gdp monday 5/2/2007

[bayman]

gdp mon,
well after an easy night on saturday this looks an overall tricky & hard meeting so TREAD VERY WARILY

scd informs me there is a jackpot quaddie on todays program, so with those with stab accounts that maybe the way to go

r1 well 9 picks herself, she looks a moral, main multi hopes 1,4,6 with next best 8
r2 i have 6 on top (rated 6/4) from 1,3,4,5 only 2 couldn't run a place
r3 well i think 4 is an e/w special as i think it'll get there first for the 1 to hand up to, other hopes 1,2,6(despite driver),8 this being a claimer the $3,000 for the 6 is tempting, straight to another trainer & more importantly ANOTHER DRIVER
r4 very very open, chances 1,4,5,7,8,9,10 (for treble) i have 9,10 the top two but the 1 maybe the value at odds as we can expect improvement from draw
r5 chances 1,3,5,7,8 i have 1 on top with 7 a good place bet
r6 another tricky trott i have 6 on top (rated evens but no value) from 9,10,11 next best 1,8 with a big watch on 2,3 i haven't seen them trial
r7 very open with numerous chances i have 1 on top (likely leader & rated 5/2) from 2,5,6,7,8,10
r8 chances 6,7,8,9,10 with 3 a rough place hope 10 is top pick despite a dissapointing run at gawler although it was beaten by a nice horse

suggested bet(s)
allup (get it early)
r1 no 9 win
r3 no 4 e/w

good luck on the groan 'n' grunt & TREAD WARILY TODAY

[mal]

Well well well BAYMAN
On friday night i thought THE PUPPETMASTER had an ew chance.
You correctly pointed out it was having its 4th run in a week and
that the horse was a gigantic risk.

History shows you were 100% right I will concede that to you, it ran a shocker.

Saturday GDP BAYMAN/SCD/MAL had 100% strike rate 13/13 winning tips

Great effort
BUT
Saturday night you selected BAD BOY NITRO[the winner] in your preview
You also tipped POSITIVE OUTLOOK to run a place.
POSITIVE OUTLOOK was racing twice in 24 hours[it won at pirie the night before]

It ran disMALly

MONDAY PREVIEW
----------------------

You have selected R2-6 LEON CAM
This horse ran saturday night
Hmn......

[bayman]

well first of i gave positive outlook a trifecta/first 4 chance not a winning chance with chance being the operative word chance not certainty to run a place

with leon cam on monday he has PROVEN he can back up, i have it at 6/4 & he is no certainty but i think he is the one to beat as he should get a good cart up in the race & have the final shot at them, if however the speed is not fast enough he has the strength to go to death & still be competitive if you look at the handicaps he is in very well in this race

if leon cam fails (WITHOUT INTERFERENCE) then talk to me, but to give you credit this is the first time you've mentioned a horse BEFORE ITS RACED the second time, so we'll wait & see but this is the wrong horse to bring up about backing up

[SCD]

Agree with you Bayman - very hard to find a winner for this meeting...

R1 - 9 a moral from 1,4,6,7
R2 - open race, with 1,2,6 the main hopes
R3 - 1,4,6 on top from 2,5,9
R4 - 1,4,5,8,9 will be going in my quaddie in a lottery race.. I like the 4 with a new trainer
R5 - 1 and 3 the only hopes from 5,7,8,9 to run 3rd
R6 - 4,6,7,10 the main hopes in a hard race
R7 - 1 should lead and be hard to beat from 2,7,8,10
R8 - 1,8,9,10 on top from 6,7

Suggested Bets
R1 - 9w
R7 - 1w

[mal]

LATE MAL
-----------
R1-8 ENDEARED [$1-20] cant lose so if we obtain $1-40 or better chhhhhharge. WIN
R3-2 WAVE REIGNS[$3-50] should lead PLACE .............................................PLACE
R8-10 GET GOING[$2-80] EW cert..the fav DOLLAR MICK is a non winner. ........EW

BETFAIR LAY
---------------
R2-6 LEON CAM
The trainer is giving this horse a near impossible task.
It raced Saturday night thus 2 runs in 48 hours
The horse needs a soft run after running 48 hours ago, I cant see that happening
from 30 meters behind some handy horses

It is $3-20 in the paper not only wont it win it probably will miss aplace in a 6 horse field.
If BAYMAN did not tip LEON CAM I would say lay it forever.

good luck

############################################################

Mixed day
ENDEARED WINS AT $1-20
WAVE REIGN unplaced
LEON CAM our lay ran last
GET GOING a certainty beaten paid $1-40 a place

[mighty_tiger_79]

MAL

i thought you were off the boil.

