mal wrote:Promotors dream
Match race of 2007
Australian champion SOKYOLA v Local superstar ZERRAFOS.
Can SOKYOLA win from the BAYMANBOGREY barrier 10 ??????????????????????
Will ZERRAFOS first up cause a boilover ?????????????????? from barrier 8 ????
The carparks will swelter this saturday night
MALS ODDS
SOKYOLA $1-30
ZERRAFOS$4-20
RACE9-4 LEND US A SCORE is an extra smart superdooper 2yo
and will win with a leg in the air
Anything over $1-10 is a gift
Will win by a metre a Kilometre
and i'd take the $4.20 about Zerrafoss and wouldn't touch Sokyola @ $1.30....
SCD Market on the race would be about the mark of 127%... with only 3 winning chances...
Baron Land $26
Stand Asquire $51
Iontheball $51
Sunrise Music Man $26
Smashin Sampras $41
Fire and Brimstone $11
Sky King $201
Zerrafoss $3.50
Brother Moon $4.50
Sokyola $1.90
I might be being generous with the $1.90 - and I know you are an excellent form student and price assessor Mal, but i'll outline why i'd have him that price below.... His form is clearly superior then the rest of these average ffa horses, but barrier 10 over 1800m isn't easy coming around the entire field...
My views on Sokyola are it now needs to draw the front row, where it can find the front and get an easy run... I think it's quite sad to see an absolute champion like Sokyola race until he drops basically.. he is running on heart and class only and it's nothing but a really sad end to an excellent career.
159 starts for 76 wins a 47% win strike rate..
last 2 seasons 31 starts for 5 wins a 16% strike rate
this season 14 starts for 1 win a 7% win strike rate..
This is an oportunity for the local horses to beat a champion and they won't give it to him easily.. I don't think he's as effective off the fence and I don't think the breeze will be up for grabs that easily, so he's either working hard to the breeze or he's going to be 3 wide without cover a long way from home in my book... makes horses like Brother Moon and Zerrafoss (if fit and sound) a good e/w chance in the race...
shows the decline in a champion as his battle weary legs can't carry him at the highest level anymore.
I'd love for him to prove me wrong and win the race... you will hear me cheering for him from over in melbourne.. i'd love to see him go out a winner - but not sure he can do it anymore...