The run home

Talk on the national game

Re: The run home

Postby JK » Mon Jul 27, 2015 12:07 pm

Didnt worry about margins, and came up with the following. Pretty close to most I would imagine.

Image
FUSC
User avatar
JK
Coach
 
 
Posts: 37387
Joined: Thu Oct 27, 2005 10:11 am
Location: Coopers Hill
Has liked: 4465 times
Been liked: 2992 times
Grassroots Team: SMOSH West Lakes

Re: The run home

Postby Booney » Mon Jul 27, 2015 12:13 pm

Freo
Hawthorn
West Coast
Sydney
Richmond
Bulldogs
North
Giants
PAFC. Forever.

LOOK OUT, WE'RE COMING!
User avatar
Booney
Coach
 
 
Posts: 58507
Joined: Thu Oct 27, 2005 1:47 pm
Location: Alberton proud
Has liked: 7520 times
Been liked: 10822 times

Re: The run home

Postby Rik E Boy » Mon Jul 27, 2015 12:45 pm

Booney wrote:I think so, yes. Freo are on a real slide IMO. They've been average since the Collingwood game a month or so back. Struggling to score.


They will beat North.

regards,

REB
User avatar
Rik E Boy
Coach
 
 
Posts: 28190
Joined: Thu Oct 27, 2005 12:55 pm
Location: The Switch
Has liked: 1699 times
Been liked: 1820 times

Re: The run home

Postby JK » Mon Jul 27, 2015 12:48 pm

I wish the various AFL ladders would stop showing Geelong and Adelaide as having played a game less. We know they have and we understand the reasons why, but the game isn't going to be re-scheduled, so just show them on the same games played as the others.
FUSC
User avatar
JK
Coach
 
 
Posts: 37387
Joined: Thu Oct 27, 2005 10:11 am
Location: Coopers Hill
Has liked: 4465 times
Been liked: 2992 times
Grassroots Team: SMOSH West Lakes

Re: The run home

Postby cracka » Mon Jul 27, 2015 12:54 pm

It will be interesting if both Adelaide & Geelong miss the finals by half a game. One of them would have won the abandoned match.
cracka
Veteran
 
 
Posts: 3700
Joined: Tue Mar 12, 2013 9:41 am
Has liked: 463 times
Been liked: 569 times
Grassroots Team: Onkaparinga Valley

Re: The run home

Postby bennymacca » Mon Jul 27, 2015 12:59 pm

JK wrote:I wish the various AFL ladders would stop showing Geelong and Adelaide as having played a game less. We know they have and we understand the reasons why, but the game isn't going to be re-scheduled, so just show them on the same games played as the others.


It doesnt really matter either way really. But yeah i agree.

I have the crows missing by half a game, which will be pretty stiff - not too many sides get 12.5 wins and miss the finals.

I went back and looked at the ladder, and since 1996, only 3 times has a team on 12 wins missed the finals, and never has a team on more than 48 points missed. In fact there were two or three years where a team on 10 wins has made the top eight.

Crows need to win two of the games against Sydney (A), Richmond (H), West Coast (H), Geelong (A) to make it

Screen Shot 2015-07-27 at 11.50.42 am.png
Screen Shot 2015-07-27 at 11.50.42 am.png (101.27 KiB) Viewed 505 times
User avatar
bennymacca
Coach
 
 
Posts: 15028
Joined: Wed May 06, 2009 12:22 pm
Has liked: 2253 times
Been liked: 1803 times
Grassroots Team: Freeling

Re: The run home

Postby bennymacca » Mon Jul 27, 2015 1:01 pm

this year seems to be weird/interesting in that there is a big group of middling teams that can all beat each other, and also a big group of bad teams. Usually there would be at least two or three teams getting 8-10 wins but it might only be port this year
User avatar
bennymacca
Coach
 
 
Posts: 15028
Joined: Wed May 06, 2009 12:22 pm
Has liked: 2253 times
Been liked: 1803 times
Grassroots Team: Freeling

Re: The run home

Postby Wedgie » Mon Jul 27, 2015 1:13 pm

JK wrote:I wish the various AFL ladders would stop showing Geelong and Adelaide as having played a game less. We know they have and we understand the reasons why, but the game isn't going to be re-scheduled, so just show them on the same games played as the others.

