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pt pirie 17/7/09

PostPosted: Thu Jul 16, 2009 12:12 am
by bayman
i think this allup is the way to go

r1 no 7 historic drive win
r4 no 11 ivana trump win
r5 no 1 loadedbelle place

& good luck to centreman with his horse on friday night

Re: pt pirie 17/7/09

PostPosted: Thu Jul 16, 2009 1:13 am
by Davey Carlson
at least mal can cheat off these tips now :lol:

Re: pt pirie 17/7/09

PostPosted: Thu Jul 16, 2009 8:51 am
by Brodlach
bayman wrote:i think this allup is the way to go

r1 no 7 historic drive win
r4 no 11 ivana trump win
r5 no 1 loadedbelle place

& good luck to centreman with his horse on friday night


Whats the name of his horse?

Re: pt pirie 17/7/09

PostPosted: Thu Jul 16, 2009 9:47 am
by centreman
Race 3 No.9 ;) ;)

Re: pt pirie 17/7/09

PostPosted: Thu Jul 16, 2009 10:34 am
by Brodlach
centreman wrote:Race 3 No.9 ;) ;)


Good luck, hope it wins for you.

Re: pt pirie 17/7/09

PostPosted: Thu Jul 16, 2009 11:58 am
by mal
Davey Carlson wrote:at least mal can cheat off these tips now :lol:


CHEAT yes
I CHEAT off any punter, driver, trainer, bookie+ media tipsters
Cheat of bayman YES
Bet like bayman NO

BAYMAN and others have this penchant to suggest and bet on all up bets
ALL UP BETS are fraught with danger

Purely for the exercise BAYMAN may have rated his 3 selections at $2-00
He places his all up bet
At $2 all up he can expect a return of $8-00 at what his percievement of odds are
But how often at the trots his returns would be
$1-90
$1-50
$1-30
His return is now $3-70 for what he rated a $8-00 [0r sometimes getz $10]


How often do all up punters get to the 3rd leg with 100s of dollars into the last leg
And take a BLIND dividend of less that anticipated odds
Fair dinkum stupidity at times

What punter would take $1-30 for his $2-00 rated horse if betting individually ?

Why dont ALLUP punters use some sense and sensibility
WAIT for each race and then bet all up if you get the right odds
VALUE
VALUE
VALUE
Is the name of the game surely

For horses rated $2
Take the $1-90
Take up to $1-80
But when they are $1-30 dont accept such short odds, put the cue in the rack
If they are $2-50 have MORON them !!!


SUMMARY
Avoid taking all up bets in BLIND betting on TABS
Sports betting or Fixed odds allups are OK as you are getting set odds and you are obtaining percieved VALUE odds


ALLUP betting :butthead:

Re: pt pirie 17/7/09

PostPosted: Thu Jul 16, 2009 12:15 pm
by overloaded
small pools is the problem not the ALL UP bet

Re: pt pirie 17/7/09

PostPosted: Thu Jul 16, 2009 12:20 pm
by centreman
Mal thats why you don't put all up on with tabs!!!!!!! Agree with you completely.
But why not with a corp bookie? You get middle tote and your money doesn't effect your dividend?
Only prob will be after a few decent collects you'll get barred!!!!!!
Same deal with trebles and quaddies.

Like they say you won't go broke backing winners!!!!!!!!!! :D :D :D

Re: pt pirie 17/7/09

PostPosted: Thu Jul 16, 2009 12:31 pm
by mal
centreman wrote:Mal thats why you don't put all up on with tabs!!!!!!! Agree with you completely.
But why not with a corp bookie? You get middle tote and your money doesn't effect your dividend?
Only prob will be after a few decent collects you'll get barred!!!!!!
Same deal with trebles and quaddies.

Like they say you won't go broke backing winners!!!!!!!!!! :D :D :D



OK
Agree your dividends are protected to an extent with having allups with the Corp Bookies
But still enough $$$ into particularly sMALl TAB pools by other punters to distort or increase any VALUE
Betting with the Corps still = Blind betting for All uPS

Re: pt pirie 17/7/09

PostPosted: Thu Jul 16, 2009 1:36 pm
by centreman
Mal i have 1 question for you.
Do i just keep backing the Late Mals all up? Or wait and see if their value?

