Netball Round 15 Previews

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Netball Round 15 Previews

Postby Plunge Penguin » Thu Aug 02, 2007 6:58 pm

G'day all,

The Unitab odds are out already, so time to jump in for the preview:

ODDS:

AIS $13.00 MELB PHOENIX $1.01
POINTS: 16.5
GAME SCORE: 104.5

ADEL $1.28, MELB KESTRELS $3.40
POINTS 7.5
GAME SCORE: 104.5

HUNTER $2.85, QUEENSLAND FIREBIRDS $1.38
POINTS 5.5
GAME SCORE: 104.5

PERTH $13.00 SYDNEY SWIFTS $1.01
POINTS 16.5
GAME SCORE: 101.5


AIS v MELBOURNE PHOENIX

Melbourne are second flag favorites at $2.60, AIS aren't even on the boards. Enough said. The AIS kids will try hard, but simply aren't in the class of Melbourne, who have far too many big guns to be contained.

TIP: MELBOURNE 23-25

SUGGEST: MELB at -16.5, GAME SCORE under 104.5

ADEL V MELBOURNE KESTRELS

The T-Birds are entering extremely dangerous territory at present, dropping some very winnable games this year to stare at their worst losing record in their history. The week to freshen up after the Test series will certainly help them, but they really need big games up forward from Medhurst and Hughes. I keep thinking the Kestrels look real value in this one, and it will be a lot closer than UNITAB seems to think, but Adel JUST at home.

TIP: Adelaide 1-3

SUGGEST: MELB at +7.5, GAME SCORE under 104.5

HUNTER v QUEENSLAND

Queensland are the only of these two still in finals contention, but the loss to a knee reco of Carla Dziwoki last week is a massive blow to their campaign. It places a huge load on Jo Morgan's shoulders in the goal circle, who will need 45+, I reckon, to get them over the line. Hunter coach Jon Fletcher will be awake to this and try and drag her up the circle; I think the Jaegers can smell the upset here also.

TIP: HUNTER 3-5

SUGGEST: Hunter straight out and at points, GAME SCORE over 104.5

PERTH v SYDNEY

Some Perth fans will think they are a real chance in this, but the opening whistle will end that ambition. Simply, Sydney will be too strong, too classy, too many options, despite going across the country for this one.

TIP: SYDNEY 17-19

Suggest: Sydney at -16.5, GAME SCORE over 101.5


Value multis:

Hunter +5.5/Kestrels +7.5/Phoenix -16.5/Sydney 16.5: $11.71 per $1 unit

Hunter/Adelaide - $3.56 per $1 unit

Hunter/Kestrels - $9.22 per $1 unit

Take all suggested game scores for $11.71 per $1 unit

TIP: Be wary of very short odds on Adelaide; although at home, I had this handicapped at $1.60 ADE, $2.20 MEL. A game to be wary of

Good luck, all!
Plunge Penguin
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Re: Netball Round 15 Previews

Postby Plunge Penguin » Sat Aug 04, 2007 9:47 am

Plunge Penguin wrote:G'day all,

The Unitab odds are out already, so time to jump in for the preview:

ODDS:

AIS $13.00 MELB PHOENIX $1.01
POINTS: 16.5
GAME SCORE: 104.5

ADEL $1.28, MELB KESTRELS $3.40
POINTS 7.5
GAME SCORE: 104.5

HUNTER $2.85, QUEENSLAND FIREBIRDS $1.38
POINTS 5.5
GAME SCORE: 104.5

PERTH $13.00 SYDNEY SWIFTS $1.01
POINTS 16.5
GAME SCORE: 101.5


AIS v MELBOURNE PHOENIX

Melbourne are second flag favorites at $2.60, AIS aren't even on the boards. Enough said. The AIS kids will try hard, but simply aren't in the class of Melbourne, who have far too many big guns to be contained.

TIP: MELBOURNE 23-25

SUGGEST: MELB at -16.5, GAME SCORE under 104.5

Melbourne win by 10 :? but game score easily won: total of 88! :D

ADEL V MELBOURNE KESTRELS

The T-Birds are entering extremely dangerous territory at present, dropping some very winnable games this year to stare at their worst losing record in their history. The week to freshen up after the Test series will certainly help them, but they really need big games up forward from Medhurst and Hughes. I keep thinking the Kestrels look real value in this one, and it will be a lot closer than UNITAB seems to think, but Adel JUST at home.

TIP: Adelaide 1-3

SUGGEST: MELB at +7.5, GAME SCORE under 104.5

Adelaide win by 12 :? High scoring game too - 110 total :?

HUNTER v QUEENSLAND

Queensland are the only of these two still in finals contention, but the loss to a knee reco of Carla Dziwoki last week is a massive blow to their campaign. It places a huge load on Jo Morgan's shoulders in the goal circle, who will need 45+, I reckon, to get them over the line. Hunter coach Jon Fletcher will be awake to this and try and drag her up the circle; I think the Jaegers can smell the upset here also.

TIP: HUNTER 3-5

SUGGEST: Hunter straight out and at points, GAME SCORE over 104.5

QLD win by 3, so Hunter at points correct :D , game score however 101 :?

PERTH v SYDNEY

Some Perth fans will think they are a real chance in this, but the opening whistle will end that ambition. Simply, Sydney will be too strong, too classy, too many options, despite going across the country for this one.

TIP: SYDNEY 17-19

Suggest: Sydney at -16.5, GAME SCORE over 101.5

Sydney win by 24, points in easily, game score only 98 :?

Value multis:

Hunter +5.5/Kestrels +7.5/Phoenix -16.5/Sydney 16.5: $11.71 per $1 unit

Hunter/Adelaide - $3.56 per $1 unit

Hunter/Kestrels - $9.22 per $1 unit

Take all suggested game scores for $11.71 per $1 unit

TIP: Be wary of very short odds on Adelaide; although at home, I had this handicapped at $1.60 ADE, $2.20 MEL. A game to be wary of

Good luck, all!



Not the greatest weekend again, however, some wins in there with Sydney at points, Hunter at points.

Will be backing up next week, but not sure if will do full length previews, doesn't seem a lot of interest.
Plunge Penguin
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Posts: 330
Joined: Sun Nov 19, 2006 9:37 pm
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Been liked: 0 time


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