So you want them to lie?
Personally I prefer the ladder having facts not made up things.
User avatar
Wedgie
Site Admin
 
 
Posts: 51061
Joined: Thu Oct 27, 2005 8:00 am
Has liked: 2062 times
Been liked: 3919 times
Grassroots Team: Noarlunga

Re: The run home

Postby Booney » Mon Jul 27, 2015 1:35 pm

Wedgie wrote:
JK wrote:I wish the various AFL ladders would stop showing Geelong and Adelaide as having played a game less. We know they have and we understand the reasons why, but the game isn't going to be re-scheduled, so just show them on the same games played as the others.

So you want them to lie?
Personally I prefer the ladder having facts not made up things.


Yeah, like at the moment the ladder says Adelaide have 9 wins at 4 points each at 38 points and Geelong have 8 wins at 4 points each for 34 points.

Better they not make things up.
PAFC. Forever.

LOOK OUT, WE'RE COMING!
User avatar
Booney
Coach
 
 
Posts: 58507
Joined: Thu Oct 27, 2005 1:47 pm
Location: Alberton proud
Has liked: 7520 times
Been liked: 10822 times

Re: The run home

Postby Wedgie » Mon Jul 27, 2015 1:59 pm

Booney wrote:
Wedgie wrote:
JK wrote:I wish the various AFL ladders would stop showing Geelong and Adelaide as having played a game less. We know they have and we understand the reasons why, but the game isn't going to be re-scheduled, so just show them on the same games played as the others.

So you want them to lie?
Personally I prefer the ladder having facts not made up things.


Yeah, like at the moment the ladder says Adelaide have 9 wins at 4 points each at 38 points and Geelong have 8 wins at 4 points each for 34 points.

Better they not make things up.

Nothing wrong with that throwing in the 2 points for the abandoned game.
Perhaps they should have an asterisk in case there's a couple of people in the North Sentinel Islands who didnt hear what happened to Phil Walsh.
User avatar
Wedgie
Site Admin
 
 
Posts: 51061
Joined: Thu Oct 27, 2005 8:00 am
Has liked: 2062 times
Been liked: 3919 times
Grassroots Team: Noarlunga

Re: The run home

Postby JK » Mon Jul 27, 2015 2:09 pm

Wedgie wrote:
JK wrote:I wish the various AFL ladders would stop showing Geelong and Adelaide as having played a game less. We know they have and we understand the reasons why, but the game isn't going to be re-scheduled, so just show them on the same games played as the others.

So you want them to lie?
Personally I prefer the ladder having facts not made up things.


If they've given each club 2 points then don't they consider the result settled?
FUSC
User avatar
JK
Coach
 
 
Posts: 37387
Joined: Thu Oct 27, 2005 10:11 am
Location: Coopers Hill
Has liked: 4465 times
Been liked: 2992 times
Grassroots Team: SMOSH West Lakes

Re: The run home

Postby Wedgie » Mon Jul 27, 2015 2:27 pm

JK wrote:
Wedgie wrote:
JK wrote:I wish the various AFL ladders would stop showing Geelong and Adelaide as having played a game less. We know they have and we understand the reasons why, but the game isn't going to be re-scheduled, so just show them on the same games played as the others.

So you want them to lie?
Personally I prefer the ladder having facts not made up things.


If they've given each club 2 points then don't they consider the result settled?

