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2009 AFL Premiership Odds
Posted:
Sun Sep 28, 2008 3:59 amby jackpot jim
With TabSportbet usually releasing their odds for the following seasons AFL Premiership within a day or two after the GF i'll have an early crack at the market.
Hawthorn $3.80
Geelong $4.00
Collingwd $10.00
W.Bulldogs $12.00
Carlton $12.00
Kangaroos $14.00
St.Kilda $15.00
Adelaide $15.00
Power $21.00
Fremantle $21.00
Sydney $26.00
Brisbane $26.00
Essendon $34.00
Richmond $41.00
W.Coast $51.00
Melbourne$251.00
Thoughts?
Re: 2009 AFL Premiership Odds
Posted:
Sun Sep 28, 2008 12:37 pmby mal
jackpot jim wrote:With TabSportbet usually releasing their odds for the following seasons AFL Premiership within a day or two after the GF i'll have an early crack at the market.
Hawthorn $3.80................$2-50
Geelong $4.00.................$2-40
Collingwd $10.00...............$11
W.Bulldogs $12.00..............$26
Carlton $12.00...............$51
Kangaroos $14.00...............$81
St.Kilda $15.00................$61
Adelaide $15.00................$101
Power $21.00.................$26
Fremantle $21.00................$501
Sydney $26.00.................$41
Brisbane $26.00.................$61
Essendon $34.00.................$501
Richmond $41.00................ $501
W.Coast $51.00.................$51
Melbourne$251.00................$501
Thoughts?
My odds above across from JJs odds
GE /HW clearly the best 2 teams
If I was a bookie I would lay the rest
Re: 2009 AFL Premiership Odds
Posted:
Sun Sep 28, 2008 1:35 pmby Dutchy
yeah I reckon your a bit genourous with Cats and Hawks JJ, no doubt there will be a new contender next year to challenge those 2 perhaps Bullies, Roos or even Brisbane but whether they could win the flag is another question
Re: 2009 AFL Premiership Odds
Posted:
Sun Sep 28, 2008 6:12 pmby G
Yeah I agree that you're a bit too generous with the top 2 but you are offering WAY unders for Carlton, Nth. Melb and Port
Re: 2009 AFL Premiership Odds
Posted:
Sun Sep 28, 2008 6:16 pmby powerwatcher
id be happy to take the $61 for saints and $101 for crows.. nice juicy odds there!!!
Re: 2009 AFL Premiership Odds
Posted:
Sun Sep 28, 2008 9:06 pmby Punk Rooster
i would like to take the $26 Western Bulldogs thanks Mal, please PM me.
Re: 2009 AFL Premiership Odds
Posted:
Mon Sep 29, 2008 1:20 pmby Bold Strategy
here the TAB odds, freo at 16? North Melb at $34 is not bad value
GEELONG $3.40
HAWTHORN $3.40
WESTERN BULLDOGS $12.00
ST KILDA $13.00
COLLINGWOOD $14.00
CARLTON $16.00
FREMANTLE $16.00
RICHMOND $21.00
ADELAIDE $26.00
BRISBANE $26.00
PORT ADELAIDE $26.00
SYDNEY $31.00
ESSENDON $34.00
NORTH MELBOURNE $34.00
WEST COAST $34.00
MELBOURNE $101.00
Re: 2009 AFL Premiership Odds
Posted:
Mon Sep 29, 2008 2:50 pmby Mr_Willy
Bold Strategy wrote:here the TAB odds, freo at 16? North Melb at $34 is not bad value
GEELONG $3.40
HAWTHORN $3.40
WESTERN BULLDOGS $12.00
ST KILDA $13.00
COLLINGWOOD $14.00
CARLTON $16.00
FREMANTLE $16.00
RICHMOND $21.00
ADELAIDE $26.00
BRISBANE $26.00
PORT ADELAIDE $26.00
SYDNEY $31.00
ESSENDON $34.00
NORTH MELBOURNE $34.00
WEST COAST $34.00
MELBOURNE $101.00
North Melb maybe good value, but I think Freo should be almost underneath Melb - $16 is just nuts....
Re: 2009 AFL Premiership Odds
Posted:
Mon Sep 29, 2008 3:54 pmby Stumps
If I had more than $50 in the bank I would be putting a grand on hawks and a grand on geelong- surely one of them will win netting $1400 profit
Re: 2009 AFL Premiership Odds
Posted:
Mon Sep 29, 2008 4:29 pmby mighty_tiger_79
how can freo be so short?????
they should be the roughy of the field
Re: 2009 AFL Premiership Odds
Posted:
Mon Sep 29, 2008 6:58 pmby jackpot jim
mal wrote:jackpot jim wrote:With TabSportbet usually releasing their odds for the following seasons AFL Premiership within a day or two after the GF i'll have an early crack at the market.
