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Derby Day

PostPosted: Thu Oct 29, 2009 9:56 am
by dodgingandweaving
All-group racing this Saturday.
Thoughts on the Derby & any other of the Group races for that matter.......

Re: Derby Day

PostPosted: Thu Oct 29, 2009 9:58 am
by beaver
I will be laying shamoline warrior for starters

Re: Derby Day

PostPosted: Thu Oct 29, 2009 10:00 am
by silicone skyline
beaver wrote:I will be laying shamoline warrior for starters


Drew barrier nine, does this hurt its chances?

Re: Derby Day

PostPosted: Thu Oct 29, 2009 10:05 am
by beaver
I dont think so just not real sure he will stay and will be pretty short shorter than he should be.

Re: Derby Day

PostPosted: Thu Oct 29, 2009 10:07 am
by silicone skyline
Yeah, I'll be on SSSSouthern SSSSKye as my omen.

Will also take some on Gathering given the Bart connection.

Will be there on footy trip, should be a big day... :shock: :shock: :lol:

Re: Derby Day

PostPosted: Thu Oct 29, 2009 10:10 am
by dodgingandweaving
silicone skyline wrote:
beaver wrote:I will be laying shamoline warrior for starters


Drew barrier nine, does this hurt its chances?


Tends to ease back anyway. The only logical danger is Onemorenomore. If they can get his gear right and get him to settle he will run the trip right out even stronger than his previosu start.

Re: Derby Day

PostPosted: Thu Oct 29, 2009 10:15 am
by silicone skyline
dodgingandweaving wrote:
silicone skyline wrote:
beaver wrote:I will be laying shamoline warrior for starters


Drew barrier nine, does this hurt its chances?


Tends to ease back anyway. The only logical danger is Onemorenomore. If they can get his gear right and get him to settle he will run the trip right out even stronger than his previosu start.

Heeeeeaaaalthy fixed price of $13.

At $12 Sportingbet, $11 Centrebet

Re: Derby Day

PostPosted: Thu Oct 29, 2009 10:19 am
by dodgingandweaving
silicone skyline wrote:
dodgingandweaving wrote:
silicone skyline wrote:
beaver wrote:I will be laying shamoline warrior for starters


Drew barrier nine, does this hurt its chances?


Tends to ease back anyway. The only logical danger is Onemorenomore. If they can get his gear right and get him to settle he will run the trip right out even stronger than his previosu start.

Heeeeeaaaalthy fixed price of $13.


Only beaten 1.5 lengths to Shamoline Warrior who I think had the better run, especially with a half decent pace on.
Onemorenomore made play out in front with Gathering, and stuck on well considering he pulled his head off and couldn't settle.
I've had a fair bit of that $13 on TAB, it's $11.00 on Centrebet.
I reckon will jump at single figures.

Re: Derby Day

PostPosted: Thu Oct 29, 2009 10:20 am
by dodgingandweaving
silicone skyline wrote:Yeah, I'll be on SSSSouthern SSSSKye as my omen.

Will also take some on Gathering given the Bart connection.

Will be there on footy trip, should be a big day... :shock: :shock: :lol:


Half your luck mate, one of the best days racing in the world.
Not to mention the plethora of skirt that will be floating around.

Re: Derby Day

PostPosted: Thu Oct 29, 2009 11:11 am
by lovetotalkfooty
What do peolpe think of the chances of light vision? Will it be able to carry 57.5

Re: Derby Day

PostPosted: Thu Oct 29, 2009 11:17 am
by silicone skyline
dodgingandweaving wrote:I've had a fair bit of that $13 on TAB, it's $11.00 on Centrebet.
I reckon will jump at single figures.


Just slipped into 12s.

Re: Derby Day

PostPosted: Thu Oct 29, 2009 1:26 pm
by Felch
silicone skyline wrote:Yeah, I'll be on SSSSouthern SSSSKye as my omen.

Will also take some on Gathering given the Bart connection.

Will be there on footy trip, should be a big day... :shock: :shock: :lol:


I will be there too SS - you blokes wearing anything that will identify you ?

Re: Derby Day

PostPosted: Thu Oct 29, 2009 1:29 pm
by silicone skyline
Felch wrote:
silicone skyline wrote:Yeah, I'll be on SSSSouthern SSSSKye as my omen.

