2009 AFL Premiership Odds

[jackpot jim]

With TabSportbet usually releasing their odds for the following seasons AFL Premiership within a day or two after the GF i'll have an early crack at the market.

Hawthorn $3.80
Geelong $4.00
Collingwd $10.00
W.Bulldogs $12.00
Carlton $12.00
Kangaroos $14.00
St.Kilda $15.00
Adelaide $15.00
Power $21.00
Fremantle $21.00
Sydney $26.00
Brisbane $26.00
Essendon $34.00
Richmond $41.00
W.Coast $51.00
Melbourne$251.00

Thoughts?

[mal]

With TabSportbet usually releasing their odds for the following seasons AFL Premiership within a day or two after the GF i'll have an early crack at the market.

Hawthorn $3.80................$2-50
Geelong $4.00.................$2-40
Collingwd $10.00...............$11
W.Bulldogs $12.00..............$26
Carlton $12.00...............$51
Kangaroos $14.00...............$81
St.Kilda $15.00................$61
Adelaide $15.00................$101
Power $21.00.................$26
Fremantle $21.00................$501
Sydney $26.00.................$41
Brisbane $26.00.................$61
Essendon $34.00.................$501
Richmond $41.00................ $501
W.Coast $51.00.................$51
Melbourne$251.00................$501

Thoughts?

My odds above across from JJs odds
GE /HW clearly the best 2 teams
If I was a bookie I would lay the rest

[Dutchy]

yeah I reckon your a bit genourous with Cats and Hawks JJ, no doubt there will be a new contender next year to challenge those 2 perhaps Bullies, Roos or even Brisbane but whether they could win the flag is another question

[G]

Yeah I agree that you're a bit too generous with the top 2 but you are offering WAY unders for Carlton, Nth. Melb and Port

[powerwatcher]

id be happy to take the $61 for saints and $101 for crows.. nice juicy odds there!!!

[Punk Rooster]

i would like to take the $26 Western Bulldogs thanks Mal, please PM me.

[Bold Strategy]

here the TAB odds, freo at 16? North Melb at $34 is not bad value

GEELONG $3.40
HAWTHORN $3.40
WESTERN BULLDOGS $12.00
ST KILDA $13.00
COLLINGWOOD $14.00
CARLTON $16.00
FREMANTLE $16.00
RICHMOND $21.00
ADELAIDE $26.00
BRISBANE $26.00
PORT ADELAIDE $26.00
SYDNEY $31.00
ESSENDON $34.00
NORTH MELBOURNE $34.00
WEST COAST $34.00
MELBOURNE $101.00

[Mr_Willy]

here the TAB odds, freo at 16? North Melb at $34 is not bad value

GEELONG $3.40
HAWTHORN $3.40
WESTERN BULLDOGS $12.00
ST KILDA $13.00
COLLINGWOOD $14.00
CARLTON $16.00
FREMANTLE $16.00
RICHMOND $21.00
ADELAIDE $26.00
BRISBANE $26.00
PORT ADELAIDE $26.00
SYDNEY $31.00
ESSENDON $34.00
NORTH MELBOURNE $34.00
WEST COAST $34.00
MELBOURNE $101.00

North Melb maybe good value, but I think Freo should be almost underneath Melb - $16 is just nuts....

[Stumps]

If I had more than $50 in the bank I would be putting a grand on hawks and a grand on geelong- surely one of them will win netting $1400 profit

[mighty_tiger_79]

how can freo be so short?????

they should be the roughy of the field

[jackpot jim]

With TabSportbet usually releasing their odds for the following seasons AFL Premiership within a day or two after the GF i'll have an early crack at the market.
Team.......JJs odds....Tab Odds.......MALs odds
Hawthorn $3.80........$3.40........$2-50
Geelong $4.00........$3.40........$2-40
Collingwd $10.00......$14.........$11
W.Bulldogs $12.00.....$12.........$26
Carlton $12.00......$16.........$51
Kangaroos $14.00......$34.........$81
St.Kilda $15.00......$13.........$61
Adelaide $15.00......$26..........$101
Power $21.00......$26...........$26
Fremantle $21.00......$16..........$501
Sydney $26.00......$31...........$41
Brisbane $26.00......$26..........$61
Essendon $34.00.....$34...........$501
Richmond $41.00.....$21........... $501
W.Coast $51.00.....$34............$51
Melbourne$251.00...$101............$501

Thoughts?

My odds above across from JJs odds
GE /HW clearly the best 2 teams
If I was a bookie I would lay the rest

Odds above compares Mals and my markets B4 viewing the Tabs market.
My market compares simialrly with Tabs but as for Mals?
Mal - Cats $2.40, Hawks $2.50 I'll Give $2.50 about either team winning.
Mal may well be right but it wouldn't be a very balanced book if he was running one for real.

[mal]

If you didnt have to tie up your cash with Betfair you would lay Fraudmantle forever and ever

ES/RI I would lay as well
Every year there are stupid people who back teams like the above 3 at under the odds
Bookies love those punters

JJ I put up $501 the real odds
But if I had a sports liscence I would get to lay them at $41 and take the mug money

[G]

I agree with everyone bagging Freo but if ANYONE wants to back an absolute rabble like Melbourne to finish above them, pleae let me know.

[SCD]

I agree with everyone bagging Freo but if ANYONE wants to back an absolute rabble like Melbourne to finish above them, pleae let me know.

when I first read it I though someone was offering 100/1 about Melbourne winning a game, which was almost unders

They should be 2,000,000,000/1 to win the flag, they won't beat a runner home....

[Zelezny Chucks]

I agree with everyone bagging Freo but if ANYONE wants to back an absolute rabble like Melbourne to finish above them, pleae let me know.

when I first read it I though someone was offering 100/1 about Melbourne winning a game, which was almost unders

They should be 2,000,000,000/1 to win the flag, they won't beat a runner home....

SCD

$2 Melbourne to win the flag thanks.

[mal]

MALS finishing 16 exclusive
2009

1 HW
1 GE
3 C0
4 WB
5 PP
6 SS
7 SK
8 KA
9 BL
10 CA
11 WC
12 AC
13 FR
14 RI
15 ES
16 ML

Most improved PP
Most sliding AC
I had GE fav but the more I think of it the more I like HW
I have ML last but I suspect they will not be the spooners

[SCD]

I agree with everyone bagging Freo but if ANYONE wants to back an absolute rabble like Melbourne to finish above them, pleae let me know.

when I first read it I though someone was offering 100/1 about Melbourne winning a game, which was almost unders

They should be 2,000,000,000/1 to win the flag, they won't beat a runner home....

SCD

$2 Melbourne to win the flag thanks.

Should have put - minimum $50 bet...

[Mr_Willy]

MALS finishing 16 exclusive
2009

1 HW
1 GE
3 C0
4 WB
5 PP
6 SS
7 SK
8 KA
9 BL
10 CA
11 WC
12 AC
13 FR
14 RI
15 ES
16 ML

Most improved PP
Most sliding AC
I had GE fav but the more I think of it the more I like HW
I have ML last but I suspect they will not be the spooners

Can't see PP improving that much, mate!!

I also think have ES 15th is a bit harsh.

I will have a crack

1 GE
2 HW
3 KA
4 WB
5 SK
6 BL
7 CO
8 AC
9 ES
10 PP
11 CA
12 WC
13 SS
14 RI
15 FR
16 ME

Biggest slide SS - I don't think they will be very good next year. The also rans from this year RI, CA and PP will be fighting for a finals birth again and I think ES will move up a bit....