Team.......JJs odds....Tab Odds.......MALs odds
Hawthorn $3.80........$3.40........$2-50
Geelong $4.00........$3.40........$2-40
Collingwd $10.00......$14.........$11
W.Bulldogs $12.00.....$12.........$26
Carlton $12.00......$16.........$51
Kangaroos $14.00......$34.........$81
St.Kilda $15.00......$13.........$61
Adelaide $15.00......$26..........$101
Power $21.00......$26...........$26
Fremantle $21.00......$16..........$501
Sydney $26.00......$31...........$41
Brisbane $26.00......$26..........$61
Essendon $34.00.....$34...........$501
Richmond $41.00.....$21........... $501
W.Coast $51.00.....$34............$51
Melbourne$251.00...$101............$501
Thoughts?
My odds above across from JJs odds
GE /HW clearly the best 2 teams
If I was a bookie I would lay the rest
Odds above compares Mals and my markets B4 viewing the Tabs market.
My market compares simialrly with Tabs but as for Mals?
Mal - Cats $2.40, Hawks $2.50
I'll Give $2.50 about either team winning.
Mal may well be right but it wouldn't be a very balanced book if he was running one for real.
Re: 2009 AFL Premiership Odds
Posted:
Mon Sep 29, 2008 7:51 pmby mal
If you didnt have to tie up your cash with Betfair you would lay Fraudmantle forever and ever
ES/RI I would lay as well
Every year there are stupid people who back teams like the above 3 at under the odds
Bookies love those punters
JJ I put up $501 the real odds
But if I had a sports liscence I would get to lay them at $41 and take the mug money
Re: 2009 AFL Premiership Odds
Posted:
Tue Sep 30, 2008 12:37 amby G
Re: 2009 AFL Premiership Odds
Posted:
Tue Sep 30, 2008 9:54 amby SCD
when I first read it I though someone was offering 100/1 about Melbourne winning a game, which was almost unders
They should be 2,000,000,000/1 to win the flag, they won't beat a runner home....
Re: 2009 AFL Premiership Odds
Posted:
Tue Sep 30, 2008 10:42 amby Zelezny Chucks
SCD wrote:when I first read it I though someone was offering 100/1 about Melbourne winning a game, which was almost unders
They should be 2,000,000,000/1 to win the flag, they won't beat a runner home....
SCD
$2 Melbourne to win the flag thanks.
Re: 2009 AFL Premiership Odds
Posted:
Tue Sep 30, 2008 11:41 amby mal
MALS finishing 16 exclusive
2009
1 HW
1 GE
3 C0
4 WB
5 PP
6 SS
7 SK
8 KA
9 BL
10 CA
11 WC
12 AC
13 FR
14 RI
15 ES
16 ML
Most improved PP
Most sliding AC
I had GE fav but the more I think of it the more I like HW
I have ML last but I suspect they will not be the spooners
Re: 2009 AFL Premiership Odds
Posted:
Tue Sep 30, 2008 1:21 pmby SCD
Zelezny Chucks wrote:SCD wrote:when I first read it I though someone was offering 100/1 about Melbourne winning a game, which was almost unders
They should be 2,000,000,000/1 to win the flag, they won't beat a runner home....
SCD
$2 Melbourne to win the flag thanks.
Should have put - minimum $50 bet...
Re: 2009 AFL Premiership Odds
Posted:
Tue Sep 30, 2008 6:09 pmby Mr_Willy
mal wrote:MALS finishing 16 exclusive
2009
1 HW
1 GE
3 C0
4 WB
5 PP
6 SS
7 SK
8 KA
9 BL
10 CA
11 WC
12 AC
13 FR
14 RI
15 ES
16 ML
Most improved PP
Most sliding AC
I had GE fav but the more I think of it the more I like HW
I have ML last but I suspect they will not be the spooners
Can't see PP improving that much, mate!!
I also think have ES 15th is a bit harsh.
I will have a crack
1 GE
2 HW
3 KA
4 WB
5 SK
6 BL
7 CO
8 AC
9 ES
10 PP
11 CA
12 WC
13 SS
14 RI
15 FR
16 ME
Biggest slide SS - I don't think they will be very good next year. The also rans from this year RI, CA and PP will be fighting for a finals birth again and I think ES will move up a bit....