another grub wrote:I have been looking at the high-low double form. Anyone got any theories on narrowing down a winner....
The high form is as follows.....
5 Highs at Telstra Doom
6 Highs at AAMI only 3 crows, 2 power, 1 sydney
2 Highs at MCG
1 High at GABBA
1 High AT Skilled Stadium
1 Subiaco
Adel 3
Coll 2
bullies 2
PA 2
Geel 2
BL 2
syd 1
wc 1
freo1
get what you like out of that?
The only rain and ordinary conditions forecast over the weekend is Perth.... therefore I will put both Adel and WC as the low....
as for the high.... Wont come from AAMI stadium with Port and Sydney renowned low-scorers. That leaves the 4 Telsra stadium participants as the high..... Terrific Value
HIGH.... ESS, CARL, FREO, BRIS
LOW.... ADEL, WCE.....
cost $5 invest is only $40.... @ various prices (odds) from $100 to $600
There HAS to be a sience to it.
But there isn't. I tried working it out!
Some other questions;
How many non Victorian teams have been the LOW at HOME (ie WCE this week?)
What teams have featured the most in the HIGH and the LOW
Adelaide have the best defence this year - no team over 11 goals (as good as). How many times has the opposition been the low ?
How many times has the high low been the same game ? Adelaide has been in that situation 2 or 3 times I think.
How many times has the actual HIGH LOW been at the best odds EVER (see first 2 rounds!)
How many times has the HIGH and LOW come from a game featuring two Victorian teams?
I don't like the low in your bet. Could happen but, Adelaide are pretty good favourites so they, in theory, won't be the low. WCE are the home team, and non-victorian - I can't imagine them being the low.
The LOW has often been a really small score .. 5 - 7 goals.
Often, the bottom 4 LOW scores have been a few goals apart - making punting on it really hard and full of luck.
In my mind, the LOW will come from one of these games :
COLL-HAWTH
KANG-GEEL
CARL-FREO
The HIGH could come from :
COLL-HAW
PORT-SYD
MELB-WB
In saying that, if I was to be right, the HIGHS could be :
COLL, PORT, MELB, WB
And the LOWS could be :
HAWTH, KANG, GEEL, CARL
I haven't looked at weather yet - nor if/when the roof is open at Telstra.
Also - what players are in/out ? Is Williams out for HAWTH? Fevola out? How will suspensions affect FREO? Will McLEODs Run out of defence assist WCE?
6 or 7 goals for a low is really low - 1.5 goals a quarter. Who will have a defence to do that... ?
St Kilda will never be a low.
Melbourne will never be a low.
Western bulldogs will never be a low.
Adelaide will never be a low.
Carlton will never be a high
Essendon will never be a high
Best start is to do your TIPS.... it's hard to do a HIGH LOW if you don't think about who will at least WIN first.
So what's the wash up of all that ?
I have no idea.
HIGH LOW sucks
