Federal Election Predictions

[Sojourner]

ABC computer predicting a hung parliament!

[dedja]

I'm with you now am Bays ... hung like a a horse.

[am Bays]

I'm with you now am Bays ... hung like a a horse.

I know how that horse feels.....

[Dirko]

Labor minority government.

3 years of Gillard. God help us.....

[Squawk]

I was sure that Thiele would have a live scores thread running in here - after all, we only get federal elections every 3 years and state elections every four years!

[dedja]

Labor minority government.

3 years of Gillard. God help us.....

They will, with the cash for some lights ...

[Brucetiki]

I was sure that Thiele would have a live scores thread running in here - after all, we only get federal elections every 3 years and state elections every four years!

This is the closest you're going to get

Currently:

Labor 68
Coalition 68
Others 5

In Doubt 9

[dedja]

... and Maxine McKew out in straight sets in Bennelong by JA.

[redandblack]

I think it's looking like a 1 or 2 seat Liberal win or a hung parliament.
Labor with about 51% of the vote?

[am Bays]

I think it's looking like a 1 or 2 seat Liberal win or a hung parliament.
Labor with about 51% of the vote?

Thought I saw a 50.3 % TPP to the coalition on the ABC R&B?

TBH R&B this is a result beyond my expectations - still Labor will be able to form a govt with the support of Wilkie and the Greens.

From teh right side of politics a big thank you to Mark Arbib

[dedja]

Could end up being 73 Labor with Green and Wilkie, and 72 LNP with 3 conservative independents.

That's as well hung as you can get.

Also, the Greens will definitely hold the balance of power in the Senate.

Interesting times ahead!

[redandblack]

The AEC site has Labor at 50.9% with 70% counted, aB.

It's a long way in front of the ABC computer.

[CK]

I'd be nearly prepared to call this as a minority ALP government. Massive result in Denison, if that keeps rolling to early predictions, may hold a major role in proceedings. Would suspect Boothby sneaks home to Liberal on around 50.5% with preferences. Great result for Greens, as a party, in Melbourne also. They have managed to achieve one thing the Australian Democrats never managed - a Lower House seat.

Overall, the night is a huge result for the Greens. This may, genuinely, herald the beginning of a very legitimate third party option in the Lower House. Some of their vote tallies across SA, where their primary vote keeps improving, are very good. To pick up close to 17.3% in Mayo - a 6% swing so far - makes this a real seat to watch within two more elections.

[dedja]

How so CK? ... Labor would need 74 seats in their own right.

[am Bays]

One thing for sure with seats like Lindsay, Corongomite, Hasluck and Greenway being too close to call this election minority or not will be known until Wednesday or Thursday.

Sh!te load of postals and pre-polls to count yet.

[dedja]

2.8% swing to the Poodle ... and now we have to put up with his gloating on ABC.

FFS fellow people in Sturt, WHAT THE @%#& WERE YOU THINKING???

[RustyCage]

each tv station has a different amount of seats won

[fisho mcspaz]

Fantastic result in regards to the Greens!

[dedja]

even more ridiculous is that the new Senate doesn't start until July 1 FFS ...

[redandblack]

It may well be that the LNP win all the doubtful seats by a whisker and govern with less than 50% of the vote.

Labor can blame its own supporters who voted informal perhaps, as well
as a toxic NSW and Qld State Government.

Interesting times ahead.