SA Footy

Brodlach wrote:

moeee wrote:Oaksnaf been doing some fabulous accurate Markets , being totally destroyed by absolutely terrible wagers.
It's like a 2 year old picking them.
The wagers bear no reference to the Overlays available - total opposite almost.
**** him anyway - what he does or don't doesn't help me from my terrible selections and handicapping.

Is that a crack at Oaksy or yourself, I’m confused?

Both

Sent from my SM-A520F using Tapatalk

Don’t think anyone has the right to have a crack at Oaksy!

#pullyourheadin

It is difficult to give exact betting scenario's based on the early markets, given how much they move and that the wagering type does change by the time the market closes. I do apologise for anyone who religiously bets according to what wager is posted.

I will refrain from posting them to avoid confusion going forward for anyone. As I do agree, it does not correctly reflect what should be the wager given the closing market prices.

For anyone who is interested you can PM me for some wagering rules to wager more correctly on the markets. Except you Moeee, but I do appreciate your honest feedback.

I think we all have differing approaches to framing markets and wagering such markets. We all have our differing biases.

Some may place more relevance on

1st splits
Class
Overall race record vs recent form line

I wish i had the ability to create a programme outlining different preference scales.

Sent from my SM-A520F using Tapatalk

MEADOWS R2

2 ZAMBORA LION 2.66
1 JAVI 5.56
5 WINLOCK THOR 6.18
8 RIDDLES 8.48
7 SPRING PARTY 15.95
3 KING GRISTLE 19.69
6 LEDGERWOOD 30.01
4 ROCKSTAR MELODY 56.48

I still like the nicest name. Best system there is. Works well for the horses too.

I disagree Oaksy, I dont feel the need for you too withdraw your wager type. It may be hard to understand the how/why that particular wager is of choice, but you have a proven track record of being right more than wrong. Plus your market is their for those to follow against the fixed odds available. And i think most here that read your markets have the ability to make a sound choice and add in any big overlays if they feel its necessary.

And atleast you put your markets out there.

Sent from my SM-A520F using Tapatalk

DOC wrote:I still like the nicest name. Best system there is. Works well for the horses too.

So now i have to buy dogs with nicest name....

Lektra desire sounds nice to me[emoji23][emoji23]

Sent from my SM-A520F using Tapatalk

Thanks MT - but over the 230 odd recommended wagering selections, it is not profitable using TAB fixed odds. I keep the records of it. So Moeee is right. And it is fair to anyone who does bet based on the recommendation that they are not getting the full picture.

As you say, most people bet their own way. I'll just post the markets. And each to their own, or can PM as commented before.

All good Have a big day on the cards today, so hope for some success like yesterday !

MEADOWS R3

5 WEBLEC JACK 3.19
1 EARN THE FRANK 3.93
4 ROUTE SIXTY SIX 6.66
8 FATHER PHEVOS 8.22
3 AYO JOY 13.93
6 MIDNIGHT MYSTERY 26.21
7 SAINT DESTRUCTOR 35.95
2 SUMMER GIRL 44.39

Yes, correct, but you can use TAB fixed odds as a guide, anyone can find better odds elsewhere....eg. Betfair.



Sent from my SM-A520F using Tapatalk

MEADOWS R4

2 RAZOR SHARP 2.87
3 MAS PLUM JAM 5.40
5 FABRIOLA EXPERT 6.00
4 DYNA UNTHER 11.29
7 MORE MORE MORE 13.94
1 MEDINA 15.49
6 LARRAKEYAH LADY 21.25
8 MRS SHARP 35.98

MEADOWS R7

4 WEBLEC SMOKE 2.84
2 WILD FLYER 5.93
6 ROCK AND ROLL 7.33
5 BLINKEN BILLY 8.14
7 STRETCH BUTLER 12.41
8 ZIPPING WADE 13.79
1 IM A KRAKOUR 25.94
3 PRINCE MARK 35.58

MEADOWS R8

4 YOU TELL ME 2.79
1 GLADIOLI BALE 4.26
2 SECURITY CODE 5.84
7 DYNA ROMY 10.98
5 KINLOCH MOSS 16.74
3 DYNA BONNAY 28.35
8 YINDI GIRL TURBO 35.00
6 JAGGERS JOSS 48.01

MEADOWS R9

3 HALWES 3.81
2 BURN TIME 4.70
4 KUDOS BALE 5.22
8 DEWANA MILKSHAKE 7.96
6 POLLYS YOHANNA 12.14
1 MAGIC WILL 18.50
7 ZEKEL BALE 25.38
5 LARA TARA 31.33

MEADOWS R10

4 BUBBLES 3.67
1 FANCY FRANCENE 4.54
5 NADALI 5.04
7 RAINBOW SPIRIT 9.48
6 DEVEL SIXTEEN 14.46
2 RUN BY NIGHT 16.06
8 DEWANA CLASSIC 19.83
3 SHARKY SHARK 46.07

MEADOWS R11

4 PIRATES PATCH 3.33
5 WILD BRUTALITY 5.63
3 BIG DOVE 6.26
1 ELLIAS BALE 7.73
6 VICTORIAS KARA 10.60
2 DENZELL BALE 13.09
7 BRAITH BALE 24.63
10 BOSTON QUAY 46.35

