Betting on SANFL 1st semi and prelim finals

[Grahaml]

Just wondering if anyone had numbers to show whether there's a trend for a possible system on backing sides in the SANFL 1st semi and prelim finals. It can possibly be extended to similar circumstances in AFL semi finals but that is a different kettle of fish with home ground advantage etc. Anyway, my observations in the last couple of weeks has been that everyone has talked up the mob that went into those games on winning form (Norwood and Sturt respectively) while talking down the side going in with losing form (Sturt and Glenelg respectively). I thought that the sides that ended up winning, both the losers from the previous weeks, were clearly favourites to win, but I'm not sure the odds reflected that. I am just wondering if you were to take the losers from the previous week going into those 2 finals blindly each year whether you would be ahead or not over the course of time. Does anyone have any odds from previous years on those games?

[Dutchy]

this works in AFL, the Top 4 loser in week 1 of the finals has won in Week 2 something like 12 of the last 14 games, any many times they have been the underdog, the example this year was Saints over Collingwood, Saints opened around $2.30, Bullies also beat Sydney quite easy and the odds were still tasty around $1.80....last year The Roos beat Hawks and that was paying $2.80.....