Jim05 wrote:Care to summarise Q?
I’m in a meeting and getting dirty looks fo reading my phone
It models the application of social distancing (SD) measures, ie. if, we were 70% compliant (not good) with SD versus 90% compliant (good).
It tracks it over a 13 week period, then tracks transmission if SD is lifted at the end of 13 weeks (not good in any scenario).
Look, the massive weakness in the report is that it is relying on international data to make predictions on what is currently happening in Australia. Australia is definitely tracking very differently to northern hemisphere OECD countries, even more so if you break it down state by state. For instance, what happens to SA if we maintain 90% SD, widen testing criteria, maintain strict contact tracing & isolation for positives, and for the final four weeks of a 13 week period we have zero new cases? Could we loosen some of the SD measures within the State?