MEADOWS R12

8 ASTON PIRATE 3.97
1 BOBBY THE BRUTE 4.41
6 WONDERFUL WORLD 6.05
5 LILY POTTER 6.72
7 BUDDY BOY TURBO 10.25
2 SUMMER LIGHTS 15.62
3 KEEPING BUSY 36.28
4 GETTYSBURG 55.29

BENDIGO R6

1 QUICKER THAN JOE 3.45
8 ASTON SQUIRE 4.26
4 BELLES ON BOOST 6.49
5 DREAMY EYES 8.90
6 DEWANA BE SURE 15.08
3 THREADIN MIKADO 16.75
2 SMOOTH TALKER 22.98
7 ANOTHER VADER 25.53

BENDIGO R7

2 DESIREE DEVERE 2.16
7 NANGAR RIPPRA 6.19
1 SIZZLIN SANCHEZ 10.49
5 GYPSY HOOK 11.66
8 WINLOCK DYNO 14.39
6 TEARAWAY TRAIN 19.74
3 LOCKED AWAY 24.37
4 EAGLEHAWK MISS 30.09

BENDIGO R8

2 CORNHILL REBEL 2.20
3 STILL SINGLE 6.32
6 AKOYA 7.80
1 JETTAS SHOUT 10.69
7 PURE COOL TITAN 14.67
8 ROSE MIKADO 16.30
4 BRICABRAC 27.60

BENDIGO R9

4 HARDAWAY JAYJAY 4.02
6 CHARLIE CHECKER 4.96
1 ESPECIAL ONE 5.51
7 VAMPIRE VIXEN 7.56
5 GRAPHIC PRINT 8.40
3 CLONCURRY GIRL 15.81
2 KRAKEN MAXI 26.77
9 ALFIE MIKADO 62.18

BENDIGO R10

1 LEKTRA DESIRE 4.38
4 HELENS MATE 4.87
6 PRINCE CODY 6.01
3 GOOD MATE RUSTY 7.42
5 SALLYS PRIDE 8.25
7 KELLI POCHETTE 12.57
2 ZIPPING STAN 23.66
8 UNCLE RICO 44.51

mighty_tiger_79 wrote:

moeee wrote:Oaksnaf been doing some fabulous accurate Markets , being totally destroyed by absolutely terrible wagers.
It's like a 2 year old picking them.
The wagers bear no reference to the Overlays available - total opposite almost.
**** him anyway - what he does or don't doesn't help me from my terrible selections and handicapping.

How would you be playing markets?
Do we look for Overlays to back and Underlays to betfair and keep it simple that way?

Granted that I am a Loser and my suggestion fails anyway , but damn , at least be sensible and reasonable with your wager.

Riddle me this.

BENDIGO R8

1 PERFECT ROCKY 2.13
#1 E/W

Why back an even money chance E/W ?

SALE R5

1 NERA ENOUGH 2.14
#1 E/W
and same thing here.


SALE R6

4 ROCK ME DAVID 3.37
3 LOADED 4.17
1 DIRTY MAX 6.35
2 MY MATE FLASH 8.71
8 STAY AT HOME 11.95
6 ST LEO 13.28
7 SKITTLE 30.84

#4 WIN
and here backs the unders dog and 2nd selection wins @ $15

there were other equally weird wagers.

granted the selections did run well , but you can ONLY LOSE by taking under the Odds.

Brodlach wrote:Don’t think anyone has the right to have a crack at Oaksy!

#pullyourheadin

This is a Forum isn't it ?
Do you know anything at all about greyhounds and gambling ?
How about contributing something greyhound instead of making me out to be a ****.

HVL R9

3 INTER MIMI 3.61
1 BLUE LARRIKIN 4.95
7 BANJOS AFFAIR 6.12
8 CALLUM ARI 8.39
5 ASTON MEILLEUR 9.32
6 BIG BELLA 14.21
10 ALL INN CHRISTY 29.71
4 JUST FAITH 36.67

SALE R4

2 CHARANGO 2.45
1 MAD EYE MADAM 4.62
4 MONTARO 8.69
3 RANGER ROSE 11.92
8 TEE TEE 13.24
5 BLAZIN HAWK 16.35
7 RAZOR ROY 24.92

SALE R11

4 GET REAL 2.79
1 UNCLE DREW 3.45
3 TEZZALENKO 8.01
2 DELANCY BALE 12.21
7 TAKE A ROSE 16.75
8 DYNA WAQA 18.61
6 WHATS UP SKIP 31.51

SANDOWN R5

6 TEKKI NIBBLES 2.94
2 NOTHIN TO LOSE 4.48
5 URINGA 5.53
7 CORAZON DE LEON 10.40
3 LIGHTWOOD LASS 14.27
8 DYNA XERVO 21.75
4 NATSU BALE 33.15
10 ADORI 77.00

Sandown Cup heats coming up this week and is just like to give you guys a bit of value to run with before the fields are drawn.
As much as I think Harlewood will do well, I see better value in having a place bet on BLAZING CARTIER. Currently around $7-8 fixed depending on the market you get it on.
This dog has been in pretty good form recently and is a grade 1 at the track and distance, also shows great field sense and can win from the back or front.
Great value IMO especially when there are dogs a lot shorter in the current market that are either unproven or not at their best.

Pre market tips
Mister Harlewood
Blazing Cartier
Submission


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk