Dutchy'$ Footy 2009

[Squawk]

Dutchy - do any of your systems foresee what the likelihood is of the Crows winning their next final, having had an 8 day break and playing away in Melbourne at the G at night? Collingwood off a 6 day break in the next final having lost their qualifier?

Will do some more study and advise but at the moment I favour the Pies, history says the losers of the first week win the 2nd week 95% of the time

Yes - at face value the Crows look likely favourites. However, the detail is in the past amidst a bigger picture!

[centreman]

Dutchy - do any of your systems foresee what the likelihood is of the Crows winning their next final, having had an 8 day break and playing away in Melbourne at the G at night? Collingwood off a 6 day break in the next final having lost their qualifier?

Will do some more study and advise but at the moment I favour the Pies, history says the losers of the first week win the 2nd week 95% of the time

Yes - at face value the Crows look likely favourites. However, the detail is in the past amidst a bigger picture!

16 of the last 18 top 4 sides that lost on the 1st week of finals win the 2nd week against the first week winners.
I'm tipping the crows a few year ago are 1 of the teams to go out in straight sets.

So dutchy was very close, its 88.9% of them win.
So why are crows $1.75 against Collingwood? A team which beat Crows at AAMi bout 6 weeks ago.

[mal]

Centreman
16 of the last 18 top 4 sides have won thier 2nd final after losing the first final
So why are Crows $1-75 you ask

Firstly the top 4 sides frequently win that next final for one very good reason, they are better teams.



HOWEVER

How many of those 16 winners had 2 days less break than the opposition ?

Dutchy makes a living outa risking football teams that back up after shorter breaks

[Dutchy]

Bullies -25.5
$165 @ $1.91

Adelaide to be lowest scoring team of the weekend
$50 @ $4.75

[Dutchy]

Glenelg to Win Flag
$1,000 @ $2.60

Now there is a chance to LAY off so have done this -

Centrals to win Flag
$800 @ $2.50

Sturt to win Flag
$200 @ $7.00


Scenario
Glenelg +$600
Centrals NIL
Sturt -$600

So essentially Ive got evens for Glenelg to win the Flag over Sturt - Centrals winning wont cost me anything

[Dutchy]

Collingwood +9.5
$265 @ $1.94

[Dutchy]

Magarey Medal
James Ezard to win
$50 @ $7.00

[stampy]

who would have a bet at these odds


GLENELG 2.30

CENTRAL DISTRICT 2.30

STURT 4.00

WOOD-TORRENS 8.00

[centreman]

Centreman
16 of the last 18 top 4 sides have won thier 2nd final after losing the first final
So why are Crows $1-75 you ask

Firstly the top 4 sides frequently win that next final for one very good reason, they are better teams.



HOWEVER

How many of those 16 winners had 2 days less break than the opposition ?

Dutchy makes a living outa risking football teams that back up after shorter breaks

2 points Mal.
1) 16 put of 18 to me was better stat, than the 2 less days break!!! what are the % on that? I'm tipping not 88.9% and rising!!!!!!!!!
2) Correct me if I'm wrong doesn't Dutchy work for a living (like most of us) And punts as a recreation, trying to make a $ (Once again like the rest of us).

[mighty_tiger_79]

centreman

i think Dutchy punts for a living and works for a recreation

[centreman]

centreman

i think Dutchy punts for a living and works for a recreation

Fair enough.

If thats the case he should work more and cut out the recreartion.

[mighty_tiger_79]

centreman

i think Dutchy punts for a living and works for a recreation

Fair enough.

If thats the case he should work more and cut out the recreartion.

it sounds good, its what i tell myself

[Squawk]

Magarey Medal
James Ezard to win
$50 @ $7.00

Nice work Dutchy!

Gotta Brownlow tip next?

[brent-83]

Lenny Hayes at odds!

Had a cracker start and could quite easily be leading at round 11. Could very well poll in rounds 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 14, 16, 22. I'd say BOG in round 5, 8, 11, 14, 16 and a real chance at 2 votes in 9, 10, 22.

[Dutchy]

Bullies -25.5
$165 @ $1.91

Adelaide to be lowest scoring team of the weekend
$50 @ $4.75 amazingly was still a show with this going into the last 1/4

Collingwood +9.5
$265 @ $1.94

Magarey Medal
James Ezard to win
$50 @ $7.00


Week 25 Summary
AFL +$349.25
SANFL +$125.00
TOTAL +$474.25

Dutchy'$ Footy 2009
NAB Cup -$161.50
AFL +$548.77
ITSADUD +$1,112.35
SANFL +$458.87
TOTAL +$1,958.49

[silicone skyline]

That Itsadud system has been very generous this year.

[Dutchy]

That Itsadud system has been very generous this year.

It is every year

[silicone skyline]

That Itsadud system has been very generous this year.

It is every year

[Dutchy]

Glenelg Win
$300 @ $1.83

[Pottsy]

C'mon!!

I'm very worried, but this bet gives me confidence...go you Bays!!! Keep the Dutchy Wagon rolling along...