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Magical Multis

PostPosted: Wed May 07, 2008 11:39 am
by Mulligain
I just got odds of $130 on a Adelaide Crows premiership / joel corey brownlow.

6 dollar investment for a possible $1000 return. Not bad.

Re: Magical Multis

PostPosted: Wed May 07, 2008 12:18 pm
by bayman
i reckon you got unders

Re: Magical Multis

PostPosted: Wed May 07, 2008 12:30 pm
by Mulligain
bayman wrote:i reckon you got unders


I reckon you don't know your bum from your elbow.

Re: Magical Multis

PostPosted: Wed May 07, 2008 2:06 pm
by jackpot jim
bayman wrote:i reckon you got unders


I Agree with Bayman.

Current TabSportsbet odds
Crows Premiers $13.00
Corey Brownlow $11.00

Going on these prices, should be getting at least $143. $130 is UNDERS.

Sportbet have Corey and Adelaide both at $14.00 so the Double would be $196 so $130 is BIG UNDERS.

Re: Magical Multis

PostPosted: Wed May 07, 2008 2:16 pm
by brod
Mulligain wrote:I just got odds of $130 on a Adelaide Crows premiership / joel corey brownlow.

6 dollar investment for a possible $1000 return. Not bad.


where from Mulli?

Re: Magical Multis

PostPosted: Wed May 07, 2008 2:24 pm
by Mulligain
brod wrote:
Mulligain wrote:I just got odds of $130 on a Adelaide Crows premiership / joel corey brownlow.

6 dollar investment for a possible $1000 return. Not bad.


where from Mulli?


http://www.betezy.com.

I apologise, i just checked and i actually got 144/1

Re: Magical Multis

PostPosted: Wed May 07, 2008 5:15 pm
by Ecky
jackpot jim wrote:
bayman wrote:i reckon you got unders


I Agree with Bayman.

Current TabSportsbet odds
Crows Premiers $13.00
Corey Brownlow $11.00

Going on these prices, should be getting at least $143. $130 is UNDERS.

Sportbet have Corey and Adelaide both at $14.00 so the Double would be $196 so $130 is BIG UNDERS.


And given that there is some dependency in these two events (if Corey wins the Brownlow that indicates that Geelong have been playing well and hence Adelaide's price for the premiership should be longer), then your odds should be greater than the product of the two events (14 x 14 or whatever), so you should be getting over 200/1.

Re: Magical Multis

PostPosted: Wed May 07, 2008 5:42 pm
by Punk Rooster
Ecky wrote:
jackpot jim wrote:
bayman wrote:i reckon you got unders


I Agree with Bayman.

Current TabSportsbet odds
Crows Premiers $13.00
Corey Brownlow $11.00

Going on these prices, should be getting at least $143. $130 is UNDERS.

Sportbet have Corey and Adelaide both at $14.00 so the Double would be $196 so $130 is BIG UNDERS.


And given that there is some dependency in these two events (if Corey wins the Brownlow that indicates that Geelong have been playing well and hence Adelaide's price for the premiership should be longer), then your odds should be greater than the product of the two events (14 x 14 or whatever), so you should be getting over 200/1.
didn't stop RObert Harey winning the Brownlow back to back, when the Crows did like-wise with the Premiership...

Re: Magical Multis

PostPosted: Thu May 08, 2008 9:41 am
by Mulligain
Ecky wrote:
jackpot jim wrote:
bayman wrote:i reckon you got unders


I Agree with Bayman.

Current TabSportsbet odds
Crows Premiers $13.00
Corey Brownlow $11.00

Going on these prices, should be getting at least $143. $130 is UNDERS.

Sportbet have Corey and Adelaide both at $14.00 so the Double would be $196 so $130 is BIG UNDERS.


And given that there is some dependency in these two events (if Corey wins the Brownlow that indicates that Geelong have been playing well and hence Adelaide's price for the premiership should be longer), then your odds should be greater than the product of the two events (14 x 14 or whatever), so you should be getting over 200/1.


What? I don't accept that as an argument.

More often than not, a brownlow meddalist does NOT win a flag in the same year.

