OAKSY Doggies Tips

[mighty_tiger_79]

Shepparton Cup

my odds first vs fixed Ubet odds

1 $2.80........$2.35
8 $5.25........$3.25
2 $5.80.....$6
5 $8.00........$13
3 $15.00..........$26
4 $23.00............$15
6 $35.00.........$10
7 $53.50...........$13

[mighty_tiger_79]

WormBurner as lay of the night wasn't a delightful result but took all day to get there

[Oaksnaf]

Looks like you got plenty of points in the tipping MT !

Will update after scratchings:

BENDIGO

RACE 1

5 BARON LAD $3.92
2 BLUE BLITZ $4.36
7 IT’S THE LOVELY $6.64
3 FLICK FLASH $7.38
4 OCARINA $10.12
1 SODIDEE $13.89
6 ROSIE BRONX $26.13
8 TURBO LONGSTRIDE $49.16

RACE 2

7 JAYCEE PLUMB $3.79
6 LATINO ICE $4.21
5 MAX ROCKET $5.20
2 ELITE SHIRAZ $7.93
1 BUREKUP JACK $14.92
3 WILMAS THUNDER $16.57
8 DR COMPULSION $31.19
4 DR LOGAN $47.53

RACE 3

4 ZAMBORA BEAU $2.64
7 HES AN OMEN $6.14
2 AERIAL PURSUIT $6.82
5 CACO POTION $8.42
8 MOORE OF DARCY $11.55
1 JUST IN HODGES $17.61
6 GREYSYND HAWK $33.13
3 COSMIC REBEL $50.50

RACE 4 **UPDATED AFTER SCRATCHING**

7 SWANS WADDLE $3.46
8 MAROON BLITZ $4.27
2 ORACLE OF OMAHA $7.22
1 POMP FICTION $8.03
3 LIMITED VISION $12.24
5 BOBBY TRON $16.78
4 HENDO BLUE $23.02
10 DOLCE VENTE $35.09

RACE 5

4 JACK WINTER $3.40
3 ROLL EM SHARKY $4.66
8 CONVOY $5.18
7 SMOKEY WHISPERS $10.82
2 LEKTRA KAHN $13.36
1 VELOCITY SAPHIRE $14.85
5 HES YOUR MATE $25.15
6 DARK AVENGER $42.58

[mighty_tiger_79]

Leader got 270 points

I'm on 200

[mighty_tiger_79]

Strath

R7
2 on top, think it leads
1 boxed well, fresh, usually goes well fresh
Hard to separate the next few
3-4-6-7-8

R9-5 on best form wins here

R10 I have the 6 winning and the 2 is good to run a place behind it

[mighty_tiger_79]

Looks like you got plenty of points in the tipping MT !

Will update after scratchings:

BENDIGO

RACE 1

5 BARON LAD $3.92
2 BLUE BLITZ $4.36
7 IT’S THE LOVELY $6.64
3 FLICK FLASH $7.38
4 OCARINA $10.12
1 SODIDEE $13.89
6 ROSIE BRONX $26.13
8 TURBO LONGSTRIDE $49.16

2
6
7
5
3

RACE 2

7 JAYCEE PLUMB $3.79
6 LATINO ICE $4.21
5 MAX ROCKET $5.20
2 ELITE SHIRAZ $7.93
1 BUREKUP JACK $14.92
3 WILMAS THUNDER $16.57
8 DR COMPULSION $31.19
4 DR LOGAN $47.53

1
3
5
7
4

RACE 3

4 ZAMBORA BEAU $2.64
7 HES AN OMEN $6.14
2 AERIAL PURSUIT $6.82
5 CACO POTION $8.42
8 MOORE OF DARCY $11.55
1 JUST IN HODGES $17.61
6 GREYSYND HAWK $33.13
3 COSMIC REBEL $50.50

4
7
5
2
6

RACE 4

7 SWANS WADDLE $4.00
8 MAROON BLITZ $4.94
6 BRAZEN BOMBER $6.77
2 ORACLE OF OMAHA $7.52
1 POMP FICTION $11.47
3 LIMITED VISION $14.15
5 BOBBY TRON $17.47
4 HENDO BLUE $19.42

RACE 5

4 JACK WINTER $3.40
3 ROLL EM SHARKY $4.66
8 CONVOY $5.18
7 SMOKEY WHISPERS $10.82
2 LEKTRA KAHN $13.36
1 VELOCITY SAPHIRE $14.85
5 HES YOUR MATE $25.15
6 DARK AVENGER $42.58

4
3
1
8
7
2



Race 6
1
2
3
7
4

[Oaksnaf]

Leader got 270 points

I'm on 200

Awesome ! Only 2 winners really behind the leader.

