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gdp monday 11/9/2006

PostPosted: Sun Sep 10, 2006 8:16 pm
by bayman
gdp,

r1 main chances 1,3,6,7 with a rough place hope to 2, top pick is 3
r2 chances in an open trott is 1,2,9,10,11 while if 5 ever trotted it'd go close & the interesting runner is 3 this is its first start as a trotter & i'd prefer to watch it first, while 10 is mal & ag's horse
r3 main chances 1,4,7 with place hopes to 6 & 8 with top pick 1 as i think it'll lead & win (rated 5/4) the 8 i dont know but its form warrants consideration for multis
r4 top two 8,9 with multi hopes to 1,5,10,11 in a tough race
r5 chances 1,4,8 next best 6 the 1 may be very good value in this as its drawn well this time round
r6 chances 2,3,4 with place chance to 6 while 1 could sneak a place at odds, if 2 leads it should win but if 4 crosses (& it could) it would be tremendous value
r7 chances to 1,2,4,7 place chance to 6 & f4 hope to 3, the 2 is the best horse if its fit enough it'd win & big browny usually has them fit enough first up so the top pick is 2
r8 the likely winner is 5 while 4 has ability & has trialled nicely the only other chance would be 2

good luck on the punt

PostPosted: Sun Sep 10, 2006 8:23 pm
by mal
BAYMAN
After the Anvils a Chritian fiasco, I am very very very close to stop
betting at the trots.[AACa beaten $1-05 winner saturday night]
We both pick swags of winners but they are always starting at
prohibitive odds.

PostPosted: Sun Sep 10, 2006 8:40 pm
by bayman
mal wrote:BAYMAN
After the Anvils a Chritian fiasco, I am very very very close to stop
betting at the trots.[AACa beaten $1-05 winner saturday night]
We both pick swags of winners but they are always starting at
prohibitive odds.


i'm puzzled by that comment how can you be a beaten winner ?

PostPosted: Sun Sep 10, 2006 8:46 pm
by mal
beaten winner ? BAYMAN

I pick things [especially dogs] that are $8 in the paper
I tip them in forums and they start $2-20 etc etc.
In August I tipped about 10 dogs for a place that were $10 + in the paper
and they pay $1-50 all the time for a place.

At the trots the winners are easier to find but they come up $1-00 a win too often.

mal

PostPosted: Mon Sep 11, 2006 8:48 am
by bayman
if you didn't put 'so much' on they wouldn't come up that short & in your quote between the brackets it clearly says beaten winner i still want to know how can you have a beaten winner ?

Re: mal

PostPosted: Mon Sep 11, 2006 10:15 am
by Dutchy
bayman wrote:if you didn't put 'so much' on they wouldn't come up that short & in your quote between the brackets it clearly says beaten winner i still want to know how can you have a beaten winner ?

he has a point! :lol: :lol:

PostPosted: Mon Sep 11, 2006 12:10 pm
by mal
ANVILS A CHRISTAN
--------------------------

Beaten winner is my claytons terminology, it was a certain winner
that happened to lose[if that makes sense]

HORSES RACING 3 TIMES IN A WEEK
------------------------------------------

SWITCHEROO third run in about 9 days running today BAYMAN.
Talked to a professional in the trotting industry who informs me
that you are right, horses are hardly effected racing 3 times a week.
especially trotters, and if the horses are sit sprinters and have soft runs,
then its hardly a problem

When I asked a trainer on the weekend he said they lose 10-50% in fitness.
So Ive had 2 contradicting opinions.

BAYMAN you base your assertions on knowledge
I based mine on statitisical evidence[being why dont all trainers do it all the time]

As for the Interdominion with horses racing 4 times a week , he did say
that some horses are raced SOFT in the runs to stay fresh throughout.

LORD LARRY
---------------

Is the $2-80 paper favourite today having its 2nd run in 3 days.
We know it has suspect legs, Hmn I reckon it must be a risk as it
has to be a little bit sore :?:
When Simon Jones had this horse he told me it was very unsound.

LATE MAL
-----------

R1-3 WHOLA DANCER agree with baybaloonbellyman.WIN
R6-2 LORD LARRY a risk :wink: LAY OF THE DAY

All the best .

PostPosted: Mon Sep 11, 2006 12:28 pm
by Dutchy
mal wrote:
R6-2 LORD LARRY a risk :wink: LAY OF THE DAY

All the best .


One for the Betfair account holders???? :lol:

PostPosted: Mon Sep 11, 2006 2:11 pm
by another grub
put in my offer for Lord Larry to loose.....MY First betfair bet ....... here goes...... just need to find someone to back it to win now!!!!
Race 6 at Bathurst .... Peakhurst is also the lay of the day in the gallops!!!!

PostPosted: Tue Sep 12, 2006 12:16 am
by mal
LORD LARRY, beaten, no surprise.[2 runs in 3 days...]
SWITCHEROO beaten no surprise.[ 3 runs in a week....]
WHOLA DANCER the $1-20 fav beaten, a surprise.

The late MAL is in jeopardy.

PostPosted: Tue Sep 12, 2006 9:27 am
by another grub
plenty of money to be made on betfair MAL, keep the lays coming fellas...... its the the only lay i get lately!!!!

both lays got rolled yesterday.... how many bets can I go with out backing a winner?