Re: Magical Multis

PostPosted: Thu May 08, 2008 9:48 am
by Dutchy
Ill give you 300/1

Re: Magical Multis

PostPosted: Thu May 08, 2008 9:53 am
by Mulligain
Dutchy wrote:Ill give you 300/1


Ok, I accept.

Re: Magical Multis

PostPosted: Thu May 08, 2008 10:13 am
by Ecky
Mulligain wrote:What? I don't accept that as an argument.

More often than not, a brownlow meddalist does NOT win a flag in the same year.

Yes, but the Brownlow medallist would come from the premiership team more than once every 16 years, so there is some sort of positive correlation - players from teams who finished higher do better overall in the Brownlow than players from teams who finished lower.

Re: Magical Multis

PostPosted: Thu May 08, 2008 10:14 am
by maxyoz
Multis are great, aren't they Ecky.

Re: Magical Multis

PostPosted: Thu May 08, 2008 2:41 pm
by mighty_tiger_79
Mulligain wrote:I just got odds of $130 on a Adelaide Crows premiership / joel corey brownlow.

6 dollar investment for a possible $1000 return. Not bad.


cant see it coming in myself as Corey doesnt attract enough votes and i cant see adelaide winning a flag

but good luck

Re: Magical Multis

PostPosted: Thu May 08, 2008 3:11 pm
by Mulligain
mighty_tiger_79 wrote:
Mulligain wrote:I just got odds of $130 on a Adelaide Crows premiership / joel corey brownlow.

6 dollar investment for a possible $1000 return. Not bad.


cant see it coming in myself as Corey doesnt attract enough votes and i cant see adelaide winning a flag

but good luck


i agree, it is unlikely to come in.

Probably about a 1 in 144 chance???
:wink:

Re: Magical Multis

PostPosted: Thu May 08, 2008 3:15 pm
by mighty_tiger_79
1 in 300 if you listen to Dutchy! :lol: and thats probably unders

Re: Magical Multis

PostPosted: Thu May 08, 2008 4:20 pm
by Mulligain
mighty_tiger_79 wrote:1 in 300 if you listen to Dutchy! :lol: and thats probably unders


If this multi comes in, I hope you blokes realise you're going to hear about it.

Don't worry I'll buy you broke bastards a beer :wink:

Re: Magical Multis

PostPosted: Thu May 08, 2008 4:34 pm
by jackpot jim
Mulligain wrote:
mighty_tiger_79 wrote:1 in 300 if you listen to Dutchy! :lol: and thats probably unders


If this multi comes in, I hope you blokes realise you're going to hear about it.

Don't worry I'll buy you broke bastards a beer :wink:


Everyone has got an opinion on what odds any bet should be BUT the main thing is that YOU r happy :D with the odds u hav taken. Good Luck.

Having said that, i hope u DON'T collect bcos i HATE :evil: the **** Cows :oops: i mean Crows. :wink:

Re: Magical Multis

PostPosted: Thu May 08, 2008 4:42 pm
by mighty_tiger_79
jackpot jim wrote:
Mulligain wrote:
mighty_tiger_79 wrote:1 in 300 if you listen to Dutchy! :lol: and thats probably unders


If this multi comes in, I hope you blokes realise you're going to hear about it.

Don't worry I'll buy you broke bastards a beer :wink:


Everyone has got an opinion on what odds any bet should be BUT the main thing is that YOU r happy :D with the odds u hav taken. Good Luck.

Having said that, i hope u DON'T collect bcos i HATE :evil: the **** Cows :oops: i mean Crows. :wink:


couldnt agree more JJ about the cows

Re: Magical Multis

PostPosted: Thu May 08, 2008 10:25 pm
by brod
mighty_tiger_79 wrote:1 in 300 if you listen to Dutchy! :lol: and thats probably unders


Just to add a bit more to the banter..

Corey last year had statisticall a career year with game averages of
26 disposals
5 marks
5 tackles
This year he has been able to manage game averages of
30 disposals
5 marks
5 tackles

The problem..he had a streak like this last year that didnt result in votes....
2007 was also a career year for Brownlow Votes for him with ----12 a long way from the top