Jockey Challenge

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Re: Jockey Challenge

Postby another grub » Wed Feb 09, 2011 4:56 pm

WestIndiesWonder24 wrote:
another grub wrote:Nolen gets me in the last :roll:

Did Nolen's Ride win?

Yes
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Re: Jockey Challenge

Postby another grub » Wed Feb 09, 2011 5:01 pm

Lindop GONZO WIW. Price home, Nielson only one who can tie Price in the last.
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Re: Jockey Challenge

Postby WestIndiesWonder24 » Wed Feb 09, 2011 5:01 pm

another grub wrote:Lindop GONZO WIW. Price home

DANG
Oh well......
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Re: Jockey Challenge

Postby another grub » Thu Feb 10, 2011 9:14 am

Port Lincoln

J Potter - 6 rides. 2 short priced favs (certain points), 2 E/W, 2 prepeaired to risk.
Kerford - 7 rides. 2 certain points rides , 2 E/W, 3 risk. as above.
Price - 7 rides. Could surprise, 3 E/W chances
Roff - 6 rides. 2 E/W
Westover - 5 rides. I like 1 of his rides and a couple of others can be placed.
Patterson - 6 rides. 1 good scoring ride.
Nielson 4 rides - 2 scoring chances BUT good chance to pick up a couple of rides.

M Hoppo is not riding after yesterdays fall. I will do the ring around and see who the replacements are. As his rides in race 4,5,8 are all good E/W chances.

AOJ chances

Baker 4 rides - 2 place chances
Cahill 3 rdies - 2 place chances
Dyson 5 rides - Nothing expected.
Hopwood 3 rides - 2 places
Neve 4 rides - 1 place
Stojakovic 4 rides - like her ride in the first but nothing after that.
Tourneur 3 rides- 2 place chances
Zanker 4 rides - nothing expected.


MY ODDS

J Potter $3
W Kerford $3
Price $5
Roff $6
Westover $10
Patterson $16
Nielson $31
AOJ $5.50

This market is about 140%

Keeping AOJ safe at the minute as M Hoppo's 6 rides are 'not notified'. If Nielson was to get those 2 good rides he would be into single figures just about.
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Re: Jockey Challenge

Postby WestIndiesWonder24 » Thu Feb 10, 2011 9:46 am

Great Preview Mate
Looking forward to another profitable day!
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Re: Jockey Challenge

Postby another grub » Thu Feb 10, 2011 9:50 am

another grub wrote:Port Lincoln

J Potter - 6 rides. 2 short priced favs (certain points), 2 E/W, 2 prepeaired to risk.
Kerford - 7 rides. 2 certain points rides , 2 E/W, 3 risk. as above.
Price - 7 rides. Could surprise, 3 E/W chances
Roff - 6 rides. 2 E/W
Westover - 5 rides. I like 1 of his rides and a couple of others can be placed.
Patterson - 6 rides. 1 good scoring ride.
Nielson 4 rides - 2 scoring chances BUT good chance to pick up a couple of rides.

M Hoppo is not riding after yesterdays fall. I will do the ring around and see who the replacements are. As his rides in race 4,5,8 are all good E/W chances.

AOJ chances

Baker 4 rides - 2 place chances
Cahill 3 rdies - 2 place chances
Dyson 5 rides - Nothing expected.
Hopwood 3 rides - 2 places
Neve 4 rides - 1 place
Stojakovic 4 rides - like her ride in the first but nothing after that.
Tourneur 3 rides- 2 place chances
Zanker 4 rides - nothing expected.


MY ODDS

J Potter $3
W Kerford $3
Price $5
Roff $6
Westover $10
Patterson $16
Nielson $31
AOJ $5.50

This market is about 140%

Keeping AOJ safe at the minute as M Hoppo's 6 rides are 'not notified'. If Nielson was to get those 2 good rides he would be into single figures just about.


Price picks up the ride on Dashagh and Tourneur gets the best of Hoppo's rides (Miss Belvite). Price now with a full book of rides and has shortened .

J Potter $3.40
W Kerford $3.20
Price $3.60
Roff $6
Westover $10
Patterson $16
Nielson $31 / Tourneur $16 ??????
AOJ $7.50

Tounreur now has 3 scoring rides, they may include him instead of Nielson.
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Re: Jockey Challenge

Postby Big Al » Thu Feb 10, 2011 9:51 am

Nice work AG, have added strike rates Neilsons figures are impressive
Port Lincoln - 11 February 2011 - Strike rates relate to this track onlyJockey Wins Wins S/R Place Place S/R Rides Outs
wins wins s/r place place s/r rides
J Potter 16 5.4 36 2.4 87
M Neilson 10 4.9 28 1.7 49
S Price 9 7.2 28 2.3 65
T Baker 7 8.5 22 2.7 60
P Roff 7 11.5 25 3.2 81
K Bishop (a) 7 6.2 19 2.3 44
D Tourneur 6 8.1 19.5 2.5 49
M Neve (a) 5 11.4 18 3.1 57
S Westover(a) 5 7.8 14 2.7 39
L Hopwood (a) 3 13.3 12 3.3 40
W Kerford 3 12.6 11 3.4 38
S Cahill 2 13 10 2.6 26
L Stojakovic(a) 2 21.5 8 5.3 43
A Patterson 2 22.5 7 6.4 45

didnt post all jockeys but major ones are here from http://www.aapracing.com.au/strike-rate ... ay's/17544
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Re: Jockey Challenge

