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by **Dutchy** » Fri Aug 10, 2007 11:02 am

Punk Rooster wrote:Glenelg are now out to $2.35- can anyone explain why?
Dutchy/Bayman/MT79/FigMal?

just noticed that myself, Im confused, definately makes Glenelg a bet for me...strong Glenelg side also, Salopek back and possibly Dougy

by **Pseudo** » Fri Aug 10, 2007 11:33 am

Dutchy wrote:
Punk Rooster wrote:Glenelg are now out to $2.35- can anyone explain why?
Dutchy/Bayman/MT79/FigMal?

just noticed that myself, Im confused, definately makes Glenelg a bet for me...strong Glenelg side also, Salopek back and possibly Dougy

I already got on Port at $2.05 (in the punting comp) and am very happy with that.

Unfortunately I already placed my 1 unit bet, otherwise I reckon I'd put it on the Bays at $2.35!

Perhaps the team announcements have swayed the odds, looks like Port gets Krakoeur and Wakelin in. Also Mahoney still a chance to be called down to the smears.

by **Punk Rooster** » Fri Aug 10, 2007 11:41 am

Team announcements don't sway bookie odds- they sway the punter's peception of the game/outcome, & the weight of their money then influences the bookies odds.

by **Dutchy** » Fri Aug 10, 2007 11:43 am

Collingwood- But with little confidence here, could be an upset...looking at the stats since the mid season break Collingwood were averaging 54 Inside 50's, since the break they have averaged 47, a significant difference, they could well be fading away - NO BET

Hawks- Just a gut feel here that Hawks will get the job done, Brisbane travelling for the 2nd time in 3 weeks and a real tough physical game last week and die for a let down, Hawks do have some size down back to deal with Brown HAWKS WIN

Port- Should win but maybe not by as much as people think NO BET unless wet and will back Blues at line

Bullies- Bullies playing there 6 traight game on the DOOM, maybe they are getting used to the pain? they should win but Ill be betting against them at the line MELB at line

Sydney- The sleeping giant is awakening at the right time of the year, Saints coming off 4 DOOM games and never played at the venue before, Sydney for me SYD at line

Roos- Heres the upset of the round, Roos have had a well earned 8 day break, soemthing they havent had of late and have won their last 5 at the TD by an average of 30 points. WCE have only won 5 of their last 12 games. lose a couple of key players, are 8-14 at the TD since 2000 and are strong favourites here? Roos again have near full squad to choose from, Ill be on them ROOS at line, win and 1-39

Geelong- Could be a close one with the weather, esp considering Adelaide have not lost by more than 17 points this year on the road and that was to Melbourne Small wager on GEELONG 1-39

Freo- Finally woken up and could finish off Essendon here, expect them too...NO BET

by **Ecky** » Fri Aug 10, 2007 11:59 am

I'm also bemused at Glenelg being 2.35.

Also Glenelg 40+ @ 6.50 (Thorntons) looks much more likely than Port 40+ @ 3.20 (Thorntons), but I don't want to give anyone ideas for the punting comp of an good way to catch up on the leaders. :wink:

by **Ecky** » Fri Aug 10, 2007 1:50 pm

Glenelg now 2.40 with Sportsbet!
They obviously take no notice of the money I put on! :shock:

by **LT Smash** » Fri Aug 10, 2007 4:53 pm

Dutchy wrote:Roos- Heres the upset of the round, Roos have had a well earned 8 day break, soemthing they havent had of late and have won their last 5 at the TD by an average of 30 points. WCE have only won 5 of their last 12 games. lose a couple of key players, are 8-14 at the TD since 2000 and are strong favourites here? Roos again have near full squad to choose from, Ill be on them ROOS at line, win and 1-39

I was thinking Kangaroos as well for this one but the results since 2002 speak for themselves:

# Year Rd Team Score Versus Score Gnd Result Marg
1 2007 10 Kangaroos 7.13 (55) vs West Coast 18.13 (121) Sub Lost -66
2 2006 19 Kangaroos 12.9 (81) vs West Coast 14.23 (107) Sub Lost -26
3 2006 4 Kangaroos 10.11 (71) vs West Coast 14.11 (95) Man Lost -24
4 2005 15 Kangaroos 14.13 (97) vs West Coast 15.11 (101) TD Lost -4
5 2004 13 Kangaroos 16.12 (108) vs West Coast 11.9 (75) Man WON 33
6 2003 13 Kangaroos 10.7 (67) vs West Coast 11.10 (76) Sub Lost -9
7 2002 22 Kangaroos 18.18 (126) vs West Coast 22.11 (143) Man Lost -17
8 2002 7 Kangaroos 13.12 (90) vs West Coast 21.13 (139) Sub Lost -49

by **Punk Rooster** » Fri Aug 10, 2007 4:59 pm

Punk Rooster wrote:My bets so far for R19
Glenelg (win): 5% @ $2.10
CD (win): x @ $1.80

add:
WWT (win): 5% @ $1.90
SA (win): 5% @ $1.80
Glenelg (win): 5% @ $2.40
Melbourne (+19.5pts) @ $2.00
Sydney (win): 5% @ $1.47
CD/WWT/SA/Glenelg (win): 5% @ $13.54

g'luck all on the punt, may we all collect.

by **Dutchy** » Fri Aug 10, 2007 5:45 pm

LT Smash wrote:
Dutchy wrote:Roos- Heres the upset of the round, Roos have had a well earned 8 day break, soemthing they havent had of late and have won their last 5 at the TD by an average of 30 points. WCE have only won 5 of their last 12 games. lose a couple of key players, are 8-14 at the TD since 2000 and are strong favourites here? Roos again have near full squad to choose from, Ill be on them ROOS at line, win and 1-39