Its a games played column not a results settled column.
User avatar
Wedgie
Site Admin
 
 
Posts: 51061
Joined: Thu Oct 27, 2005 8:00 am
Has liked: 2062 times
Been liked: 3919 times
Grassroots Team: Noarlunga

Re: The run home

Postby JK » Mon Jul 27, 2015 2:31 pm

Lol OK mate
FUSC
User avatar
JK
Coach
 
 
Posts: 37387
Joined: Thu Oct 27, 2005 10:11 am
Location: Coopers Hill
Has liked: 4465 times
Been liked: 2992 times
Grassroots Team: SMOSH West Lakes

Re: The run home

Postby Spargo » Mon Jul 27, 2015 10:27 pm

Lightning McQueen wrote:
Lightning McQueen wrote:Hawthorn 72
West Coast 72
Fremantle 72
Sydney 68
Richmond 64
Collingwood 52
Bulldogs 52
GWS 52

Nth Melb 52

I did pick Bulldogs to beat Brisbane in Brisbane though.

I take it that you picked North to beat Freo?


Re-visited.
WC 76
Freo 76
Haw 68
Syd 64
Rich 56
WB 56
Geel 54
Adel 50

NM 48
GWS 48

I did pick Port to beat the Dogs over there which could very well be wrong and West Coast to get up at home against the Hawks.

After winning by 70+ on the weekend, you now have us winning a game less?
2017 safooty NFL tipping champ
2024 champ, Spargo’s Good Friday Cup @ Ascot

I’ll wait for an angel, but I won’t hold my breath
‘Magine they’re busy, think I’m doin’ ok…
Spargo
Coach
 
 
Posts: 16078
Joined: Sun Feb 26, 2012 4:42 pm
Location: Getting out of Dodge
Has liked: 5534 times
Been liked: 5166 times
Grassroots Team: Sacred Heart OC

Re: The run home

Postby Lightning McQueen » Tue Jul 28, 2015 7:03 am

Spargo wrote:
Lightning McQueen wrote:
Lightning McQueen wrote:Hawthorn 72
West Coast 72
Fremantle 72
Sydney 68
Richmond 64
Collingwood 52
Bulldogs 52
GWS 52

Nth Melb 52

I did pick Bulldogs to beat Brisbane in Brisbane though.

I take it that you picked North to beat Freo?


Re-visited.
WC 76
Freo 76
Haw 68
Syd 64
Rich 56
WB 56
Geel 54
Adel 50

NM 48
GWS 48

I did pick Port to beat the Dogs over there which could very well be wrong and West Coast to get up at home against the Hawks.

After winning by 70+ on the weekend, you now have us winning a game less?

Yeah, I think Freo have found their mojo again, I had you tipped to beat them, now I've swung the other way after they knocked off the dangerous in-form Tigers.
You did beat Brisbane convincingly, it was Boomers 400th though and they were without their only decent player for the year.
HOGG SHIELD DIVISION V WINNER 2018.
User avatar
Lightning McQueen
Coach
 
Posts: 51382
Joined: Mon Mar 03, 2008 9:43 am
Location: Radiator Springs
Has liked: 4348 times
Been liked: 7942 times

Re: The run home

Postby Spargo » Tue Jul 28, 2015 8:53 am

What are the other 2 games you think we'll lose?
2017 safooty NFL tipping champ
2024 champ, Spargo’s Good Friday Cup @ Ascot

I’ll wait for an angel, but I won’t hold my breath
‘Magine they’re busy, think I’m doin’ ok…
Spargo
Coach
 
 
Posts: 16078
Joined: Sun Feb 26, 2012 4:42 pm
Location: Getting out of Dodge
Has liked: 5534 times
Been liked: 5166 times
Grassroots Team: Sacred Heart OC

Re: The run home

Postby mighty_tiger_79 » Tue Jul 28, 2015 8:56 am

Cats won't play finals
Matty Wade is a star and deserves more respect from the forum family!
User avatar
mighty_tiger_79
Coach
 
Posts: 56955
Joined: Tue Jan 03, 2006 7:29 pm
Location: at the TAB
Has liked: 11922 times
Been liked: 3633 times

Re: The run home

Postby Booney » Tue Jul 28, 2015 9:27 am

Spargo wrote:What are the other 2 games you think we'll lose?


You finish with Carlton, Melbourne, St Kilda, Fremantle. Bulldogs and Richmond which, if you win all but the Fremantle game, the Richmond game may be a battle for 4th spot in the final round.

