AFL/SANFL RD 21 DISCUSSION

[mal]

MALODDS only to be used as a guide an for discussion purposes


SK $1-90
WC $1-90

CA $2-90
KA $1-38

FR $1-20
ML $4-00

CO $2-10
SS $1-70

AC $1-40
BL $2-80

WB $2-80
HW $1-40

GE $1-28
PP $3-50

ES $1-25
RI $3-50

SANFL

NA
GL

WA
EG

PA
NW

CD
ST

I think EG will beat WA

[bayman]

I think EG will beat WA

mal you are always putting your head on the chopping block by predicting 50/50 games

[Wedgie]

I think Sydney will be a lot shorter.

[Punk Rooster]

MY thoughts for this week:

WCE $2.05
STK $1.75

CA $2.90
KA $1.38

FRE $1.28
MEL $3.50

CO $2.10
SS $1.70

ADE $1.85
BL $1.95

WB $2.50
HAW $1.60

GE $1.25
PP $3.75

ESS $1.65
RICH $2.40

[Punk Rooster]

http://www.sportsbet.com.au have put up their prices- i'm seeing 3 gifts....

PAM $2.30
NWD $1.60

WA $5.00
WWT $1.16

NA $1.45
GL $2.75

CD $1.62
ST $2.25

[Punk Rooster]

I have backed-

PAM's 2 units @ $2.30
PAM/WWT/CD 1 unit @ $4.32

[Punk Rooster]

Code: Select all

PR-bet               Mal-bet          Unitab
WCE $2.05            $1.90             $1.62
STK $1.75            $1.90             $2.15

CA $2.90             $2.90             $4.75
KA $1.38             $1.38             $1.15

FRE $1.28            $1.20             $1.15
MEL $3.50            $4.00             $4.75

CO $2.10             $2.10             $2.30
SS $1.70             $1.70             $1.55

AD $1.85             $1.40             $1.42
BL $1.95             $2.80             $2.65

WB $2.50             $2.80             $2.60
HAW $1.60            $1.40             $1.38

GE $1.25             $1.28             $1.22
PP $3.75             $3.50             $3.80

ESS $1.65            $1.25             $1.33           
RICH $2.40           $3.50             $3.00

[Dutchy]

Saints are value, should be a dead set pick 'em game, you would be crazy to take essendon that short, Richmond might be worth a crack ATS, and looks like Ill get a nice 28+ points in for my Carlton DOOM bet, Geelong ATS are good things but apart from that I cant see much else

[Booney]

$2.80 for BL over AC,I'll have some of that mal.

*note-giving or taking of odds on this site is purely hypothetical*

[Punk Rooster]

Saints are value, should be a dead set pick 'em game, you would be crazy to take essendon that short, Richmond might be worth a crack ATS, and looks like Ill get a nice 28+ points in for my Carlton DOOM bet, Geelong ATS are good things but apart from that I cant see much else

Kangaroos own Carlton (4-1)- Carlton's last win against them was at Optus Oval, 2004. Kangaroos have won last 3 at TD (+ 1 @ GC)

St Kilda 7 WCE have split the last 2 games at TD, WCE having a 3-2 advantage over St Kilda- 2 of those wins @ Subiaco, but the Saints beat them earlier in the year at Subi.

Geelong own Port (4-1). Port last beat them @ AAMI, in the 2004 Qualifying final. I expect Geelong to cover the 40+ here, although we probably need $2.20 or better?

[Punk Rooster]

$2.80 for BL over AC,I'll have some of that mal.

*note-giving or taking of odds on this site is purely hypothetical*

you can legally take the $2.65 off of Unitab.
BL have won 3 of the last 5, 2 of those were at AAMI, whereas the Crows have won their 2 at the Gabba...

Boonster,
Mal (& now myself) put our markets up for discussion purposes only, & to offer punters a guide as to what they should be looking for off of our licensed betting outlets.

[Booney]

,
Mal (& now myself) put our markets up for discussion purposes only, & to offer punters a guide as to what they should be looking for off of our licensed betting outlets.

I know,just a small dig.

