globe derby park 21/4/2007

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globe derby park 21/4/2007

Postby bayman » Sat Apr 21, 2007 1:05 am

overall tough meeting but we'll try & find a result !!

r1 although sightly up in grade 2 looks the winner (rated 1/2),with main danger 1 while for multis 3,4,6,9,10
r2 i can not see 5 missing a place other chances 2,7,8,9,10
r3 chances 2,3,7,8,9
r4 chances 1,4,5,7,8 the 7 will be favourite but i'd have a little on 4 e/w as if he happened to cross (& it can) it'd be very hard to run down
r5 tactics will play a huge part as there is no doubt 2 will cross & david may decide to hand up to put the 1 almost out of business (before scd tells me they halfcart on the 2nd row i'm talking about when they settle) (ps i'd do it) if that happens the run on horses come into it 8,9,10 especially 10
r6 another open trott chances 3,6,8,9,10,& if your game 12 i'd be on either 3 place or back 12 if big odds
r7 chances 1,3,5,8,9 (i'd risk 7)
r8 1,7 will win, this is 1's chance & has trialled well about 3 weeks ago, for the multis 2,3,4,8
r9 chances 2,3,4,8 with 8 top pick
r10 chances appear 3,4,7,9 i'd suggest 3 if any value (rated 5/2)

suggested bet(s)
r1 no 2 win
r2 no 5 place or e/w
r8 no 1 win

betfair lay
r3 no 1 it is possible it could end up 3 back the pegs, worth risking
r5 no 1 if odds on it is worth laying for the reasons above
r7 no 7 will be a lot shorter than it should be
r9 no 1 a 2yo taking on older mares not likely to win in my opinion infact will be lucky to run a drum

good luck on the punt
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Postby SCD » Sat Apr 21, 2007 1:28 pm

agree Bayman.. tough night tonight.. I won't be betting much - rather watch the crows beat the swans (I hope)

R1 - 2 looks a moral from 1 and then 5,6,7,8,9,10
R2 - 4,5,7,9,10 the main ones in a tough race
R3 - 1,2,7,8 the main hopes (i like the 1 and 7 both e/w)
R4 - I thought being 2230m start - the 1 could lead, but not sure if 7 can hold his back.. think 2 will get there 1st... but open race with 1,2,7,8 the main hopes
R5 - 2 should lead.. but 1800m, don't think it will hand up... I'd take 1,2,6,8,9,10 in the quaddie
R6 - Tough race this one... 3 looks a great hope, with other chances being 4,5,8,9,11,12
R7 - 1 in front = horse to beat from 3,4,7,8,9
R8 - 1,7 - 1,7 - 2,3,8 in a trifecta here.. the 1 and 7 should quin the race
R9 - 4 and 8 the main ones and another race where I think the quin is the way to go.. I'm glad you mentioned the 1 Bayman.. what is this trainer thinking?? An ok 2yr against the older ones.. stupidity!!
R10 - when I saw you thought the 3 was 5/2, I was going to say what the hell.. but when I did my form properly - this is the worst race i've seen for a while and it's sad one of these has to win.. 3,4,5,8,9 the main ones and 3 should be the fav from the draw, but don't take less then 5/2 about it...

Suggested Bets
R1 - 2w
R3 1 or 7 e/w (take the best odds)
R7 - 1 e/w
R8 - 1+7 quin
R9 - 4+8 quin (for only small units)

Betfair Specials
R3 - 9 stablemate is a nicer horse and this one has to lead to win these days
R5 - 7 is not going any good...
R9 - 1 stupidity!!
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Postby bayman » Sat Apr 21, 2007 11:55 pm

well i sat at footy park & made a profit, i should have gone to gdp & made a bigger profit, i fortuneately got home in time to have more on the last winner 4/1 on the tote lovely, i'm sure scd would have won as well
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Postby mal » Sun Apr 22, 2007 10:12 am

URAJOKIN wins again
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