peoples thoughts on mr thomson?????

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Re: peoples thoughts on mr thomson?????

Postby Grahaml » Thu Jan 31, 2013 1:49 pm

Gozu wrote:Very interesting.

Someone correct me if I'm wrong but I heard some analysis yesterday of the PM's decision to call the election so early meant no matter how much of a stink Abbott kicks up over an MP's seat it meant they were locked in now regardless? Not sure if that is right and plus I think Labor can afford to lose a seat or two and still remain in govt.

Either way Thomson is expected to be charged with 150 counts of fraud, not sure you can run with the defence the police have made 150 mistakes there :lol:


Fairly certain that it's actually not official until parliament is dissolved.
Last edited by Grahaml on Thu Jan 31, 2013 2:06 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: peoples thoughts on mr thomson?????

Postby dedja » Thu Jan 31, 2013 1:59 pm

Correct ...
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Re: peoples thoughts on mr thomson?????

Postby Grahaml » Thu Jan 31, 2013 2:06 pm

However, it might mean that it's not entirely practical for Tony Abbott to force an earlier election. It does seem odd timing with the Craig Thompson issue appearing again, but if Gillard knew, announcing the date the day before he got marched to the cop shop has given Tony Abbott a free kick in front of goal 25 seconds in.

Not at all surprised though that he's been charged. It looked the whole time that it was simply too difficult for the parties involved to keep such a story going without there being something in it and the report that came out couldn't have been full of lies. Makes you look back at that speech and wonder whether he was actually emotional because he'd been caught out and was desperate.

Looking at the last election and how close that was, I think Labor will struggle to hold Dobell after this. They had a 5% margin but the people in that electorate must be seething. Fisher is a safe Liberal seat and Slipper won't get the Liberal preselection for that so out of the current parliament, that's two seats likely lost. Andrew Wilkie should hold Denison and won't side with Labor again. Katter is Liberal leaning, but might lose a lot of votes with his new party, most will go to the LNP. If he loses it, that seat will stay with the coalition. Oakeshott and Windsor are wildly popular in their seats, but the people there are conservative voting. They might not like the fact their vote kept Labor in power for 3 years and we could well see big swings to the coalition there. Probably not enough to take either seat, but independants can lose 25% very swiftly. So IMHO, if the rest of the country stays the same, Labor still lose 2 seats and won't gain any of the others while Liberal might get 1 or more of the mainland independants. Puts Labor in the position of needing to win other seats somewhere when it looks more like they'll lose a bunch.
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Re: peoples thoughts on mr thomson?????

Postby Sojourner » Thu Jan 31, 2013 3:39 pm

Tony Abbott will not want a by election in Dobell as his first choice, he would much rather various commentators discuss how the ALP paid out Thomson's debts and have picked up the tab for all his legal fees to keep him in government and have supported him whilst being aware of what the charges were likely to be and what the evidence was. Gillard has personally supported and defended him sevaral times over and again that will be discussed at length in the media. The slur alone will cost the ALP a number of seats, let alone the media content.

If the ALP have any wish to not be absolutley belted in the election as they were in NSW and QLD they will stage a sudden comeback by Kevin Rudd and go to a poll ASAP, they willl still lose, but will likely at least stem their losses somewhat.
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Re: peoples thoughts on mr thomson?????

Postby Jimmy_041 » Thu Jan 31, 2013 4:13 pm

Grahaml wrote:
Gozu wrote:Very interesting.

Someone correct me if I'm wrong but I heard some analysis yesterday of the PM's decision to call the election so early meant no matter how much of a stink Abbott kicks up over an MP's seat it meant they were locked in now regardless? Not sure if that is right and plus I think Labor can afford to lose a seat or two and still remain in govt.

Either way Thomson is expected to be charged with 150 counts of fraud, not sure you can run with the defence the police have made 150 mistakes there :lol:


Fairly certain that it's actually not official until parliament is dissolved.


I think it only becomes official when someone drives to the big house with a petition 30 days before the date
She could be playing games and do it tomorrow.
That would be hectic :lol:
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Re: peoples thoughts on mr thomson?????

Postby Sky Pilot » Thu Jan 31, 2013 7:21 pm

Craig should have sorted all this crap out on Oprah
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Re: peoples thoughts on mr thomson?????

Postby The Sleeping Giant » Thu Jan 31, 2013 8:04 pm

He's screwed.
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Re: peoples thoughts on mr thomson?????

Postby dedja » Thu Jan 31, 2013 8:06 pm

Well, that's what got him into trouble in the first place ...
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Re: peoples thoughts on mr thomson?????

Postby am Bays » Thu Jan 31, 2013 9:58 pm

Wasn't Oakshot reported on radio yesterday considering if he'll stand again for his seat? If true, maybe a sign that the most important thing to a politician (the numbers) are stacked against him in his electorate.
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Re: peoples thoughts on mr thomson?????

Postby southee » Thu Jan 31, 2013 10:24 pm

Gozu wrote:southee you and the other one should let the police do their job, they're investigating to see IF there is anything to warrant charging the guy.


I think they have just found 150 reasons why Gozu ;)
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Re: peoples thoughts on mr thomson?????

Postby dedja » Thu Jan 31, 2013 10:25 pm

Don't exaggerate, its only 149 ...
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Re: peoples thoughts on mr thomson?????

Postby southee » Fri Feb 01, 2013 12:03 am

dedja wrote:Don't exaggerate, its only 149 ...


My mistake :oops:
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Re: peoples thoughts on mr thomson?????

Postby dedja » Fri Feb 01, 2013 12:08 am

Thomson's lawyer is squealing that his client was allegedly strip searched during his arrest ... perhaps they were looking for lost ping pong balls?
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Re: peoples thoughts on mr thomson?????

Postby mal » Fri Feb 01, 2013 7:30 am

Caught hooker lyin sinner
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Re: peoples thoughts on mr thomson?????

Postby mighty_tiger_79 » Fri Feb 01, 2013 8:20 pm

he is innocent and id be watching out for all his court cases he will start on defamation after this has been sorted
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Re: peoples thoughts on mr thomson?????

Postby dedja » Fri Feb 01, 2013 8:28 pm

Has already threatened to sue Barry O'Farrell for defamation if he doesn't apologise for today's comments ...
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Re: peoples thoughts on mr thomson?????

Postby Bully » Thu Feb 07, 2013 2:16 pm

his wife looks good ;) or was that his daughter or hooker with him in a picture yesterday (the black haried woman)
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Re: peoples thoughts on mr thomson?????

Postby Sky Pilot » Thu Feb 07, 2013 3:00 pm

Bully wrote:his wife looks good ;) or was that his daughter or hooker with him in a picture yesterday (the black haried woman)

That was his missus. Good how she has stuck by him , that's a good quality. I think the law is going to find it hard to nail him on all these charges. Maybe they have witnesses secreted away
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Re: peoples thoughts on mr thomson?????

Postby Dutchy » Thu Feb 07, 2013 9:51 pm

How will they find it hard? How can he explain all those transactions on HIS credit card?
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Re: peoples thoughts on mr thomson?????

Postby dedja » Thu Feb 07, 2013 9:53 pm

Believe me, Mr Thomson is innocent ...

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