[mal]

Gee I like the odds on CA
KA are showing some signs of weariness after a very very good season
CA at the points appears a good bet, and the DUTCHYDOOM bet of the week

Last time on the Gold Coast

KA....4-5...8-10....15-14...22-15
CA....5-4...12-6....14-9....20-10

Have to agree with the other 7 games

SK/BL/RI will be catching the attention of the guru PUNK ROOSTER

[Punk Rooster]

Gee I like the odds on CA
KA are showing some signs of weariness after a very very good season
CA at the points appears a good bet, and the DUTCHYDOOM bet of the week

Last time on the Gold Coast

KA....4-5...8-10....15-14...22-15
CA....5-4...12-6....14-9....20-10

You can get $5 (Ca) on GIFT-BET

[jackpot jim]

Power 1st to 25 pts @ $3.35 against Geelong are amazing odds.
Just put a Grand on them and will put more on later if i have a good week on the punt.
Geelong are $1.28.

Thought it would be more like $1.55 - $2.50.

[mal]

Power 1st to 25 pts @ $3.35 against Geelong are amazing odds.
Just put a Grand on them and will put more on later if i have a good week on the punt.
Geelong are $1.28.

Thought it would be more like $1.55 - $2.50.

An extremely good calculated bet JJ
At cat park if theres a breeze and your boys have it ....

[mighty_tiger_79]

Power 1st to 25 pts @ $3.35 against Geelong are amazing odds.
Just put a Grand on them and will put more on later if i have a good week on the punt.
Geelong are $1.28.

Thought it would be more like $1.55 - $2.50.

just keep sticking to JACKPOTS!!!!!!!!!

that is a shocking bet!!!!!!!!

the last time these 2 teams played it took the power 3 1/4's to get to 25 points!!!!!!!!!!!!

[Dutchy]

dont know if the Roos are tiring Mal, they just scored 91 points against the best team in the comp, the last time someone scored more than that against them was When the Roos scored 118 in Round 5!!!

[jackpot jim]

Power 1st to 25 pts @ $3.35 against Geelong are amazing odds.
Just put a Grand on them and will put more on later if i have a good week on the punt.
Geelong are $1.28.

Thought it would be more like $1.55 - $2.50.

just keep sticking to JACKPOTS!!!!!!!!!

that is a shocking bet!!!!!!!!

the last time these 2 teams played it took the power 3 1/4's to get to 25 points!!!!!!!!!!!!

Too many punters base their bets on history and they're usually the ones that go broke the quickest. Last weeks, last months , last years results have no bearing on this weeks result. Going on Current Form, the prices for the 1st team to 25 pts,( factoring in the possibilities of a strong wind advantage etc.) are Far too Far apart.Good Punting is all about Spotting VALUE and in MY mind, $3.35 is Value. It doesn,t meen that i'm going to win the Bet, But overall i thing i would come out in Front if this match was played 20 times over and coming out in FRONT overall is what it is all about.
MT79, if you think mine is a Shocking Bet then i Trust you will Be Loading up on Geelong @ $1.28.

[Punk Rooster]

Power 1st to 25 pts @ $3.35 against Geelong are amazing odds.
Just put a Grand on them and will put more on later if i have a good week on the punt.
Geelong are $1.28.

Thought it would be more like $1.55 - $2.50.

just keep sticking to JACKPOTS!!!!!!!!!

that is a shocking bet!!!!!!!!

the last time these 2 teams played it took the power 3 1/4's to get to 25 points!!!!!!!!!!!!

Too many punters base their bets on history and they're usually the ones that go broke the quickest. Last weeks, last months , last years results have no bearing on this weeks result. Going on Current Form, the prices for the 1st team to 25 pts,( factoring in the possibilities of a strong wind advantage etc.) are Far too Far apart.Good Punting is all about Spotting VALUE and in MY mind, $3.35 is Value. It doesn,t meen that i'm going to win the Bet, But overall i thing i would come out in Front if this match was played 20 times over and coming out in FRONT overall is what it is all about.
MT79, if you think mine is a Shocking Bet then i Trust you will Be Loading up on Geelong @ $1.28.

JJ- Imo, I think you have more chance collecting on Port 1st to 25, than Port beating Geelong