AFL+SANFL RD 19 DISCUSSION

[mighty_tiger_79]

even with those stats, im still not convinced

[Ecky]

even with those stats, im still not convinced

None of us are convinced that Glenelg will win, just that the market of Glenelg 1.75, Port 2.05 seems to be about right. Definitely a no-bet game for me (unless we see some different odds one way or the other)

[Punk Rooster]

Updated market http://www.sportsbet.com.au :

NA $2.25 (were $2.00)
CD $1.62 ($1.80)

St $1.90
WWT $1.90

Gl $2.10 ($1.75)
PA $1.70 ($2.05)

SA $1.95
WA $1.85

[Ecky]

I just checked the odds with sportsbet and they now have Port 1.70 Glenelg 2.10!

When MT79 speaks, Sportsbet listen!!!
If you are already on Port at 2.05, you can now back Glenelg at 2.10 for a guaranteed profit...

[mighty_tiger_79]

the market on the game thats done a switcheroo is about right

[Punk Rooster]

If you are already on Port at 2.05, you can now back Glenelg at 2.10 for a guaranteed profit...

?

[mighty_tiger_79]

If you are already on Port at 2.05, you can now back Glenelg at 2.10 for a guaranteed profit...

?

im thinking the same.................

[mal]

If you are all wondering NO I have not backed Port

[mighty_tiger_79]

If you are all wondering NO I have not backed Port

nah wasnt wondering at all!!!!!

[westcoastpanther]

Although it was only South, why take out last week? That is their most recent form, you are doing it only to better your argument which is dangerous for a punter!!

[Dutchy]

Although it was only South, why take out last week? That is their most recent form, you are doing it only to better your argument which is dangerous for a punter!!

I didnt take out last week in the initial figures, but even with the South result their average points for is below average, without the South game it shows it as even worse, Port havent been good against good teams I guess is what Im getting at, Glenelg at those odds now makes it a bet for me...Punk some de ja vu from last year perhaps?

[RustyCage]

Although it was only South, why take out last week? That is their most recent form, you are doing it only to better your argument which is dangerous for a punter!!

I didnt take out last week in the initial figures, but even with the South result their average points for is below average, without the South game it shows it as even worse, Port havent been good against good teams I guess is what Im getting at, Glenelg at those odds now makes it a bet for me...Punk some de ja vu from last year perhaps?

Recently we have spanked North and South, and gave Centrals a good hard push. Our recent form isn't too bad.

[Dutchy]

Although it was only South, why take out last week? That is their most recent form, you are doing it only to better your argument which is dangerous for a punter!!

I didnt take out last week in the initial figures, but even with the South result their average points for is below average, without the South game it shows it as even worse, Port havent been good against good teams I guess is what Im getting at, Glenelg at those odds now makes it a bet for me...Punk some de ja vu from last year perhaps?

Recently we have spanked North and South, and gave Centrals a good hard push. Our recent form isn't too bad.

so have we, infact Glenelg have won their last 8 final 1/4's by an average of 22 points (thanks Ecky) so you would want to be in front by 6+ goals come 3/4 time to win

[RustyCage]

Although it was only South, why take out last week? That is their most recent form, you are doing it only to better your argument which is dangerous for a punter!!

I didnt take out last week in the initial figures, but even with the South result their average points for is below average, without the South game it shows it as even worse, Port havent been good against good teams I guess is what Im getting at, Glenelg at those odds now makes it a bet for me...Punk some de ja vu from last year perhaps?

Recently we have spanked North and South, and gave Centrals a good hard push. Our recent form isn't too bad.

so have we, infact Glenelg have won their last 8 final 1/4's by an average of 22 points (thanks Ecky) so you would want to be in front by 6+ goals come 3/4 time to win

True. Very even game this week. Too hard to pick comfidently.

[Punk Rooster]

My bets so far for R19
Glenelg (win): 5% @ $2.10
CD (win): x @ $1.80

[Dutchy]

Punk is on the Bays!!!! Hooray!!!

[Punk Rooster]

Punk is on the Bays*** Hooray!!!

[mighty_tiger_79]

Thorntons market

2.25 NORTH ADELAIDE +4.5 2.50 7.00 11/8/07 2.00 PM
1.60 CENTRAL DISTRICT -12.5 2.20 2.80 PROSPECT OVAL

2.00 STURT ----- 2.30 6.00 11/8/07 2.15 PM
1.80 WOOD-TORRENS -8.5 2.20 5.00 ADELAIDE OVAL

2.10 GLENELG +2.5 2.50 6.50 12/8/07 2.00 PM
1.70 PORT MAGPIES -10.5 2.20 3.00 CHALL. RECRUITMENT OVAL

2.00 SOUTH ADELAIDE ----- 2.30 6.00 12/8/07 2.00 PM
1.80 WEST ADELAIDE -8.5 2.20 5.00 HICKINBOTHAM OVAL

GIFTBETS MARKETS

North Adelaide 2.25
Central District 1.62

Head To Head
Sturt 1.90
Eagles 1.90

Head To Head
Glenelg 2.10
Port Adelaide Magpies 1.70

Head To Head
South Adelaide 1.95
West Adelaide 1.85

THERE isnt a lot of difference in those markets, guess there wont be in the future now Johnny has found GIFTBET.com

[mighty_tiger_79]

just had a geeze at sportingbet.com and they have markets on whether players will kick more points then goals.........

[Punk Rooster]

Glenelg are now out to $2.35- can anyone explain why?
Dutchy/Bayman/MT79/FigMal?