AFL RD

[mighty_tiger_79]

AFL Matches



20/04/2012H2H
Line
Points
1-39
40+



19:50 | St Kilda v Fremantle
Markets (45)


St Kilda 1.40
-17.5 1.92
-21.5 2.10
2.10
3.50


Fremantle 2.95
+17.5 1.92
+13.5 2.10
3.60
16.00



21/04/2012H2H
Line
Points
1-39
40+



13:45 | Carlton v Essendon
Markets (45)


Carlton 1.14
-34.5 1.92
-38.5 2.10
2.30
2.05


Essendon 6.00
+34.5 1.92
+30.5 2.10
6.00
30.00


19:40 | Brisbane v Gold Coast
Markets (45)


Brisbane 1.45
-16.5 1.92
-20.5 2.10
2.30
3.30


Gold Coast 2.75
+16.5 1.92
+12.5 2.10
3.50
12.00



22/04/2012H2H
Line
Points
1-39
40+



16:40 | Melbourne v Western Bulldogs
Markets (44)


Melbourne 3.00
+19.5 1.92
+15.5 2.10
3.70
16.00


Western Bulldogs 1.39
-19.5 1.92
-23.5 2.10
2.15
3.20

[mighty_tiger_79]

i THINK The Gary COast look some value v brisbane

[Johno6]

i thought gold coast hold some value?

[Squids]

Must not back Freo

[Squids]

Mitchell most disposals
Swan most disposals
Milne most goals

look to be good bets depending on price.


Sydney have a v.good record over North...haven't been defeated by them since 2007.

WB should beat Melbourne

[Mr_Willy]

Surely the Doggies are OVERS.... Melbourne are embarrassing..... Even the line looks overs, and the 40+

[OnSong]

Handy multi value but I thought the same thing about Geelong last week. Ack!

[Ron Burgundy]

Ill put Bris 15+ into my multi @1.95. Just gotta look at other small value picks.

[goraw]

ive gone $25 on stkilda,carlton,collingwood @ $1.73 for a return of $43. on paper looks easy enough.

[whufc]

Surely the Doggies are OVERS.... Melbourne are embarrassing..... Even the line looks overs, and the 40+

Bulldogs arent much better 1 goal at half time against the Saint at Etihad, thats almost the worse performance this season.

Personally i would be backing the total score to be very low, neither side has a key forward that would get a game in any other side except these two.

[Westsider]

Shaw and Thomas out for Collingwood... all aboard Port!

[brod]

Shaw and Thomas out for Collingwood... all aboard Port!

Line is nearly 7 goals

[Sheik Yerbouti]

Luxbet have taken down the Port/Coll market.

[OnSong]

The Pies look average on paper. It must be their worst team they've put on the field for some years.

[Mad Mat]

The Pies look average on paper. It must be their worst team they've put on the field for some years.

And for that reason I've taken Port at 1-39 @$4.35.

[mighty_tiger_79]

with the roof open at the DOOM

ive taken under 194.5 points at $2.18

[mighty_tiger_79]

with the roof open at the DOOM

ive taken under 194.5 points at $2.18

[mighty_tiger_79]

$1.85 cats to score over 109.5 looks inviting

[Johno6]

Collingwood 1.75 1.80
Essendon 2.08 2.00


i am loading up on the pies

[OnSong]

Here are my thoughts on chances to win it.

ANZAC Day Medal:

My value selections in BLUE

Pendlebury Scott (Coll) 6.00 Yes
Swan Dane (Coll) 7.00 Yes
Watson Jobe (Ess) 8.00 Yes
Stanton Brent (Ess) 9.00 Yes
Cloke Travis (Coll) 13.00 Yes
Ryder Patrick (Ess) 13.00 Yes
Wellingham Sharrod (Coll) 15.00 Maybe
Sidebottom Steele (Coll) 15.00 Yes
Fletcher Dustin (Ess) 17.00 Yes
Crameri Stewart (Ess) 17.00 Yes
Hocking Heath (Ess) 17.00 No
Beams Dayne (Coll) 21.00 Yes
Heppell Dyson (Ess) 21.00 Yes
Didak Alan (Coll) 26.00 Yes
O'Brien Harry (Coll) 26.00 Maybe
Jolly Darren (Coll) 26.00 Yes
Monfries Angus (Ess) 26.00 Yes
Jetta Leroy (Ess) 26.00 Maybe
Zaharakis David (Ess) 26.00 Yes
Davey Alwyn (Ess) 26.00 Maybe
Dempsey Courtenay (Ess) 34.00 Maybe
Johnson Ben (Coll) 34.00 Maybe
Dawes Chris (Coll) 34.00 Maybe
Fasolo Alex (Coll) 34.00 Maybe
Melksham Jake (Ess) 34.00 Maybe
Howlett Ben (Ess) 34.00 Maybe
Brown Nathan (Coll) 41.00 No
Blair Jarryd (Coll) 41.00 Maybe
Hardingham Kyle (Ess) 41.00 No
Lonergan Sam (Ess) 41.00 No
Maxwell Nick (Coll) 51.00 Maybe
Goldsack Tyson (Coll) 51.00 No
Clarke Martin (Coll) 51.00 No
Pears Tayte (Ess) 51.00 No
Hibberd Michael (Ess) 51.00 Maybe
Tarrant Chris (Coll) 67.00 No
Colyer Travis (Ess) 67.00 No
Reimers Kyle (Ess) 67.00 Maybe
Slattery Henry (Ess) 67.00 No
Steinberg Ariel (Ess) 67.00 No
Toovey Alan (Coll) 67.00 No
Sinclair Ben (Coll) 67.00 No
Young Tom (Coll) 67.00 No
Hooker Cale (Ess) 67.00 No
Bellchambers Tom (Ess) 67.00 Maybe
Dyson Ricky (Ess) 67.00 No
Dell'Olio Cory (Ess) 67.00 No
Carlisle Jake (Ess) 81.00 No
Keeffe Lachlan (Coll) 81.00 No
Paine Jackson (Coll) 81.00
Buckley Simon (Coll) 81.00
Seedsman Paul (Coll) 81.00

Pendlebury an understandable favourite, collecting the medal in 2010 and last year's medal with 34 touches, 3 goals, while being tagged by friggin Hocking, who he is sure to get again.
Take into account Collingwood is missing 6 of its top 10 players from last year's corresponding fixture in Davis, Ball, Thomas, Reid, Brown and Shaw.
Essendon should take a pretty similar team in this week, despite missing Michael Hurley, who was useless last year anyway.
Stanton (average of 29 disposals) and Watson (ave 27 disp) are notably Essendon's favourites to win it.

Thoughts on value picks:

Cloke: Due for a big one. Will get Hooker again, probably. Should dominate him.
Sidebottom: Flys under the radar and shouldn't get a tag, has a good chance of bobbing up with 25+ touches and three goals.
Heppell: Played well in this fixture last year (25 touches) and could have a fair influence in his second year.
Hibberd: Been in good form across the HBF.
Reimers: Can have turn it on but is a douche and inconsistent, price is warranted.
Bellchambers: Improved ruckman in good nick. Getting forward and kicking goals lately. Gave Kruezer and Hampson a bath last week and Jolly isn't particularly killing them at the moment.