Federal Election Predictions

[am Bays]

Interesting times ahead.

Agreed...

[Sojourner]

Huge result for the Greens tonight, think that Labor can look forward to having to offer the Greens members that win lower house seats as has been the case in Melbourne tonight the prime selection of the Cabinet Minister positions for a few elections yet if they want to form government, the Greens are only going to get stronger on the back of this result and whiteant Labor more at the same time. Labor created the Greens with their preferencing, interesting to see who will be the more powerful politician in the new government, Julia Gillard or Bob Brown!

[fisho mcspaz]

Huge result for the Greens tonight, think that Labor can look forward to having to offer the Greens members that win lower house seats as has been the case in Melbourne tonight the prime selection of the Cabinet Minister positions for a few elections yet if they want to form government, the Greens are only going to get stronger on the back of this result and whiteant Labor more at the same time. Labor created the Greens with their preferencing, interesting to see who will be the more powerful politician in the new government, Julia Gillard or Bob Brown!

I am very, VERY happy about this...

[Thiele]

Question how can the different channels on tv have seats labour for labour and Liberal

[RustyCage]

Huge result for the Greens tonight, think that Labor can look forward to having to offer the Greens members that win lower house seats as has been the case in Melbourne tonight the prime selection of the Cabinet Minister positions for a few elections yet if they want to form government, the Greens are only going to get stronger on the back of this result and whiteant Labor more at the same time. Labor created the Greens with their preferencing, interesting to see who will be the more powerful politician in the new government, Julia Gillard or Bob Brown!

I am very, VERY happy about this...

Only a matter of time before they go the way of the Democrats

[Sojourner]

The Democrats never won a seat unlike the Greens - Who are Labor going to preference if they dont preference the Greens? The likelihood of a third party that is actually centrist getting enough votes to get popular to combat the Greens is fairly unlikely in the short to medium term!

What I think is likely is more seats falling to the Greens with Labors own preferences at the next election now that its happened once already. If Labor continue preferencing the Greens I do think its the sign of things to come.

Will be very interesting to see what issues the Greens take on first!

[CK]

End of night counting indicates Boothby will really go the wire. Andrew Southcott 44.85%, Annabel Digance 36.39%, with 12.83 to Green candidate Fiona Blinco. If this ran roughly 70/30 after distributions from Greens, that would lean to Liberal, but traditionally its a little higher than that. Will be an interesting night ahead there.

[am Bays]

End of night counting indicates Boothby will really go the wire. Andrew Southcott 44.85%, Annabel Digance 36.39%, with 12.83 to Green candidate Fiona Blinco. If this ran roughly 70/30 after distributions from Greens, that would lean to Liberal, but traditionally its a little higher than that. Will be an interesting night ahead there.

Family first will be conted before the Greens and they'll favour Southcott

Also looks like we'll have an indiginous MP in the lower house and we'll have the youngest ever in the house in Wyatt Roy. With respect to the Women's, youth and Indigenous vote, the Labor party talks about it the Liberal party does something about it i.e. getting those groups into parliament.

[The Apostle]

A HUNG PARLIAMENT!!!

[dedja]

I feel the urge to post a picture of a horse but fear a life ban will come my way if I do ...

[CK]

End of night counting indicates Boothby will really go the wire. Andrew Southcott 44.85%, Annabel Digance 36.39%, with 12.83 to Green candidate Fiona Blinco. If this ran roughly 70/30 after distributions from Greens, that would lean to Liberal, but traditionally its a little higher than that. Will be an interesting night ahead there.

Family first will be conted before the Greens and they'll favour Southcott

Also looks like we'll have an indiginous MP in the lower house and we'll have the youngest ever in the house in Wyatt Roy. With respect to the Women's, youth and Indigenous vote, the Labor party talks about it the Liberal party does something about it i.e. getting those groups into parliament.

True, may depend on which way former Channel 9 journalist Ray McGhee's preferences goes. His vote has fallen just over 3%, but still at 1.86% (Family First at 2.42%)

[dedja]

There is a silver lining ... Ironbar Tuckey may be history.

[Squawk]

I feel the urge to post a picture of a horse but fear a life ban will come my way if I do ...

Its been many years since a horse was in Parliament Dedja so I reckon its appropriate as a special once off. (And I mean a real horse, not a picture of J-Lo-S )

[dedja]

I feel the urge to post a picture of a horse but fear a life ban will come my way if I do ...

Its been many years since a horse was in Parliament Dedja so I reckon its appropriate as a special once off. (And I mean a real horse, not a picture of J-Lo-S )

Sorry, the best I could do is this ...

[Squawk]

End of night counting indicates Boothby will really go the wire. Andrew Southcott 44.85%, Annabel Digance 36.39%, with 12.83 to Green candidate Fiona Blinco. If this ran roughly 70/30 after distributions from Greens, that would lean to Liberal, but traditionally its a little higher than that. Will be an interesting night ahead there.

Digance is HOPELESS. Even more than Southcott is. Last Wednesday night she and the 8 other Bootby candidates fronted a community meeting and she was such a beginner she was greener than the Greens candidate. Could not answer questions about the electorate. Just tried to stick to the one-liners fed to her at the Labor party lock up for spin. It really showed. Southcott has managed to secure a lot more election committments for Boothby than Digance has.

[dedja]

Mate, stop complaining, I have to put up with Poodle for another 3 years ...

[The Apostle]

I feel the urge to post a picture of a horse but fear a life ban will come my way if I do ...

You'll only get a 2 week ban...finishes just in time so you can get on here and gloat over the fact that Glenelg finished on top spot...keep dreaming buddy!

[Pseudo]

I'd be nearly prepared to call this as a minority ALP government. Massive result in Denison, if that keeps rolling to early predictions, may hold a major role in proceedings. Would suspect Boothby sneaks home to Liberal on around 50.5% with preferences. Great result for Greens, as a party, in Melbourne also. They have managed to achieve one thing the Australian Democrats never managed - a Lower House seat..

Yeah, but the Democrats managed to achieve something of their own before the Greens: field a convicted kiddy fiddler as a candidate...

[The Apostle]

[redandblack]

I still think the most likely result is an Abbott government.

But one with a swag ofd wafer-thin marginal seats and a maximum vote in NSW and Qld.