Cos like I said earlier you won't go broke backing winners!!!!!!!!! ;) ;) ;)

Re: pt pirie 17/7/09

PostPosted: Thu Jul 16, 2009 2:31 pm
by mal
centreman wrote:Mal i have 1 question for you.
Do i just keep backing the Late Mals all up? Or wait and see if their value?

Cos like I said earlier you won't go broke backing winners!!!!!!!!! ;) ;) ;)


NO
Eventually a LATE MAL will lose and the ALLUP loses
Believe me it will happen
Even I cant walk on water

Just back em individually
They are all VALUE unless they pay $1-10 or less
The LATE MALs are what I consider to be $1-10 or less in my markets
If we get $1-20 there is a degree of value
$1-30 or greater usually good to very good bets

The last LATE MAL was LIGHTNING MCCOOL
I had rated it $1-10

Re: pt pirie 17/7/09

PostPosted: Thu Jul 16, 2009 2:39 pm
by another grub
mal wrote:Even I cant walk on water


Yes you can!!!!

Re: pt pirie 17/7/09

PostPosted: Thu Jul 16, 2009 6:52 pm
by bayman
another grub wrote:
mal wrote:Even I cant walk on water


Yes you can!!!!



ag, if he could he'd be the next coach of malwood

Re: pt pirie 17/7/09

PostPosted: Thu Jul 16, 2009 6:54 pm
by mighty_tiger_79
bayman wrote:
another grub wrote:
mal wrote:Even I cant walk on water


Yes you can!!!!



ag, if he could he'd be the next coach of malwood


but Norwood play too many games on a friday night which would interfere with the trots

plus coaching norwood wouldnt be as profitable as the trots $$$$$$$$$

Re: pt pirie 17/7/09

PostPosted: Fri Jul 17, 2009 1:30 pm
by mal
GAWLER 17/7/09

BETFAIR LAYS [172]
R1-10
R3-9
R3-11
R4-10
R6-3 ***

I will update how many lose b4 the races start to save me a post later on
[177]

OTHER RACES
R1-7 looks winner
R4-11 go close
R 7-2 go close

No suggested bets tonight


1-7 1ST
R4-11 2ND
R7-2 1ST

Re: pt pirie 17/7/09

PostPosted: Fri Jul 17, 2009 11:34 pm
by bayman
sat,

r3 no 6 dixie chic dreamer win
r4 no 12 trapper bob e/w
r9 no 7 MALLY BOY FELLA WIN

Re: pt pirie 17/7/09

PostPosted: Sat Jul 18, 2009 12:31 am
by mal
bayman wrote:sat,

r3 no 6 dixie chic dreamer win
r4 no 12 trapper bob e/w
r9 no 7 MALLY BOY FELLA WIN


Good selections BAYMAN
Agree BAYMAN BOY FELLA a very good chance TOMorrow nite

Re: pt pirie 17/7/09

PostPosted: Sat Jul 18, 2009 12:54 am
by Davey Carlson
Any late MAL's tomorow night??

Re: pt pirie 17/7/09

PostPosted: Sat Jul 18, 2009 1:07 am
by mal
Davey Carlson wrote:Any late MAL's tomorow night??


NO
R3-6
Did consider Dixie Chick Dreamer as a LATE MAL
When it fires it is awesome
Reckon it will develope into a ripper horse
I reckon its gunna be about $1-25 fav
If it steps and is at its best = $1-10

Agree with Bayman
R9-7
Bayman I mean Fat Boy Fella is gunna be real hard to beat in that field

Re: pt pirie 17/7/09

PostPosted: Sat Jul 18, 2009 3:14 am
by G
Tomorrow night at Globe Derby
- Race 9 no.7 Fat Boy Fella is an ABSOLUTE LAY :roll: ;)