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AFL+SANFL RD 18 DISCUSSION

PostPosted: Sun Jul 29, 2007 11:14 pm
by mal
These are MAL ODDS to be used for discussion[and profits]
RD 17 the massive over was ES V AC I had ES fav the Bookies chose AC
And for the SANFL gurus the $1-60 CD V PA swelled a few betting accounts

ROUND 18

WB $2-65
SK $1-45

CA $3-50
CO $1-28

GE $1-06
RI $8-00

BL $1-50
KA $2-50

AC $2-70
PP $1-40

ML $3-75
SS $1-25

HW $1-60
ES $2-20

WC $1-33
FR $3-20

SANFL

CD
EG

WA
GL

SA
PA

NA
NW

The way things are going GIFTBET might give us good odds in the GL V WA game
Nah surely not

Re: AFL+SANFL RD 18 DISCUSSION

PostPosted: Sun Jul 29, 2007 11:23 pm
by Dutchy
not bad Mal, although SS are overs at $1.25!!!!!

Re: AFL+SANFL RD 18 DISCUSSION

PostPosted: Sun Jul 29, 2007 11:30 pm
by mal
ML $3-90
SS $1-22

1 market adjustment
Only because of Prof Figdutchy

Re: AFL+SANFL RD 18 DISCUSSION

PostPosted: Mon Jul 30, 2007 2:22 pm
by westcoastpanther
Port at a $1.40 is good value......

Re: AFL+SANFL RD 18 DISCUSSION

PostPosted: Mon Jul 30, 2007 2:24 pm
by Punk Rooster
westcoastpanther wrote:Port at a $1.40 is good value......

agreed...

Re: AFL+SANFL RD 18 DISCUSSION

PostPosted: Mon Jul 30, 2007 2:25 pm
by mal
If its wet windy and wild AC have a chance
If its dry PP will be shorter

Re: AFL+SANFL RD 18 DISCUSSION

PostPosted: Mon Jul 30, 2007 2:44 pm
by westcoastpanther
You can currently get $1.52 for Port with TAB, this weeks early bird GIFT.....

Re: AFL+SANFL RD 18 DISCUSSION

PostPosted: Mon Jul 30, 2007 2:45 pm
by mighty_tiger_79
westcoastpanther wrote:You can currently get $1.52 for Port with TAB, this weeks early bird GIFT.....


ALL ABOARD

Re: AFL+SANFL RD 18 DISCUSSION

PostPosted: Mon Jul 30, 2007 2:59 pm
by Dutchy
Port will be puffing their chests out all week cause of their smashing mediocre opponents the last 7 weeks where they have only faced 1 decent team in the WCE, remember they got ahead of themselves earlier in the year then got smashed by a Sydney team that was struggling?...Crows play a similar style to the Swans, Crows will be fired up for this and Port might take them a bit too easy, also a Crows home game, If you can get 12+ points in I think Crows are a great bet...

Re: AFL+SANFL RD 18 DISCUSSION

PostPosted: Mon Jul 30, 2007 3:01 pm
by Punk Rooster
Dutchy, the Crows are DOOMED! :D

Re: AFL+SANFL RD 18 DISCUSSION

PostPosted: Mon Jul 30, 2007 3:22 pm
by mal
[quote="mal"]These are MAL ODDS to be used for discussion[and profits]
RD 17 the massive over was ES V AC I had ES fav the Bookies chose AC
And for the SANFL gurus the $1-60 CD V PA swelled a few betting accounts

ROUND 18

MALODDS........TAB

WB $2-65........$3-50
SK $1-45.........$1-27

CA $3-50........$6-25
CO $1-28........$1-10

GE $1-06..........$1-03
RI $8-00..........$10-00

BL $1-50..........$1-66
KA $2-50.........$2-15

AC $2-70.........$2-48
PP $1-40.........$1-50

ML $3-75.........$7-25
SS $1-25.........$1-07

HW $1-60........$1-80
ES $2-20.........$1-94

WC $1-33........$1-28
FR $3-20.........$3-40

SANFL

CD
EG

WA
GL

SA
PA

NA
NW

I have adjusted AFL odds
I posted the first team to 25 points odds from the TAB
Im tempted to beack ML+ CA at the points, but bad teams = bad punts

Re: AFL+SANFL RD 18 DISCUSSION

PostPosted: Mon Jul 30, 2007 3:36 pm
by Dutchy
The 9 day break mitigates the Doom side of things Mally, CHARGE!

Re: AFL+SANFL RD 18 DISCUSSION

PostPosted: Mon Jul 30, 2007 3:54 pm
by mighty_tiger_79
take the Port/West Coast double!!!!!!!!!

Re: AFL+SANFL RD 18 DISCUSSION

PostPosted: Tue Jul 31, 2007 1:00 pm
by Punk Rooster
Have taken...
Hawthorn WIN $1.80 x 5% of acc
Port Power WIN $1.56 x 5% of acc
Haw/PP DOUBLE $2.81 x 5% of acc

No other overs at this stage imho

Re: AFL+SANFL RD 18 DISCUSSION

PostPosted: Tue Jul 31, 2007 4:56 pm
by Dutchy
Odds are up on Sportsbet -

$1.53 Centrals
$2.45 Eagles

Centrals are overs but reckon Ealges are a show

West Adelaide 3.80
Glenelg 1.25

North Adelaide 1.42
Norwood 2.80

Central District 1.53
Eagles 2.45

South Adelaide 3.10
Port Adelaide Magpies 1.35

Just took South at $3.10 which is overs and a Glenelg/North double at $1.78

Re: AFL+SANFL RD 18 DISCUSSION

PostPosted: Tue Jul 31, 2007 5:06 pm
by Punk Rooster
Dutchy, I have also taken South @ $3.10 (5% of acc), as this match should be $1.85 each...
Imho, I think that WWT are overs (not as much as South though)- Centrals are flat, & only just beat PAM's devoid of a forward line, whereas the Eagles are playing good footy atm.

Re: AFL+SANFL RD 18 DISCUSSION

PostPosted: Tue Jul 31, 2007 5:09 pm
by Dutchy
yeah I was hoping to catch 14-15 points in for the $2-00 line for WWT, but that wont happen at those odds

South actually wernt that bad agains the bays, there was good spirit on the field with plenty of chatter, wouldnt suprise me if they win

as a punter you cant go broke it you back even money shots at $3.10!!!!

Re: AFL+SANFL RD 18 DISCUSSION

PostPosted: Tue Jul 31, 2007 5:16 pm
by Ecky
When I did my market, I had Centrals at $1.18 and South at 1.90, so I reckon they are both huge overs with Sportsbet.

Re: AFL+SANFL RD 18 DISCUSSION

PostPosted: Tue Jul 31, 2007 6:19 pm
by mal
CHARRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRGE

TAB is betting first team to 25 points
I have a superdooper over which I have backed
CA at $3-80 to get to 25 points first is the best bet
They have been having good first quarters most games of late

There is also another MASSIVE reason to back them NOW at the $3-80
The sports genuises will work out why the $3-80 is a CRAZY price

Who has the MALtheorem worked out .

Re: AFL+SANFL RD 18 DISCUSSION

PostPosted: Tue Jul 31, 2007 6:41 pm
by Dutchy
Carlton won 8 first 1/4's this season, Collingwood 7...an advantage?

Carlton average 28 points in 1st 1/4's, Collingwood 21...an advantage?

am I right Mally?