Will also take some on Gathering given the Bart connection.

Will be there on footy trip, should be a big day... :shock: :shock: :lol:


I will be there too SS - you blokes wearing anything that will identify you ?


Drunken faces. Lol.

Na, nothing identifiable, although some might wear their trip shirts there.

Keep an eye out for the Berri Demons!

Re: Derby Day

PostPosted: Thu Oct 29, 2009 1:35 pm
by Mop Up
Anywhere we can watch previous races on the net? I know youtube has a few on there, mostly the bigger name races. Wouldn't mind having a look at some previous runs of these horses. eg AAMI Vase, Norman Robinson Stakes etc...

Isn't Rockferry way under the odds? Be honest haven't seen it run (hence trying to find footage) but its only 3 starts in, won a maiden at Geelong then finished 3rd at Geelong to both the 7 and the 8. sI'm sure its a stayer but still...

SS.. we went to Caufield Cup for FT. Had to pick a mate outta hat and buy him outfit from Op Shop, freaking deplorable outfits, BUT the girls LOVED it. Not to mention photo in Herald Sun.... stand out no matter how bad and your on a winner... just a tip ;)

Re: Derby Day

PostPosted: Thu Oct 29, 2009 1:41 pm
by dodgingandweaving

Re: Derby Day

PostPosted: Thu Oct 29, 2009 1:42 pm
by silicone skyline
Mop Up wrote:Anywhere we can watch previous races on the net? I know youtube has a few on there, mostly the bigger name races. Wouldn't mind having a look at some previous runs of these horses. eg AAMI Vase, Norman Robinson Stakes etc...

Isn't Rockferry way under the odds? Be honest haven't seen it run (hence trying to find footage) but its only 3 starts in, won a maiden at Geelong then finished 3rd at Geelong to both the 7 and the 8. sI'm sure its a stayer but still...

SS.. we went to Caufield Cup for FT. Had to pick a mate outta hat and buy him outfit from Op Shop, freaking deplorable outfits, BUT the girls LOVED it. Not to mention photo in Herald Sun.... stand out no matter how bad and your on a winner... just a tip ;)


That's a goooooood idea. One of my mates is wearing a fluro green suit from his prom. Lol.

Re: Derby Day

PostPosted: Thu Oct 29, 2009 2:13 pm
by mighty_tiger_79
Mop Up wrote:Anywhere we can watch previous races on the net? I know youtube has a few on there, mostly the bigger name races. Wouldn't mind having a look at some previous runs of these horses. eg AAMI Vase, Norman Robinson Stakes etc...

Isn't Rockferry way under the odds? Be honest haven't seen it run (hence trying to find footage) but its only 3 starts in, won a maiden at Geelong then finished 3rd at Geelong to both the 7 and the 8. sI'm sure its a stayer but still...

SS.. we went to Caufield Cup for FT. Had to pick a mate outta hat and buy him outfit from Op Shop, freaking deplorable outfits, BUT the girls LOVED it. Not to mention photo in Herald Sun.... stand out no matter how bad and your on a winner... just a tip ;)


you can go through TVN on the net

they show previous races, barrier trials etc

Re: Derby Day

PostPosted: Thu Oct 29, 2009 8:16 pm
by Mop Up
Thanks Dodgy and MT79!

Do it SS!! :D

Re: Derby Day

PostPosted: Thu Oct 29, 2009 9:04 pm
by silicone skyline
Mop Up wrote:Thanks Dodgy and MT79!

Do it SS!! :D


I've already been to the oppy today fella. But I will present the idea, sounds classic

Re: Derby Day

PostPosted: Fri Oct 30, 2009 11:04 am
by wosfc
Hey all

dont post often but regularly keep an eye on forum proceedings

posh v paupers bet on sportsbet - i like the posh mainly because they are the three horses i am tossing between backing anyway, but is it value?

posh ($180k plus horses - Shamoline Warrior, Onemorenomore & Viking Legend) $2.35
paupers - the rest of the field $1.60

the market is 105% which is pretty good - but i dont really know how to work out if one or the other is at a favorable % based on their fixed price odds - any maths gurus out there know the formula

Had the derby winner last year - so i need to keep the winning streak going (not normally a 100/1 shot punter, but i know some of the owners - that was a great day in Melbourne!)