SA Footy

Yes what was the "event" we had on the 28th December then?

Alaska wrote:Yes what was the "event" we had on the 28th December then?

Proclamation Day?

valleys07 wrote:A once-in-ten year summer storm is set to hit Adelaide overnight, with the following severe weather warning issued:

http://www.bom.gov.au/catalogue/warning ... w-sa.shtml

Interesting use of "once-in-ten year" given our recent track record!!

Once-in-10-years? Pfft...survived two once-in-50-year storms last year.

Basic statistics ladies and gentlemen.

On average the severity of storm comes through once in x years.

That doesnt mean if you have said storm you wont get another one for a while!


Now for some not so basic statistics

It would be modelled using a Poisson Distribution (im pretty sure at least)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Poisson_distribution

That Poisson Distribution thing looks pretty fishy.

It's just the leftovers of a tropical system that's done a hot lap around the top end and crossed over around Broome. We get 2-3 of these storms every Summer!

LaughingKookaburra wrote:It's just the leftovers of a tropical system that's done a hot lap around the top end and crossed over around Broome. We get 2-3 of these storms every Summer!

Exactly…. I think the BoM have let the power of the media go to their head, everything is now sensationalised.

RB wrote:That Poisson Distribution thing looks pretty fishy.

I echo those sentiments.

Alaska wrote:

LaughingKookaburra wrote:It's just the leftovers of a tropical system that's done a hot lap around the top end and crossed over around Broome. We get 2-3 of these storms every Summer!

Exactly…. I think the BoM have let the power of the media go to their head, everything is now sensationalised.

"Significant weather event" makes it easier to explain why all our lights and fridges turned off.

RB wrote:Poisson Distribution

Will this help me find out when their new album is going to come out?

Magellan wrote:

RB wrote:Poisson Distribution

Will this help me find out when their new album is going to come out?

I've already got it, you listen to it and you'll have nothin' but a good time.

Booney wrote:

Magellan wrote:

RB wrote:Poisson Distribution

Will this help me find out when their new album is going to come out?

I've already got it, you listen to it and you'll have nothin' but a good time.

I dunno, there's always good and bad tracks on their records. I guess every rose has it's thorn.

Magellan wrote:

Booney wrote:

Magellan wrote:

RB wrote:Poisson Distribution

Will this help me find out when their new album is going to come out?

I've already got it, you listen to it and you'll have nothin' but a good time.

I dunno, there's always good and bad tracks on their records. I guess every rose has it's thorn.

Up North people go troppo in rain like this and the unskinny ones bob around naked at night on the back lawn, or so the story goes.

am Bays wrote:Up North people go troppo in rain like this and the unskinny ones bob around naked at night on the back lawn, or so the story goes.

I guess the neighbors might be inclined to open up the windows, look over the fence and say...ahhh!

Shit I missed the Poison romp. You Motley Crue of posters...

MatteeG wrote:Shit I missed the Poison romp. You Motley Crue of posters...

Smokin' in the boys' room instead?

am Bays wrote:
Up North people go troppo in rain like this and the unskinny ones bob around naked at night on the back lawn, or so the story goes.

Not always the case, my mumma don't dance.

A bit of precipitation on the way.

Rain radar has some nice dark bits.

Pretty strong winds here in the western suburbs.

Thunder, lightning and rain here now