SA Footy

KIM JOHNSTONE
_________________

Our Vicgirl should be spitting over the box draws.
Just seems that her hounds are drawing poor boxes too often.
KJ has 6 dogs running Monday night over the 515m and I will highlight the box woes.

BOX STATS FOR WINNING DOGS OVER THE 515M IN 2007

BOX...WINS...STRIKE RATE

1.......247.....18-61%
2.......216.....16-28%
3.......170.....12-81%
4.......155.....11-68%
5.......150.....11-30%
6.......144.....10-85%
7.......122......9-19%
8.......123......9-27%

Those stats over 1327 events in 2007 at Angle Park
You dont have to Einstein or MT79 to work out the wider the worse

Here are the KJ dogs that are running 17/12/07
I will bracket the box draws for this meeting after the draws in the previous 4 runs

6716 PARIS LADY [6]
4675 DASH OF STYLE [3]
3776 UNGLIS BALE [5]
3265 TYRA BALE [3]
4648 LAULALA [6]
5453 VEGAS BALE [6]

Yep KJ has drawn 635366 for this meeting

Stats on these dogs including 17/12/07 draws

BOX DRAWS
1-1
2-1
3-5
4-4
5-5
6-9
7-4
8-1

30 box draws and a staggering
box 6 nine tmes
box 1 one time

Random draw or random flaw .....

EARLY MAL TIPS
___________________

All these on the ratio of
1 WIN
5 PLACES
Most are likely to be placed without winning

MG2-1 RESETTLED
BG4-3 CARTELLO
MG6-1 MYERREN
AG10-1 SPRINGVALE SNOW

Always remember we need 3 divdends for these dogs, so check the scratchings

PS : VG it surely has to turn

mal wrote:KIM JOHNSTONE
_________________

Our Vicgirl should be spitting over the box draws.
Just seems that her hounds are drawing poor boxes too often.
KJ has 6 dogs running Monday night over the 515m and I will highlight the box woes.

BOX STATS FOR WINNING DOGS OVER THE 515M IN 2007

BOX...WINS...STRIKE RATE

1.......247.....18-61%
2.......216.....16-28%
3.......170.....12-81%
4.......155.....11-68%
5.......150.....11-30%
6.......144.....10-85%
7.......122......9-19%
8.......123......9-27%

Those stats over 1327 events in 2007 at Angle Park
You dont have to Einstein or MT79 to work out the wider the worse

Here are the KJ dogs that are running 17/12/07
I will bracket the box draws for this meeting after the draws in the previous 4 runs

6716 PARIS LADY [6]
4675 DASH OF STYLE [3]
3776 UNGLIS BALE [5]
3265 TYRA BALE [3]
4648 LAULALA [6]
5453 VEGAS BALE [6]

Yep KJ has drawn 635366 for this meeting

Stats on these dogs including 17/12/07 draws

BOX DRAWS
1-1
2-1
3-5
4-4
5-5
6-9
7-4
8-1

30 box draws and a staggering
box 6 nine tmes
box 1 one time

Random draw or random flaw .....

EARLY MAL TIPS
___________________

All these on the ratio of
1 WIN
5 PLACES
Most are likely to be placed without winning

MG2-1 RESETTLED
BG4-3 CARTELLO
MG6-1 MYERREN
AG10-1 SPRINGVALE SNOW

Always remember we need 3 divdends for these dogs, so check the scratchings

PS : VG it surely has to turn

its like reading an scd post but 'our' vicgirl might get the 'right draw' when needed the most ie in a big race

An email to the stewards should resolve that problem

It is a disgrace though - and while these clubs use computer systems for draws they will be forever a programmed number and not a true "random" draw

if the aniMALs are good enough they can win from anywhere

but i do concede the box draws VG has copped is a little harsh, almost like getting the visitors box week in and week out

the club would never do this

but run 2 heats on the wednesday meeting as they do for the G5 non-penalty

take the fastest 8 dogs from those 2 races

in order of times trainers get to choose the box they want!!!

No i dont draw the good ones in the finals either (not that i make many group finals) But the last couple that we won were the derby and the oaks both from box 6 brett lee won his group races from 6688 and 3 he was a star didnt matter what he drew.

Its hard drawing bad week in week out as my poor old buggers are gettin whacked around and losing all thier confidence but hopefully in the new year things change. Look at Mag Drive she finally won again after drawing 6/8 6/8 in 600m races for weeks

Good Luck and good punting all mine should be a place chance except take Paris on trust shes a funny bugger

but the good thing of Vicgirl drawing wide boxes is we get to see her close up on the box* cam!

An email to the stewards should resolve that problem

No point talking to brick walls they dont have ears

Shes not the only one.
Look at my dogs and Con Haagmans, hes ripped to shreds every week with bad box draws.
Unless ya MURRAY you dont get box 1's
Random my butt lol

KJ
R7-6 VEGAS BALE is a good chance, up in grade, but with so much speed
in the race I can see your dog running on late for a place at big odds

TASMANIA R 8-8 what a name for a dog

mal wrote:TASMANIA R 8-8 what a name for a dog

Whats the name, dude?

Big Old harry he is Beautiful but really racing on borrowed time races with a stopper tendon injury which is similar to a horse bowing a tendon. He just trys maybe not for the 1st 50m but the rest of the race just needs luck as hes a bit of a dumby in a field

vicgirl wrote:Big Old harry he is Beautiful but really racing on borrowed time races with a stopper tendon injury which is similar to a horse bowing a tendon. He just trys maybe not for the 1st 50m but the rest of the race just needs luck as hes a bit of a dumby in a field

If Old Harry is Vegas Bale he might be better off having a slow early 50m
They might all be in aline early in front, and if there is interference Old Harry
will be perhaps too far back to be involved.
Then he can run on for perhaps a place.

Yep Harry is Vegas i dont know why i call him old hes not 3 yet just seems hes been around forever. He races his races like its the melbourne cup (horses) pulls back and goes for the fence, hes learnt its a bit scary up the front

MAL

that tip of yours in tassie is scratching

i wonder whether anybody was on it when it won a heat of the X-mas Gift at $11.90!!!!

ANGLE PARK

5 - 4 looks to be a strong chance

7 - 5 looks to be a good e.w

For those who follow the dog tips
Cancel MG6-1 as there is no third dividend
Leaves us
MG 2-1 PL
AG10-1 PL
BG4-3 PL

mighty_tiger_79 wrote:MAL

that tip of yours in tassie is scratching

i wonder whether anybody was on it when it won a heat of the X-mas Gift at $11.90!!!!

ANGLE PARK

5 - 4 looks to be a strong chance

7 - 5 looks to be a good e.w

Strutter
Cachiinnnng on the ex adelaide dog,lead all the way nice win.
names are in for the new dog. will keep you all posted how he goes.

RESULTS
MG2-1...................WINS $2-40 + $1-40
BG4-3....................UNP
AG10-1..................WINS $1-90 + $1-30

sMALl profits using the 1x5 ratio
but as Centreman always says
" YOU NEVER GO BROKE BACKING WINNERS."