Postby Big Al » Thu Feb 10, 2011 9:53 am

damm I spaced it out so it was easy to read :roll:
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Re: Jockey Challenge

Postby WestIndiesWonder24 » Thu Feb 10, 2011 9:56 am

As Soon as this market or any JC markets come out today lads could we get em posted!!, Cheers Guys!
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Re: Jockey Challenge

Postby another grub » Thu Feb 10, 2011 10:02 am

If you are thinking of backing Potter I would wait until after race 2. As Price and Kerford will score early and shorten.
The first race with only 4 horses in it holds a lot of importance to the JC I reckon.....and Kerford will be on the fav with Price on an unknown first starter.

Other punts to consider on the day,........In the first I like Lynshee, the Murray Bridge run was good enough to win this.

In race 4 #5 Lyrical Currency is a great E/W bet.

In race 6 E/w #2.

In race 7 expect improvemnet from the M Whittle pair. King Of The Sun and Emooki Street, back both of them to win.

Race 8 #1 should go very close to winning.
Last edited by another grub on Thu Feb 10, 2011 10:03 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Jockey Challenge

Postby brent- » Thu Feb 10, 2011 10:03 am

Kerford Wayne 2.70

232586
Potter Justin 3.40

232587
Price Simon 8.00

232588
Westover Scott 8.00

232589
Roff Peter 9.00

232590Kerford Wayne 2.70

232586
Potter Justin 3.40

232587
Price Simon 8.00

232588
Westover Scott 8.00

232589
Roff Peter 9.00

232590
Neilson Matthew 18.00

232591
Patterson Adrian 26.00

232592
Any Other Indiv Jock (PtL) 7.50
Neilson Matthew 18.00

232591
Patterson Adrian 26.00

232592
Any Other Indiv Jock (PtL) 7.50
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Re: Jockey Challenge

Postby Johno6 » Thu Feb 10, 2011 10:03 am

Port Lincoln

Kerford Wayne 2.70
232586 Potter Justin 3.40
232587 Price Simon 8.00
232588 Westover Scott 8.00
232589 Roff Peter 9.00
232590 Neilson Matthew 18.00
232591 Patterson Adrian 26.00
232592 Any Other Indiv Jock (PtL) 7.50
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Re: Jockey Challenge

Postby brent- » Thu Feb 10, 2011 10:04 am

Price seems the value on your writeup Grub.
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Re: Jockey Challenge

Postby another grub » Thu Feb 10, 2011 10:04 am

$200 win S Price at $8
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Re: Jockey Challenge

Postby Johno6 » Thu Feb 10, 2011 10:05 am

price already into 6.50 on unitab
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Re: Jockey Challenge

Postby Johno6 » Thu Feb 10, 2011 10:06 am

i chucked $30 on him at $6.50

i am in amazement in how close AG is with all of them... great work!!
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Re: Jockey Challenge

Postby brent- » Thu Feb 10, 2011 10:18 am

Damn no TAB online account. Have to wait another 10 mins until somewhere opens.. my online bookmaker doesn't have it up yet either.
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Re: Jockey Challenge

Postby another grub » Thu Feb 10, 2011 10:20 am

$8 was about double the odds, therefore an 'overs bet'. Pretty happy with the $8. Lets get this home!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Kerford Wayne 2.70
232586 Potter Justin 3.40
232587 Price Simon 6.50
232588 Westover Scott 8.00
232589 Roff Peter 9.00
232590 Neilson Matthew 18.00
232591 Patterson Adrian 26.00
232592 Any Other Indiv Jock (PtL) 7.50


Gee $6.50 still represents some value I reckon.
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Re: Jockey Challenge

Postby Johno6 » Thu Feb 10, 2011 10:21 am

i checked my tab account this morning and it said i have $45 in there transferred from my other account

i have absolutely no idea where it came from or how it got there. as i dont have any other accounts.
says i did it last night at 530 but i wasnt even near a pc then also

but im gonna try turn it into more with price today.
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Re: Jockey Challenge

Postby another grub » Thu Feb 10, 2011 10:30 am

Lets go through Prices rides..... I dont think besides Lyrical Currency he has any 'certain' points like a couple of the other jocks but he has lots of 'possabilities'.......

Race 1 - First starter....Little know about this one, hopefully in the 4 horse field he is better than hios stable mate and can get 1 point. I think the 2 raced horses will quinella the race. 4 horse field gives us a chance of points, fingers crossed.

Race 2 - Sullenberger ....wasn't disgraced first-yup and can sneak a place

Race 3 - Mistry - Jumps in class, resumed and was held up when 6th. can run a place.

Race 4 - Lyrical Currency - Im real keen on this each-way.

Race 5 - Dashagh - smart horse when right, a clean getaway and he can run a place.

Race 6 - Kurrajong Whisper - first up for smart stable and ran well first up last time. place chance.

Race 7 - Sea Accountant - hasnt showen anything this prep but will enjoy getting out to this trip.

Race 8 Brimarvi - going to find it tough from the outside gate but casn bob up on occasions when least expected.
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