Depending on Sydney's fortunes over the next six weeks weeks ( Adelaide, Geelong, Collingwood, GWS, St Kilda, Gold Coast ) and if they win more than 3 of those it won't matter what you do.

Richmond have Hawthorn, Adelaide, Gold Coast, Collingwood, Essendon and you blokes.

Bulldogs have Essendon, Port, Melbourne, West Coast, North and Brisbane.

You'll have to win all of the Fremantle, Bullldogs and Richmond games to take 4th I reakon with Sydney losing 3 of their last 6 on top of their last 2 making it 5 of their last 8 if that eventuates. Nup....
PAFC. Forever.

LOOK OUT, WE'RE COMING!
User avatar
Booney
Coach
 
 
Posts: 58507
Joined: Thu Oct 27, 2005 1:47 pm
Location: Alberton proud
Has liked: 7520 times
Been liked: 10822 times

Re: The run home

Postby Spargo » Tue Jul 28, 2015 9:43 am

Booney wrote:
Spargo wrote:What are the other 2 games you think we'll lose?


You finish with Carlton, Melbourne, St Kilda, Fremantle. Bulldogs and Richmond which, if you win all but the Fremantle game, the Richmond game may be a battle for 4th spot in the final round.

Depending on Sydney's fortunes over the next six weeks weeks ( Adelaide, Geelong, Collingwood, GWS, St Kilda, Gold Coast ) and if they win more than 3 of those it won't matter what you do.

Richmond have Hawthorn, Adelaide, Gold Coast, Collingwood, Essendon and you blokes.

Bulldogs have Essendon, Port, Melbourne, West Coast, North and Brisbane.

You'll have to win all of the Fremantle, Bullldogs and Richmond games to take 4th I reakon with Sydney losing 3 of their last 6 on top of their last 2 making it 5 of their last 8 if that eventuates. Nup....

Sydney nay only have to lose 2 games, 10% can be made up/lost pretty quickly in this league.
2017 safooty NFL tipping champ
2024 champ, Spargo’s Good Friday Cup @ Ascot

I’ll wait for an angel, but I won’t hold my breath
‘Magine they’re busy, think I’m doin’ ok…
Spargo
Coach
 
 
Posts: 16078
Joined: Sun Feb 26, 2012 4:42 pm
Location: Getting out of Dodge
Has liked: 5534 times
Been liked: 5166 times
Grassroots Team: Sacred Heart OC

Re: The run home

Postby Booney » Tue Jul 28, 2015 10:02 am

Spargo wrote:
Booney wrote:
Spargo wrote:What are the other 2 games you think we'll lose?


You finish with Carlton, Melbourne, St Kilda, Fremantle. Bulldogs and Richmond which, if you win all but the Fremantle game, the Richmond game may be a battle for 4th spot in the final round.

Depending on Sydney's fortunes over the next six weeks weeks ( Adelaide, Geelong, Collingwood, GWS, St Kilda, Gold Coast ) and if they win more than 3 of those it won't matter what you do.

Richmond have Hawthorn, Adelaide, Gold Coast, Collingwood, Essendon and you blokes.

Bulldogs have Essendon, Port, Melbourne, West Coast, North and Brisbane.

You'll have to win all of the Fremantle, Bullldogs and Richmond games to take 4th I reakon with Sydney losing 3 of their last 6 on top of their last 2 making it 5 of their last 8 if that eventuates. Nup....

Sydney nay only have to lose 2 games, 10% can be made up/lost pretty quickly in this league.


Incorrect. You need to win all yours... ;)
PAFC. Forever.

LOOK OUT, WE'RE COMING!
User avatar
Booney
Coach
 
 
Posts: 58507
Joined: Thu Oct 27, 2005 1:47 pm
Location: Alberton proud
Has liked: 7520 times
Been liked: 10822 times

PreviousNext

Board index   Football  AFL

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Rams52 and 15 guests

Around the place

Competitions   SANFL Official Site | Country Footy SA | Southern Football League | VFL Footy
Club Forums   Snouts Louts | The Roost | Redlegs Forum |