Brownlow 2009 - All chat here

[another grub]

Plenty of brownlow punting options out there....

Gee they come up with some crap ideas.....

Brownlow Medal Guernsey No

5615 Guernsey Number 29-35 $3.00
5616 Guernsey Number 36 Or More $4.00
5611 Guernsey Number 1-7 $5.00
5612 Guernsey Number 8-14 $6.00
5614 Guernsey Number 22-28 $7.00
5613 Guernsey Number 15-21 $9.00

[another grub]

Player Performance Brownlow Polls In Most Games


5557 ABLETT Gary (GEEL) $5.00
5549 SWAN Dane (COLL) $7.00
5544 JUDD Chris (CARL) $9.00
5562 SELWOOD Joel (GEEL) $9.00
5576 DAL SANTO Nick (STK) $9.00
5583 GOODES Adam (SYD) $9.00
5537 BLACK Simon (BL) $13.00
5577 GODDARD Brendon (STK) $13.00
5579 MONTAGNA Leigh (STK) $15.00
5581 RIEWOLDT Nick (STK) $17.00
5587 BOYD Matthew (WBDS) $17.00
5536 VINCE Bernie (ADEL) $26.00
5578 HAYES Lenny (STK) $26.00
5535 THOMPSON Scott (ADEL) $34.00
5545 MURPHY Marc (CARL) $34.00
5538 BROWN Jonathan (BL) $41.00
5547 DIDAK Alan (COLL) $41.00
5543 GIBBS Bryce (CARL) $51.00
5588 COONEY Adam (WBDS) $51.00
5533 MCLEOD Andrew (ADEL) $67.00
5559 CHAPMAN Paul (GEEL) $67.00
5568 HARVEY Brent (NM) $81.00
5585 OKEEFE Ryan (SYD) $81.00

[another grub]

Number of Votes Brownlow Winner Votes Polled

Select the number of votes a player/team will accumulate in the nominated count.

5608 Winner Polls 31 Or More $3.00
5605 Winner Polls 25-26 Votes $4.50
5606 Winner Polls 27-28 Votes $4.50
5607 Winner Polls 29-30 Votes $4.50
5604 Winner Polls 23-24 Votes $7.00
5603 Winner Polls 21-22 Votes $13.00
5602 Winner Polls 19-20 Votes $26.00
5601 Winner Polls 0-18 Votes $51.00

[wycbloods]

I like Swan to poll in the most games. Ablett will get plenty of 3 votes and win i think but Swan will Poll in plenty of games.

[johnny_tightlips]

I like Swan to poll in the most games. Ablett will get plenty of 3 votes and win i think but Swan will Poll in plenty of games.

Im not sure about Ablett winning. Th problem with playing in such a good team is that a lot of other players will take the points off you. Where as Swan hasn't got nrealy as many talented players around him and thus might steal a few more brownlow points.

Just my view. I could be way off.

[hazza11]

Been looking at some value for Brownlow Betting and came across the Kangaroos.
Brent Harvey is at a $1.19 on sportingbet for most votes for Kangaroos.
The question is can he be outpolled? Haven't seen a great lot of the Roos, but
Petrie could be in with a shot at $9?
Be interesting to see what Dutchy's and everyone else's view is here.......

[Dutchy]

Havent studied yet but yes Harvey shouldnt been that short (missed 6-7 games), hope to do some study over the next few days and will return with some solid thoughts....

[JK]

Been looking at some value for Brownlow Betting and came across the Kangaroos.
Brent Harvey is at a $1.19 on sportingbet for most votes for Kangaroos.
The question is can he be outpolled? Haven't seen a great lot of the Roos, but
Petrie could be in with a shot at $9?
Be interesting to see what Dutchy's and everyone else's view is here.......

I asked Dutchy the same question recently, have had a little nibble on Swallow at $9 and even smaller again on Harding at $201

[hazza11]

Been looking at some value for Brownlow Betting and came across the Kangaroos.
Brent Harvey is at a $1.19 on sportingbet for most votes for Kangaroos.
The question is can he be outpolled? Haven't seen a great lot of the Roos, but
Petrie could be in with a shot at $9?
Be interesting to see what Dutchy's and everyone else's view is here.......

