by Armchair expert » Sat May 18, 2019 9:10 pm
by Booney » Sat May 18, 2019 9:14 pm
Q. wrote:LNP was at $11 today. Have now wound in to $2.80
by Q. » Sat May 18, 2019 9:16 pm
Booney wrote:Q. wrote:LNP was at $11 today. Have now wound in to $2.80
LNP $1.18
ALP $4.50
by Q. » Sat May 18, 2019 9:17 pm
by Jimmy_041 » Sat May 18, 2019 9:19 pm
Q. wrote:Boothby looking interesting. +2.9% swing to ALP and was held by LNP at 2.7%
by Q. » Sat May 18, 2019 9:22 pm
Jimmy_041 wrote:Q. wrote:Boothby looking interesting. +2.9% swing to ALP and was held by LNP at 2.7%
Just turned towards Flint
by Jimmy_041 » Sat May 18, 2019 9:25 pm
Q. wrote:Jimmy_041 wrote:Q. wrote:Boothby looking interesting. +2.9% swing to ALP and was held by LNP at 2.7%
Just turned towards Flint
Now +3.2% swing the ALP?
by Jimmy_041 » Sat May 18, 2019 9:27 pm
by Q. » Sat May 18, 2019 9:47 pm
Jimmy_041 wrote:I think we can agree on one thing: **** the polls
by Jimmy_041 » Sat May 18, 2019 10:13 pm
by Jimmy_041 » Sun May 19, 2019 12:06 am
by nuggety goodness » Sun May 19, 2019 12:37 am
by mighty_tiger_79 » Sun May 19, 2019 12:38 am
by mighty_tiger_79 » Sun May 19, 2019 7:14 am
by Grenville » Sun May 19, 2019 7:40 am
Grenville wrote:It would take a fu*k up of Hillary proportions for Labor to lose the next Federal election. Labor have one of the few people in Australian political history that could make that a reality currently in charge.
by Jimmy_041 » Sun May 19, 2019 9:06 am
by bennymacca » Sun May 19, 2019 10:52 am
by Gozu » Sun May 19, 2019 1:12 pm
bennymacca wrote:Franking credit changes are pretty sensible and pretty minor
My question is why even bring them up at all? Why not just wait till your in power to make a change like that?
Negative gearing was probably the only major policy they had and it's easy to be attacked on that
by Q. » Sun May 19, 2019 1:17 pm
You need a great salesman to run a big item agenda like Labor's.Gozu wrote:bennymacca wrote:Franking credit changes are pretty sensible and pretty minor
My question is why even bring them up at all? Why not just wait till your in power to make a change like that?
Negative gearing was probably the only major policy they had and it's easy to be attacked on that
In hindsight, Labor's internal polling is known as the best in the business and by the looks of things they knew they were going to lose from the start hence appealing to their base/attacking the Libs base. It makes a bit of sense now in hindsight putting such a big target on your back like that if you know you need to go for broke.
One thing that puzzled me early in the campaign was Shorten following Morrison around everywhere they were campaigning in the exact same area in Tassie at one point and I thought that was weird as all the polls & betting markets had Labor romping it in. The ALP obviously knew and were on the defensive from the get go.
Last night I turned the TV on around 10pm expecting Labor to already have it in the bag by then to see the LNP on 74 seats to Labor's 66, my jaw hit the floor I've never been as shocked as this at an election result. The pollsters may never regain their credibility I mean betting agencies were already paying out on a Labor win on Friday. One guy bet $1 million on Labor, staggering stuff.
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