[Oaksnaf]

BENDIGO RACE 6

1 SMART ACTION $2.29
2 SPARKEEN $5.31
7 RICKETY GATE $5.91
4 IMMORTAL POWER $13.72
3 BINGS BRO $16.94
6 OPAL BALE $31.87
8 COWBOY JURY $39.34
5 SENOR SOCKS $59.97

BENDIGO RACE 7

1 ASA KILLA QUEEN $2.84
2 YOU SAY SO $3.50
6 BLUE WESTMEAD $5.34
7 BLACK AND PRETTY $7.33
5 SEABROOK SNOW $39.54
8 HETALIA BALE $74.41

RACE 8

3 SUGAR HIT HEDI $3.42
1 ZONDA BALE $4.69
8 EVERS BALE $7.95
7 QUANTUM BALE $8.83
2 KURZKE $10.90
4 PIERRO KADE $13.46
6 QUAKER BALE $18.47
5 SEE HIM RUN $28.14


RACE9

5 STEEL FURY $4.10
6 ISALA BALE $4.32
8 LEMON CHICKEN $5.92
1 DYNAMITE DIXIE $9.03
4 DR LUCIOUS $10.03
9 DOLCE GUSTO $16.99
3 GASSED UP DEVIL $20.98
7 PADDY MACS $25.90

[Oaksnaf]

Nice work Race 1 MT - #6 a handy $12 !! And the good TRI in Top 5. I'm sure you worked the exotics nicely.

[mighty_tiger_79]

Oaksy, surely you hit the #6 in race 2.....

[Oaksnaf]

Oaksy, surely you hit the #6 in race 2.....

Very handy overs. In all honestly, I only really bet on the TOP 2 overs unless there is something that stands out massively. Adopting a simple wagering technique where you are only betting on 2 runners a race is much more fun.

We have both hit 2nd raters with $12 odds today already. Can't complain with that. And from the worst box at Bendigo.

[mighty_tiger_79]

What happened to Mal's place market for bendigo r10

[Oaksnaf]

Return today
Wagering is still TOP RATING WIn bet 100/odds = bet
Exotics: Exacta 1-2 X 5 Tri 1-2-3 X 3 F4 1-2-3,4-3,4 X1 a total of $10 spend.

R1 - $25 win bet - unplaced
Exotics loss - $10

R2 - $26 win bet - unplaced
Exotic loss -$10

R3 - $37 win bet - 1st @ $1.60
Exacta Win 5 X $6.90 Tri WIN 3 X $26.60 F4 loss

R4 - $29 win bet - 1st @ $5.90
Exotics loss -$10

R5 - $29 win bet - 1st @ $2.70
Exotics loss -$10

R6 - $44 win bet - 1st @ 1.30
Exacta Win 5 X $4.90 Tri loss F4 Win 1 X $118.90

R7 - $35 win bet - 1st @ 1.30
Exotics loss - $10

R8 - $29 win bet - 1st @ 3.30
Exotics loss - $10

R9 - $24 win bet - 3rd
Exotics loss - $10

OUTLAY: $368
RETURN: $765.50
P/L: $397.50

TOTAL OUTLAY: $1,175
TOTAL P/L: $62.90
TOTAL POT: 5.3%

Some big swings past two days, but the average sits at where we expect. 6 winners in a row today. Haven't done that in a while.
Major problem is that RATING #6 is flying since Monday:
35 races. 7 wins return $64.40
Meanwhile Top Rating:
35 races: 12 wins
Return: $40.90

So the handicapping isn't going so well.
Next race is Sunday for the local HVL.

[Oaksnaf]

HVL SUNDAY - Will update after scratchings

Wouldn't mind a valentines gift from the bookies.

