SA Footy

Cox Plate Day

Having a flick through tomorrow races today, and will post my tips a bit later tonight.

Cox Plate thoughts - I'm sticking with Vision & Power, his Turnbull run was his first run in Melb this prep and was fantastic, final 100-200m was scintilating. Should relish the StrathAyr surface at MV. From gate 4 he should settle a bit closer, hopefully one off the fence or getting a nice trail a few back. Only query is his gatespeed from gate 4, Hughie has many options but he is a class rider & should make the right decision.
$18.00/$4.83 on TAB.

There's a lot of value if you dismiss the 2 favourites. Too much value to overlook.
For the trifecta i'll be hoping the faves miss out with these boxed:
- Vision & Power
- Black Piranha
- So You Think
- El Segundo
- Zipping

Could even throw Rock Kingdom & Manhattan Rain in there.


Yep, I'm thinking the Sydney form is going to stack up. It usually does and has proven to hold up already this year in a couple of races.

Magical Pearl in the 4th at $15.00 is exceptional value. Not far behind Whobe 2 runs ago, and pay to forgive Toorak run.

A a quick glance a couple i like are...

Race 2 - #5 Sublimity
Race 4 - #6 Philda
Race 5 - #2 Viking Legend
Race 9 - #9 Dollops

Or should i stear clear of them dodgeman?

I really like Rangirangdo and Viking Legend.

I prefer Estee in the Dollops race.

My turf wars will be the following..

1 - Merger Benefits
2 - Jolie Brise
3 - Avenue
4 - Rangirangdo
5 - Viking Legend
6 - Apache Cat
7 - Hissing Sid (special)
8 - Heart of Dreams
9 - Estee

MONNEE VALLEY
3 - 2,3
4-1
5-1
6-5,9

Rosehill
2-1
3-1

Doomben
4-2
6-1,2

morphettville
3-2

ascot
7-3

Whobe to win, and win well.....

I would be very, very cautious with Rangirangdo. Did not handle the Valley during the week is his trial.

looking at the valley at the fixed odds

there are a few that I think are value on fixed odds

1-6 soliciting
2 - 1,6,8
3 - 3 should win and i think the 2 can run the quinella
4 - 7,10
5 - 1
6 - 2
7-11
8 - 3,4,5 I think are all value. whobegotyou will drift tomorrow, but needs to get out to around 3/1
9 - 2,3,8

dodgingandweaving wrote:I would be very, very cautious with Rangirangdo. Did not handle the Valley during the week is his trial.

when are you putting your tips up mate?

unitab have a quaddie jackpot and a tri jackpot on the cox plate

ill be going through the form again tonight, find those horses who will settle on the speed - first 4

Bum Crack wrote:

dodgingandweaving wrote:I would be very, very cautious with Rangirangdo. Did not handle the Valley during the week is his trial.

when are you putting your tips up mate?

Might get a chance to do it tonight, if not early tomorrow morning.

At a glance.....

R1 - Marmaa
R2 - Angelic Heart
R3 - Avenue, will be $1.50 - I think Broken has a good place chance.
R4 - Magical Pearl/Raffaello
R5 - Extra Zero
R6 - Light Fantastic (Tough race - many, many chances)
R7 - Miss Darcey
R8 - Vision & Power
R9 - Prima Nova

But these are yet to be finalised, will probably wait till tomorrow morning just to check scratching, weather, etc....

Keep an eye on Governance in Race 5 was finishing off nicely in its last run and think maybe a danger to the obvious favourite Avenue.

heading to morphettville tomorrow, reckon the cat might be a special, loves the valley 1200

R1 - Marmaa - Basically an unknown, so just trusting that D. Hayes has a smart one here.
R2 - Angelic Heart - Nice odds, unlucky last start.
R3 - Yes Sir Yes Sir - Favourite too short to touch, so looking for some value.
R4 - Bolle - Under-rated & at good odds 2nd up.
R5 - Extra Zero - Looks promising, heading to the Derby. Carrara might get a cheap lead & win though.
R6 - Light Fantastic - Looks to have come back in good order.
R7 - Think Money - Trained by the master JB Cummings.
R8 - Vision & Power (Special) Been harping on about him all week and not having second thoughts. Will run a trifecta leaving the two favourites out too.
R9 - Soul Diva - Well placed here.

1 - Merger Benefits
2 - Jolie Brise
3 - Avenue
4 - Rangirangdo
5 - Viking Legend
6 - Apache Cat
7 - Hissing Sid (special)
8 - Heart of Dreams
9 - Estee

brent-83 wrote:1 - Merger Benefits
2 - Jolie Brise
3 - Avenue
4 - Rangirangdo
5 - Viking Legend
6 - Apache Cat
7 - Hissing Sid (special)
8 - Heart of Dreams
9 - Estee

Jolie Brise scratched mate, would've been my pick too.

dodgingandweaving wrote:

brent-83 wrote:1 - Merger Benefits
2 - Jolie Brise
3 - Avenue
4 - Rangirangdo
5 - Viking Legend
6 - Apache Cat
7 - Hissing Sid (special)
8 - Heart of Dreams
9 - Estee

Jolie Brise scratched mate, would've been my pick too.

Cheers for that mate.

Have loaded up on Whobegotyou during the week, but this morning I am going with.

MOONEE VALLEY Quaddie - jackpot on UniTAB

Race 6 - 1 5 7
Race 7 - 4 6
Race 8 - 10 11
Race 9 - 1 3 5 8

Going to take 50% for $24

And PERTH race 3 number 7 SNUG BUGGLES $25EW

big day today have the fav into a couple in the derby/melb cup doubles ....
whobe in to bridgstone in the derby
heart of dreams in to bridgstone in the derby
who be in to alcopop and efficent in the melb cup
also like today
magical pearl each way big run last time at the valley behind who be
extra zero win nearly got carrera last time the clashed will be running on strong
light fantastic each way was the boom horse this time last year and looks to have come back well
good luck to all having a punt

dodgingandweaving wrote:R4 - Bolle - Under-rated & at good odds 2nd up.

& very good 2nd up as well, bit more rain would've helped. Pravana in the last also goes pretty well 2nd up, bad barrier but gets back. Bank Robber ew in the Schweppes.