I was thinking Kangaroos as well for this one but the results since 2002 speak for themselves:

# Year Rd Team Score Versus Score Gnd Result Marg
1 2007 10 Kangaroos 7.13 (55) vs West Coast 18.13 (121) Sub Lost -66
2 2006 19 Kangaroos 12.9 (81) vs West Coast 14.23 (107) Sub Lost -26
3 2006 4 Kangaroos 10.11 (71) vs West Coast 14.11 (95) Man Lost -24
4 2005 15 Kangaroos 14.13 (97) vs West Coast 15.11 (101) TD Lost -4
5 2004 13 Kangaroos 16.12 (108) vs West Coast 11.9 (75) Man WON 33
6 2003 13 Kangaroos 10.7 (67) vs West Coast 11.10 (76) Sub Lost -9
7 2002 22 Kangaroos 18.18 (126) vs West Coast 22.11 (143) Man Lost -17
8 2002 7 Kangaroos 13.12 (90) vs West Coast 21.13 (139) Sub Lost -49

Hmm...I was at that game in 2004 in Canberra, never ever been so cold at the footy, the funny thing that day was sitting next to WCE fans who were bagging Cox for not being as good as Gardiner...how times change

considering 5 of those losses where by less than 27 points it aint too bad...

by **Dutchy** » Fri Aug 10, 2007 5:48 pm

Some poor sole is hammering Port Magpies...unreal...MT maybe?

In all seriousness the prices are the wrong way around....anyway Ill take $2.35 for a $1.80 shot anyday

by **mal** » Fri Aug 10, 2007 5:56 pm

Attention MT79
I cant PM you dunno why so your syndicate bets this weekend are

56/70 CD V NA............................................................$126 return
CO 1-39....SS WIN....FR WIN.....PP WIN..... 90/30.............$120 return

For the others

FOOTYMAL BEST BET
-------------------

SS $1-43 WIN

And agree with GL comments v PA by the experts

by **Punk Rooster** » Fri Aug 10, 2007 6:00 pm

mal wrote:
FOOTYMAL BEST BET
-------------------

SS $1-43 WIN

GIFTbet offering $1.47 at the moment....

by **mighty_tiger_79** » Fri Aug 10, 2007 6:57 pm

Dutchy wrote:Some poor sole is hammering Port Magpies...unreal...MT maybe?

In all seriousness the prices are the wrong way around....anyway Ill take $2.35 for a $1.80 shot anyday

thankyou very much

im already on and ill be putting more on sunday provided there isnt too much rain about

by **Punk Rooster** » Fri Aug 10, 2007 7:13 pm

have also taken-
Rich/Coll @ 5% @ $9
Rich/Rich/Coll/Coll @ $17 to return $x
Rich/Coll/Coll/Coll @ $9 to return $x
Rich (+30.5 pts) 5% @ $2
* $x being equal amounts

by **bayman** » Fri Aug 10, 2007 7:31 pm

mighty_tiger_79 wrote:just had a geeze at sportingbet.com and they have markets on whether players will kick more points then goals.........

matty duldig because if its not this week it'll be next week

by **mal** » Sat Aug 11, 2007 1:17 am

Punk Rooster wrote:
mal wrote:RI $4-50
CO$1-18

CHAAAAAAAAAARGE!

PUNK Im glad you backed RI +30.5 otherwise I could have really rubbed this in
Im a goose I backed RI first to 25points
and then backed CO 1-39 [instead of RI line +33.5 ] :butthead:

MALODDS of $1-18 was the best odds in Australia for CO
The others were all $1-12 and below

by **mighty_tiger_79** » Sat Aug 11, 2007 5:13 am

im centrals win

port win

and the double of both of them at the points

taken these on centrebet

melb +21.5/syd win/geel -24.5/freo -24.5 =$8.90

Half-time normal time doubles
geelong/freo/st kilda-sydney - =$12.95 - of course it had to be a draw after St Kilda were leading for most of the 2nd 1/4!!!!!!!! :twisted:

melb +39.5/sydney -15.5/geel -23.5/freo -25.5 with the double chance EPL games - draw loses - Man Utd/Chelsea/Arsenal =$15

Melb +39.5/sydney win/freo win/geel h.t/n.t double/clean sheets for Man Utd and Chelsea plus a result in Arsenal-fulham =$15

you can get $1.80 that chelsea will have a clean sheet - that is an absolute GIFT

Id love to say that Birmingham can win, but to win they need to score goals and they lack firepower up front to cause any trouble.

by **Wedgie** » Sat Aug 11, 2007 12:45 pm

Port Magpies came in when it was announced Wakelin and Krakour were playing for them perhaps?

by **Dutchy** » Sat Aug 11, 2007 12:58 pm

but Salopek in for the Bays wedgie, Id say hes a better player than both of the ins for Port....you going to the Bay to support Hargs?

I had a small action bet on Richmond 1-39 last night @ $7-00, as I mentioned yesterday Collingwood have seriously dropped off in the last 2 months, thought it was worth a stab! Punk would have thought his Ric/Rich/Coll/Coll was a huge chance in the 3rd 1/4!!

WWT & Glenelg will be my SANFL bets, very tempted to have a bet on North but will probably let it go

by **mal** » Sat Aug 11, 2007 7:35 pm

Congratulations to SPORTSBET for roping me in with the $1-80 CD v NA

As the KINKSy Ray Davies once sang

" YEAH YOU REALLY GOT ME."

And also well done to John Thornton for roping in the punters at Footy Park today
He reeled them in with $1-40 Port V Carlton :lol: