AFL+SANFL RD 18 DISCUSSION

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AFL+SANFL RD 18 DISCUSSION

Postby mal » Sun Jul 29, 2007 11:14 pm

These are MAL ODDS to be used for discussion[and profits]
RD 17 the massive over was ES V AC I had ES fav the Bookies chose AC
And for the SANFL gurus the $1-60 CD V PA swelled a few betting accounts

ROUND 18

WB $2-65
SK $1-45

CA $3-50
CO $1-28

GE $1-06
RI $8-00

BL $1-50
KA $2-50

AC $2-70
PP $1-40

ML $3-75
SS $1-25

HW $1-60
ES $2-20

WC $1-33
FR $3-20

SANFL

CD
EG

WA
GL

SA
PA

NA
NW

The way things are going GIFTBET might give us good odds in the GL V WA game
Nah surely not
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Re: AFL+SANFL RD 18 DISCUSSION

Postby Dutchy » Sun Jul 29, 2007 11:23 pm

not bad Mal, although SS are overs at $1.25!!!!!
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Re: AFL+SANFL RD 18 DISCUSSION

Postby mal » Sun Jul 29, 2007 11:30 pm

ML $3-90
SS $1-22

1 market adjustment
Only because of Prof Figdutchy
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Re: AFL+SANFL RD 18 DISCUSSION

Postby westcoastpanther » Mon Jul 30, 2007 2:22 pm

Port at a $1.40 is good value......
Hi, My name is Ron 'Bluey' Dunn. Did you know I played in the 61 & 62 Tasman Premiership sides....
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Re: AFL+SANFL RD 18 DISCUSSION

Postby Punk Rooster » Mon Jul 30, 2007 2:24 pm

westcoastpanther wrote:Port at a $1.40 is good value......

agreed...
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Re: AFL+SANFL RD 18 DISCUSSION

Postby mal » Mon Jul 30, 2007 2:25 pm

If its wet windy and wild AC have a chance
If its dry PP will be shorter
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Re: AFL+SANFL RD 18 DISCUSSION

Postby westcoastpanther » Mon Jul 30, 2007 2:44 pm

You can currently get $1.52 for Port with TAB, this weeks early bird GIFT.....
Hi, My name is Ron 'Bluey' Dunn. Did you know I played in the 61 & 62 Tasman Premiership sides....
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Re: AFL+SANFL RD 18 DISCUSSION

Postby mighty_tiger_79 » Mon Jul 30, 2007 2:45 pm

westcoastpanther wrote:You can currently get $1.52 for Port with TAB, this weeks early bird GIFT.....


ALL ABOARD
Matty Wade is a star and deserves more respect from the forum family!
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Re: AFL+SANFL RD 18 DISCUSSION

Postby Dutchy » Mon Jul 30, 2007 2:59 pm

Port will be puffing their chests out all week cause of their smashing mediocre opponents the last 7 weeks where they have only faced 1 decent team in the WCE, remember they got ahead of themselves earlier in the year then got smashed by a Sydney team that was struggling?...Crows play a similar style to the Swans, Crows will be fired up for this and Port might take them a bit too easy, also a Crows home game, If you can get 12+ points in I think Crows are a great bet...
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Re: AFL+SANFL RD 18 DISCUSSION

Postby Punk Rooster » Mon Jul 30, 2007 3:01 pm

Dutchy, the Crows are DOOMED! :D
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Re: AFL+SANFL RD 18 DISCUSSION

Postby mal » Mon Jul 30, 2007 3:22 pm

[quote="mal"]These are MAL ODDS to be used for discussion[and profits]
RD 17 the massive over was ES V AC I had ES fav the Bookies chose AC
And for the SANFL gurus the $1-60 CD V PA swelled a few betting accounts

ROUND 18

MALODDS........TAB

WB $2-65........$3-50
SK $1-45.........$1-27

CA $3-50........$6-25
CO $1-28........$1-10

GE $1-06..........$1-03
RI $8-00..........$10-00

BL $1-50..........$1-66
KA $2-50.........$2-15

AC $2-70.........$2-48
PP $1-40.........$1-50

ML $3-75.........$7-25
SS $1-25.........$1-07

HW $1-60........$1-80
ES $2-20.........$1-94

WC $1-33........$1-28
FR $3-20.........$3-40

SANFL

CD
EG

WA
GL

SA
PA

NA
NW

I have adjusted AFL odds
I posted the first team to 25 points odds from the TAB
Im tempted to beack ML+ CA at the points, but bad teams = bad punts
Last edited by mal on Tue Jul 31, 2007 6:13 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: AFL+SANFL RD 18 DISCUSSION

Postby Dutchy » Mon Jul 30, 2007 3:36 pm

The 9 day break mitigates the Doom side of things Mally, CHARGE!
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Re: AFL+SANFL RD 18 DISCUSSION

Postby mighty_tiger_79 » Mon Jul 30, 2007 3:54 pm

take the Port/West Coast double!!!!!!!!!
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Re: AFL+SANFL RD 18 DISCUSSION

Postby Punk Rooster » Tue Jul 31, 2007 1:00 pm

Have taken...
Hawthorn WIN $1.80 x 5% of acc
Port Power WIN $1.56 x 5% of acc
Haw/PP DOUBLE $2.81 x 5% of acc

No other overs at this stage imho
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Re: AFL+SANFL RD 18 DISCUSSION

Postby Dutchy » Tue Jul 31, 2007 4:56 pm

Odds are up on Sportsbet -

$1.53 Centrals
$2.45 Eagles

Centrals are overs but reckon Ealges are a show

West Adelaide 3.80
Glenelg 1.25

North Adelaide 1.42
Norwood 2.80

Central District 1.53
Eagles 2.45

South Adelaide 3.10
Port Adelaide Magpies 1.35

Just took South at $3.10 which is overs and a Glenelg/North double at $1.78
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Re: AFL+SANFL RD 18 DISCUSSION

Postby Punk Rooster » Tue Jul 31, 2007 5:06 pm

Dutchy, I have also taken South @ $3.10 (5% of acc), as this match should be $1.85 each...
Imho, I think that WWT are overs (not as much as South though)- Centrals are flat, & only just beat PAM's devoid of a forward line, whereas the Eagles are playing good footy atm.
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Re: AFL+SANFL RD 18 DISCUSSION

Postby Dutchy » Tue Jul 31, 2007 5:09 pm

yeah I was hoping to catch 14-15 points in for the $2-00 line for WWT, but that wont happen at those odds

South actually wernt that bad agains the bays, there was good spirit on the field with plenty of chatter, wouldnt suprise me if they win

as a punter you cant go broke it you back even money shots at $3.10!!!!
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Re: AFL+SANFL RD 18 DISCUSSION

Postby Ecky » Tue Jul 31, 2007 5:16 pm

When I did my market, I had Centrals at $1.18 and South at 1.90, so I reckon they are both huge overs with Sportsbet.
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Re: AFL+SANFL RD 18 DISCUSSION

Postby mal » Tue Jul 31, 2007 6:19 pm

CHARRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRGE

TAB is betting first team to 25 points
I have a superdooper over which I have backed
CA at $3-80 to get to 25 points first is the best bet
They have been having good first quarters most games of late

There is also another MASSIVE reason to back them NOW at the $3-80
The sports genuises will work out why the $3-80 is a CRAZY price

Who has the MALtheorem worked out .
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Re: AFL+SANFL RD 18 DISCUSSION

Postby Dutchy » Tue Jul 31, 2007 6:41 pm

Carlton won 8 first 1/4's this season, Collingwood 7...an advantage?

Carlton average 28 points in 1st 1/4's, Collingwood 21...an advantage?

am I right Mally?
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