13-4 I$190 R$206.30 P$16.30
NBA System 5-5 I$100 R$96.70 P-$3.30


alright back on track with a cracker of a day on the punt, now to get back above $400-
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Postby Dutchy » Thu Dec 14, 2006 9:18 am

WEDNESDAY
LAL @ DAL
DAL -8.5
$30- @ $1.91
to return $57.30

TOR @ ORL
ORL -9.5
$25- @ $1.91
to return $47.75

PHX @ MIA
MIA -11.5
$20- @ $1.91
to return $38.20

DEN @ WAS
Total points over 221.5
$30- @ $1.90
to return $57-00

plus multi
MIA
ORL
DAL
all at the line above
$5- @ $6.96
to return $34.80

and there might be one mroe still...gone pretty big today as confidence is high, confident of getting at least 3 over the line.
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Postby ORDoubleBlues » Thu Dec 14, 2006 11:02 am

ORDoubleBlues wrote:
Dutchy wrote:
ORDoubleBlues wrote:One I usually go for in the NBA is to bet against a Western Conference/Eastern Conference team that is on the last game of a 4 or 5 game road trip to the other conference.


Interesting, feel free to let us know when there is one of these bets...one of the guys I follow in the US says that records ATS are heavily in favour of the away team when there is a 4 games in 5 nights team playing not matter if that team is the home or away team....


For example, Miami at Denver on Saturday is Miami's fifth Western Conference game and they are without Shaq as well.
Think this game is the one on ESPN on Saturday too but I could be wrong.


Detroit to beat Seattle next Monday.
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Postby Dutchy » Thu Dec 14, 2006 11:26 am

interesting stat last week WC v EC teams...WC won 70% of the games

WC teams have the bets teams where EC tend to have the worse teams but more individual stars
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Postby mighty_tiger_79 » Thu Dec 14, 2006 11:42 am

i read somewhere that we should bet against teams in the atlantic division
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Postby Dutchy » Thu Dec 14, 2006 12:03 pm

mighty_tiger_79 wrote:i read somewhere that we should bet against teams in the atlantic division


thats easy because they are all ordinary, NJN are the only possible team that could influence the playoffs, they lead the division with a 8-12 record!!!! -

New Jersey 8 12 (could be OK as season progresses)
Boston 7 13 (terrible team)
New York 8 15 (see Boston)
Toronto 7 14 (OK at Home, always back against them without Bosh)
Philadelphia 5 15 (see Boston)
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Postby mighty_tiger_79 » Thu Dec 14, 2006 1:11 pm

so im guessing because its common knowledge that the atlantic division is all ordinary that you cant get any value with the teams that they are playing?
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Postby Dutchy » Thu Dec 14, 2006 1:22 pm

Fukn disaster of a day, always happen when Im confident, when I say that again bet against me and you will clean up....adding this one to try and get something out of the day

J Langer
to make 100+
1st innings
$30- @ $4.30
to return $129-
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Postby Dissident » Thu Dec 14, 2006 1:27 pm

Dutchy wrote:
mighty_tiger_79 wrote:i read somewhere that we should bet against teams in the atlantic division


thats easy because they are all ordinary, NJN are the only possible team that could influence the playoffs, they lead the division with a 8-12 record!!!! -

New Jersey 8 12 (could be OK as season progresses)
Boston 7 13 (terrible team)
New York 8 15 (see Boston)
Toronto 7 14 (OK at Home, always back against them without Bosh)
Philadelphia 5 15 (see Boston)


PHI looking for a NEW answer!
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Postby Dissident » Thu Dec 14, 2006 1:34 pm

Dutchy wrote:PHX @ MIA
MIA -11.5
$20- @ $1.91
to return $38.20


That line can't be right, surely.
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Postby Dutchy » Fri Dec 15, 2006 10:18 am

Record
WL 77-74 (NBA 69-45)
Invested $2895.00
Returned $3172.21
Profit $277.21
ROI 9.5%
NHL System 13-4 I$190 R$206.30 P$16.30
NBA System 5-5 I$100 R$96.70 P-$3.30


disaster yesterday 1-5...didnt I say a couple of days ago I was going to reduce my plays??? :twisted:

decided to do some capping myself tonight and looking at the ORL/CHA game, both teams struggling so hard to pick a winner however last 4 games scoring is interesting for both teams CHA average 80 points and ORL 85 points, the line fo theis game is 181.5....seems a good bet to me, in fact im going to make it my Bet Of the Week (im 2-0 so far this season)...in fact checking BF I can get $2.12 under 180.5...good enough!

ORL @ CHA
Total points under 180.5
$40- @ $2.12
to return $84.80
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