I asked Dutchy the same question recently, have had a little nibble on Swallow at $9 and even smaller again on Harding at $201

The thing that sticks out for Swallow is he kicks a few goals too.
Harding may poll a few early on.IMHO Petrie is overs at $9.

[MAY-Z]

Been looking at some value for Brownlow Betting and came across the Kangaroos.
Brent Harvey is at a $1.19 on sportingbet for most votes for Kangaroos.
The question is can he be outpolled? Haven't seen a great lot of the Roos, but
Petrie could be in with a shot at $9?
Be interesting to see what Dutchy's and everyone else's view is here.......

i have harvey winning the kangaroo count pretty comfortably

the key when analysing lower ranked side is the browlow is to look at who plays well when they win, i have harvey getting 3 3 votes in 2 wins and teh draw which should see him take out the kangaroos tally comfortably

[hazza11]

Been looking at some value for Brownlow Betting and came across the Kangaroos.
Brent Harvey is at a $1.19 on sportingbet for most votes for Kangaroos.
The question is can he be outpolled? Haven't seen a great lot of the Roos, but
Petrie could be in with a shot at $9?
Be interesting to see what Dutchy's and everyone else's view is here.......

i have harvey winning the kangaroo count pretty comfortably

the key when analysing lower ranked side is the browlow is to look at who plays well when they win, i have harvey getting 3 3 votes in 2 wins and teh draw which should see him take out the kangaroos tally comfortably

Yes I have him finishing on 9, but with Petrie on 7 as I have got it, I think he could easily poll
more 1's and 2's. Will be interesting to see how it pans out though!

[silicone skyline]

While on the brownlow, what's the go with betfair's odds?

They have Bernie Vince at $160 while TAB sportsbet have him at $30??

[Dutchy]

While on the brownlow, what's the go with betfair's odds?

They have Bernie Vince at $160 while TAB sportsbet have him at $30??

Quite simply thats the price someone is prepared to LAY him to win the medal, BF odds are much more realistic, if your going to punt you must have a BF account, simple

I dont have access to PUNITAB but here is BF's odds for the top few, can someone compare?

Ablett $3.3
Swan $6.0
Judd $8.8
Goodes $10
Dal Santo $15
Black $15
Montagna $15.5
Selwood $18.5

[Brodlach]

While on the brownlow, what's the go with betfair's odds?

They have Bernie Vince at $160 while TAB sportsbet have him at $30??

Quite simply thats the price someone is prepared to LAY him to win the medal, BF odds are much more realistic, if your going to punt you must have a BF account, simple

I dont have access to PUNITAB but here is BF's odds for the top few, can someone compare?

Ablett $3.3 $3.00
Swan $6.0 $5.00
Judd $8.8 $7.50
Goodes $10 $6.50
Dal Santo $15 $7.00
Black $15 $11.00
Montagna $15.5 $13.00
Selwood $18.5 $7.50

[brent-83]

Black/Hayes/Judd trifecta for me.

[another grub]

Just goes to show the difference between mug punters and serious punters..... anything where there is a big field.... eg brownlow, golf ect... you always bet betfair.....

[Bum Crack]

My money is on Goodes.

[JK]

To someone who has never visited Betfair (self confessed mug), those price differences are staggering!!

[another grub]

Heres a Quiz.....


guess which prices are first below? betfair or TABsportsbet?

Premiership odds.....

ST K.....$3.5.....$3.25
Geel..... $4...... $3.50
Coll ......$5.4.....$4.50
WB ......$6........$5
Adel ....$11........$8

[another grub]

Champion data predicts....

Gary Ablett (Geelong) - 30 votes
Leigh Montagna (St Kilda) - 27
Dane Swan (Collingwood) - 21
Joel Selwood (Geelong) - 17
Nick Dal Santo (St Kilda) - 17

Yet the Ablett/Montagna Quinella is paying $27..... .... I bet that shortens...