1 - 8 is red bull 9 is ENDEARED

thats for you people who follow the MALessiah

[mal]

THE TIRED HORSE SYSTEM OF RISKS
-------------------------------------------

Only one runner
r2-6 LEON CAM

SYSTEM at 1 win per bet

INV $20
RET $8-30
LOSE $11-70

[mighty_tiger_79]

THE TIRED HORSE SYSTEM OF RISKS
-------------------------------------------

Only one runner
r2-6 LEON CAM

SYSTEM at 1 win per bet

INV $20
RET $8-30
LOSE $11-70

the BETFAIR system of TIRED HORSES

[mal]

Yes MT79 LEON CAM will prob.be $2-50 fav LAY of the MONTH

[SCD]

Yes MT79 LEON CAM will prob.be $2-50 fav LAY of the MONTH

And we are talking about Lay of the month?? - Please post these things on the Great Looking Harness Girls thread - that would be more the place we are talking about that..

[mighty_tiger_79]

endearred a min before race is $1 win and $2.1 place on punitab!!!!!!!!!!!

[mighty_tiger_79]

i took a $1.34 betfair plus backed it on my wa acc.

go ENDEARED

[mighty_tiger_79]

LATE MAL
-----------
R1-8 [$1-20] cant lose so if we obtain $1-40 or better chhhhhharge. WIN

BETFAIR LAY
---------------
R2-6 LEON CAM
The trainer is giving this horse a near impossible task.
It raced Saturday night thus 2 runs in 48 hours
The horse needs a soft run after running 48 hours ago, I cant see that happening
from 30 meters behind some handy horses

It is $3-20 in the paper not only wont it win it probably will miss aplace in a 6 horse field.
If BAYMAN did not tip LEON CAM I would say lay it forever.

good luck

MAL it lost

1 - 8 RED BULL ran 3rd

[mal]

F
I
G
MAL - SCD- BAYMAN

The 3 Einsteins have done it again
ENDEARED wins $1-20

[mighty_tiger_79]

the 5 is odds on at the moment on punitab and supertab, can we LAY that?

[mal]

well first of i gave positive outlook a trifecta/first 4 chance not a winning chance with chance being the operative word chance not certainty to run a place

with leon cam on monday he has PROVEN he can back up, i have it at 6/4 & he is no certainty but i think he is the one to beat as he should get a good cart up in the race & have the final shot at them, if however the speed is not fast enough he has the strength to go to death & still be competitive if you look at the handicaps he is in very well in this race

if leon cam fails (WITHOUT INTERFERENCE) then talk to me, but to give you credit this is the first time you've mentioned a horse BEFORE ITS RACED the second time, so we'll wait & see but this is the wrong horse to bring up about backing up

LEON CAM ran third in a 6 horse field
The stewards lodged a protest.
Protest upheld LEON CAM had an unfair advantage at the start [CHEAT ]
LEON CAM officially runs LAST

Just maybe people will take notice of trainers over-racing pacers now

TIRED HORSE SYSTEM UPDATE
--------------------------
21 BETS
2 WINS
INV $21
RET $8-3O
LOSE $12-70

[mighty_tiger_79]

LEON CAM had to CHEAT otherwise he may never have got as close as he did

[Dutchy]

I backed the 4 in race 2 what a run after gallopinga t the start....Bayman watch the tapes and tell me that wasnt a huge run!!! or the others are ordinary!

[mal]

I backed the 4 in race 2 what a run after gallopinga t the start....Bayman watch the tapes and tell me that wasnt a huge run!!! or the others are ordinary!

The winner ALL FOUR FIRING was a massive run
Lost about 40m at the start
The quins+exactas were massive as well

[mighty_tiger_79]

race 4 - 1 bizzzell I LAYED ON BETFAIR AT $7.80