SANFL & AFL Betting for Round 18

[Punk Rooster]

Code: Select all

5.00    WEST ADELAIDE      5/8/06 2.20 PM    
1.10    NORTH ADELAIDE     BROADSPECTRUM    

1.80    NORWOOD            5/8/06 2.20 PM    
1.80    GLENELG            COOPERS STADIUM    

3.50    STURT              5/8/06 2.20 PM    
1.20    CENTRAL DISTRICT   ADELAIDE OVAL    

3.20    SOUTH ADELAIDE     6/8/06 2.20 PM    
1.25    WOOD-TORRENS       NOARLUNGA 0VAL    


[Punk Rooster]

Code: Select all

1.80    ST KILDA            4/8/06 7.10 PM    
2.00    WEST COAST          TELSTRA DOME    

4.20    CARLTON             5/8/06 1.40 PM    
1.20    MELBOURNE           TELSTRA DOME    

2.50    RICHMOND            5/8/06 1.40 PM    
1.50    WEST. BULLDOGS      MCG    

1.30    SYDNEY              5/8/06 6.40 PM    
3.20    ESSENDON            SCG    

1.35    ADELAIDE            5/8/06 7.10 PM    
3.10    COLLINGWOOD         AAMI STADIUM    

1.80    BRISBANE            6/8/06 12.40 PM    
2.00    GEELONG             GABBA    

1.55    KANGAROOS           6/8/06 1.40 PM    
2.45    PORT ADELAIDE       TELSTRA DOME    

1.20    FREMANTLE           6/8/06 4.10 PM    
4.50    HAWTHORN            SUBIACO

[mal]

Gee those odds look awfully like mine in the
Earlybird markets I put out on sunday nite!!

No value anywhere, Suggest you throw Sydney
in all your muliples lads, but no bets for me

14 afl bets 13 wins
05 sanfl bets 4 wins

NostraMALdamus will rest this week.

[mal]

The $1-56 SS/FR double looks tempting
Nah I will just watch this week .

[Punk Rooster]

Collingwood always play well at Footy Park, line bet + win bet (= units), is my usual bet for them. Also the Crows returning fom Perth may not back up like everyone thinks.
North Adelaide will win, but that price is no value (spot on imo), I would be interested to see what the line is for the game.
South Adelaide may show a bit of cheek at home, Central should prob towel Sturt.
Brisbane, St Kilda, Richmond wold probably win/go close, but I think if I do have a bet, I would have to see what the line betting is 1st.

At this stage, I'm keen on Brisbane/Collingwood.

Don't be surprised if I don't have a be this round though.

[mal]

PUNK be careful the LIONS as Charman and MAL Michael
are not playing at this stage.

[Punk Rooster]

Will wait till later in the week anwyay, Mal.
Scrap Richmond, they have too many KPP injuries.

[mighty_tiger_79]

south have gone alright at home this year in comparison to other years and the last time they played the Eagles they were coming off a bye in which they have a shocking record and gave the eagles a 6 goal start and got within a kick. this time round they have had one run back from a spell and at home, they could be the value.

i expect them to go very close...........................................

[another grub]

The mal all-up is the way to go..... 3 favs into the bays...... another GIFT.

[mal]

The mal all-up is the way to go..... 3 favs into the bays...... another GIFT.

That was BAYMANS gift.[he's good at sanfl ]

[PerceThePunter]

Suggest there are some real traps for the unwary in this round. Would steer very wide of the Crows at $1.35 against a team also battling for a Top 4 spot, that also play AAMI fairly well. Also suggest that the Kangaroos are no real value at $1.55 in their encounter.

Will take the multi of West Coast/Melbourne/Richmond and Sydney at $7.80. The Tigers look near montys at $2.50 against a team beset with injuries and many players on the sidelines. Don't be lulled into the hype about Chris Grant's record breaking game - this often has no effect, particularly for a team playing on the wide expanses of the "G", and away from their beloved Telstra Dome.

[Dutchy]

Suggest there are some real traps for the unwary in this round. Would steer very wide of the Crows at $1.35 against a team also battling for a Top 4 spot, that also play AAMI fairly well. Also suggest that the Kangaroos are no real value at $1.55 in their encounter.

Will take the multi of West Coast/Melbourne/Richmond and Sydney at $7.80. The Tigers look near montys at $2.50 against a team beset with injuries and many players on the sidelines. Don't be lulled into the hype about Chris Grant's record breaking game - this often has no effect, particularly for a team playing on the wide expanses of the "G", and away from their beloved Telstra Dome.

Cant agree PTP, Crows will bounce back, Kanagroos are always value against Port with a 12-3 WL record and will be back to full strength with Arch back this week as for Port they are no where near full strength. In fact Roos at the line is a good thing IMO.

Bullies always do well in milestone games and Richmond have run their race this season, with the bullies pace the G wont worry them at all, in fact that is a weakness of Richmonds.

time will tell!!! good to see you back

[Punk Rooster]

Dutchy- the Kangaroos aren't value. Yes, they will more than likely win, but the $1.55 is pretty well spot on, so there isn't any value there (had they been $2 or better, then they would be).
Richmond will surely struggle with Simmons & Brown out (Brown out, geddit? )
Crows v Pies should be a lot closer, Pies are value imo.

[Dutchy]

I follow the kangas closely and rarely punt on them however they are starting to play like a team that will finish off the season strongly, where Port are looking for the end of the season going up and down in the one spot. Kangas talls wont be able to be covered at the dome....chuck in the Kanags record against them (who was the only team Port didnt beat in 2004? and it was by 93 points at the dome!)

IMO they ARE value, esp at the line around -15

[Punk Rooster]

The line of -15.5 pts (if at $2), is better value than $1.55 the win.

[mighty_tiger_79]

PTP

the crows will win only because collingwood havent beaten a team in the top 8 all year

[Punk Rooster]

PTP

the crows will win only because collingwood havent beaten a team in the top 8 all year

We beat WCE & (thrashed) Geelong.

[heater31]

PTP

the crows will win only because collingwood havent beaten a team in the top 8 all year

We beat WCE & (thrashed) Geelong.

but what happened last year punk? never seen Malthouse so wild @ half time walking down to the rooms, he could have killed them with his stare.

[Dutchy]

SANFL ROUND 18




5.50 WEST ADELAIDE +29.5 6.00 26.00 5/8/06 2.20 PM
1.10 NORTH ADELAIDE -39.5 2.20 2.00 BROADSPECTRUM North at the points

1.80 NORWOOD -7.6 2.25 4.00 5/8/06 2.20 PM
1.90 GLENELG -3.5 2.30 4.50 COOPERS STADIUM Bays have drifted, time to get on - bays to win

3.50 STURT +18.5 4.00 12.00 5/8/06 2.20 PM
1.25 CENTRAL DISTRICT -26.5 2.20 2.30 ADELAIDE OVAL Central at the Points

3.50 SOUTH ADELAIDE +18.5 4.00 12.00 6/8/06 2.20 PM
1.25 WOOD-TORRENS -26.5 2.20 2.30 NOARLUNGA 0VAL NO BET

[mighty_tiger_79]

i apologise, i didnt think GEELONG were a top 8 team and the west coast are definately not a top 8 team in melbourne.

but i was wrong in my statement which is never unusual