gdp 14/10/2006

[bayman]

gdp,
i found this tough so tread warily although a 'dutchy betfair lay' we can find
r1 chances 1,2,4 with next best 3,10 while scd's horse could sneak into the f4 no7 but top pick is 4
r2 main chances 4,6 while for multis 1,2,5,8 although i think 8 is for dutchy
r3 open event 1,4 5,6,8,9 are all hopes with my pick either 1,4 (depending on prices)
r4 the good thing from monday should win again 1, the only danger is 7 (be on its back) while everything except 8 can run into the multis
r5 chances 2,3,5,6 with next best 9 (drawn poorly)
r6 what a great race i've hummed & harred over this i'm still not sure obviously 3,6 will win its possible that 1 could split them & 5 may get 3rd this is the two t'f's to do 3,6/3,6/1,5 & for less units 3,6/1,3,6/1,3,5,6, basically it looks like 3 will lead but the 6 has beaten good horses sitting in the death
r7 1,3 will win top pick 1, while next best 4 (if it trotts),8
r8 10 looks a moral (rated 1/2) for multis 5,7,8,9

suggested bet
r4 no1 win
r8 no10 win

dutchy's betfair lays,
r2 no8 harder tonight
r4 no8 put up 500/1 & see if you get a nibble as it like last week is no hope
r5 no8 she'll get lost & then make it work too hard in the run

good luck on the punt

[SCD]

Toughest meeting at globe in a long time I think - won't be spending up big tonight...

R1 - think the 1 can lead, with the 4 outside it and winning the race... Think the 10 is the hardest to beat with obviously 1 and 7 to fill a placing (know the 7 will improve on last week, a nice 4th to Arva Ginger - where she pulled hard during the week.. my mates think she can run 2nd to the 4 - I don't...)
R2 - I disagree with Bayman - think the 8 is almost a good thing, not much ability on show here and he should win from 1,5,6,7,9
R3 - Think the 1 was unlucky 1st up and is the horse to beat - in saying that 9 is a huge drop in class and if he can get a nice run through would be hard to beat... place chances to 4,6,7,10
R4 - 1 leads and should win.... but as Bayman has said - 2 runs in a week isn't good for this animal, so if looking for value, back the 4 e/w - went super last week with no luck.. don't worry about 8 ... Bayman beat it home on his bike last week!
R5 - 2 leads, 1 sits on his back - can't see any death seat horse except maybe the 8 (and agree with Bayman - she will get lost) so, take 1,2,7,9 in exotics
R6 - Disagree with Bayman again here, last time these 2 met the 6 led from barrier 6 and won by 3m.. for that reason - I think he is the best bet of the night.. 6 to win 3 to run 2nd and 1 and 2 to run 3rd.. the 5 can't run money (Dr Dre)
R7 - I keep backing the 8, it keeps letting me down.. but tonight can run the trifecta with 1 and 3..
R8 - Pls see Bayman's post = spot on assessment, 10 will win from 5,7,8,9 - that 10's a nice horse, ran a nice 5th the Arva Ginger last week

Trebles tonight;
8/1/1 for a few dollars and
8/1,4,9/1,4 for a little bit

Good luck and see you for my 46c can of coke tonight Bayman!

[bayman]

thank god for the last 3 winners i was having an ordinary night until then, still lost after a couple of bad decisions early but they made the loss fairly minimal & i know scd had a pretty good night, it was good backing the last one with dammerell at 2.40 i just wish i had more on me to get out completely but thats the way it goes & they're on again monday

[bayman]

i was wrong i thought the 8 in race 2 was a risk, but it won narrowly but it did win i thought halfway down the straight that shauns horse was going to get it easily but the 8 refused to give up so sorry mate & i hope you didn't lay it for too much

[Dutchy]

i was wrong i thought the 8 in race 2 was a risk, but it won narrowly but it did win i thought halfway down the straight that shauns horse was going to get it easily but the 8 refused to give up so sorry mate & i hope you didn't lay it for too much

no damage bayman...I wasnt back from cricket when that race was on so didnt lay it!....backed the 1 in the last @ $2.66 on betfair which was nice...cheers

[Maddogmike]

How much do u normally put on ur lay bets Dutchy?!

[bayman]

we learnt last night that tinny camilla cant even handle 2 runs in quick succession so remember back it when fresh & drawn where it can find the lead, i thought 2 runs would be ok but i was wrong

[mal]

we learnt last night that tinny camilla cant even handle 2 runs in quick succession so remember back it when fresh & drawn where it can find the lead, i thought 2 runs would be ok but i was wrong

You must have got Tinny Camilla confused with Switcheroo

[mighty_tiger_79]

BAYMAN didnt you say that these horses can race many times in a week as that is what they are bred to do??????

[bayman]

BAYMAN didnt you say that these horses can race many times in a week as that is what they are bred to do??????

well look back & see what i wrote, i stated (paraphrasing) that these horses (standard breds) are bred to work & MOST can HANDLE the workload but some INDIVIDUALS CAN NOT & trainers learn how to handle horses individually depending on their make up, & some even let them freshen up midweek by putting them in the paddock, i could go on but i wont

now this looks like mal pm'd you & got you to put this up as it his type of smart a... comment & we both know he does it (sends pms)

mal why dont you have the guts to put it up yourself & dont deny it i know you to well

[mal]

BAYMAN didnt you say that these horses can race many times in a week as that is what they are bred to do??????

well look back & see what i wrote, i stated (paraphrasing) that these horses (standard breds) are bred to work & MOST can HANDLE the workload but some INDIVIDUALS CAN NOT & trainers learn how to handle horses individually depending on their make up, & some even let them freshen up midweek by putting them in the paddock, i could go on but i wont

now this looks like mal pm'd you & got you to put this up as it his type of smart a... comment & we both know he does it (sends pms)

mal why dont you have the guts to put it up yourself & dont deny it i know you to well

Refer my post Sunday Oct 15 2006 6-40 pm

PS i did not PM Mighty Tiger this time

[bayman]

BAYMAN didnt you say that these horses can race many times in a week as that is what they are bred to do??????

well look back & see what i wrote, i stated (paraphrasing) that these horses (standard breds) are bred to work & MOST can HANDLE the workload but some INDIVIDUALS CAN NOT & trainers learn how to handle horses individually depending on their make up, & some even let them freshen up midweek by putting them in the paddock, i could go on but i wont

now this looks like mal pm'd you & got you to put this up as it his type of smart a... comment & we both know he does it (sends pms)

mal why dont you have the guts to put it up yourself & dont deny it i know you to well

Refer my post Sunday Oct 15 2006 6-40 pm


PS i did not PM Mighty Tiger this time

sorry mal i cant believe it as it has mal written allover it

[Dutchy]

How much do u normally put on ur lay bets Dutchy?!

I lay to win anything from $6- to $25- depending on my confidence, also use it to back favourites that are evens on the tote but $3-00 on BF...cant resist the overs sometimes!

[another grub]

theres a sucker born everyday............... stick to the system dutchy... be patient or you will fail!!!!

[Dutchy]

theres a sucker born everyday............... stick to the system dutchy... be patient or you will fail!!!!

whats your system AG?