A handy hint when betting HVL 300M races. Box 1...... is the worst by a fair margin. In fact the S/R is around 8-9% overall. There are reasons for this. But just keep that in the back of your mind.

RACE 1

8 TREE CLIMBER LIV $2.91
3 ADMIRE BLACK $6.09
5 OWING IT $6.77
6 FEAR FIRE $9.28
1 METEOR THUNDER $11.46
2 GYPSY WENDY $12.73
4 IMA LARA LASS $21.56
7 LITTLE FAWKNER $40.57

#5 wants the rails and is the key to this race. If #4 misses the kick, then #5 should slam into #3 which is a much bigger dog. That might cause a bit of a problem, although kept going last start. #8 is perfectly drawn, wants it wide and is there. #6 will be found by JOE, but for mine, needs a perfect race situation. Might get it here with #5 to rails and 7,8 wanting wide. But I'm punting on that he can't run the time.

RACE 2

2 WOT PRICE FLASH $3.56
5 MANX KNIGHT $4.89
6 BLITZEN BELL $6.71
7 MARDELLA $8.28
1 WHIPSTICK FLYER $9.20
3 MARVELOUS MISS $15.58
4 MAGIC RUSTY $26.38
8 TEXAS PILEDRIVER $29.31

Another interest race. Key is #2 likes to push off inside. Keeps trying though. I like #5 as should get clear run early with #6 pushed out wide and #3,4 shouldn't begin too quickly. And the run up the hill will suit the 500m debut run nicely. I'm not sure if #1 is a rails runner yet.

RACE 3

8 CASH CAR STAR $3.40
4 BETTER BEWARE $5.19
3 NOISE MAN $6.40
1 BOURBON AN KAHN $8.78
2 BAGPIES BILLY $9.76
7 HOP ON BLACK $16.53
6 BEAR MAGIC $18.37
5 FAST BOLONY $38.40

RACE 4

7 MAHOGANY DIAMOND $2.96
8 HEAVENLY STAR $4.51
1 FLOTILLA $6.87
6 HELLO SUNSHINE $9.42
2 RUNAWAY ELLIE $11.63
4 ELLS BELLE $17.73
3 WHY JULIE $21.89

RACE 5

8 ANNUNKAI $4.21
5 DE GOEY $5.19
3 INVICTUS LAWLESS $5.77
1 INVICTUS IVY $7.91
6 WORLD OF NOISE $9.77
2 XAVIER KELTON $10.86
4 OLE KIRK $18.38
9 CULLQUIN BOMBER $47.45

AN OPEN RACE.

RACE 6

5 STATELY KAY $3.86
7 DODGY DEDE $4.76
6 EXTRADITION $5.29
2 KING KAI $6.53
3 WATCH THIS SPACE $12.30
4 MASTER PHELPS $23.14
1 MISS MYRA $25.71
9 WADELOCK JULIET $39.18

RACE 7

6 MISS BELLADONNA $2.15
2 ROCKON AUDACIOUS $3.65
3 BIG JAKE $8.47
4 FEAR ME ROAR $9.41
1 JUKEBOX HERO $26.99

RACE 8

1 BLACK MUMBO $3.87
4 STOP SENORING $4.78
3 ROYAL KNOCKA $6.56
2 BEGIN AGAIN $7.29
7 PENANCE ALLEN $9.00
6 WALK ON BY $13.72
8 DEADLY CLEAR $25.81
5 VOLKSJAJER BLUE $48.58

[Oaksnaf]

RACE 9

8 HOT AND LONESOME $2.01
7 SHAHADALLOR $7.10
1 MINER RUSH $8.77
6 ITS IRON HIDE $9.74
4 OXYGEN BANDIT $14.85
5 LEKTRA LUTHER $22.63
3 BAR NO BLUE $31.04

It is a long time between wins for the majority of this field. Only 1,7,8 have wins within the past year basically.

RACE 10

2 SOLDER SPY $3.40
8 SENOR GOLD $4.66
1 IM PUMPED $5.76
7 BLUE MCCOOL $8.77
4 HARDAWAY LAW $10.83
6 LUNCHLESS $14.86
3 CLASSY BOY $22.65


RACE 11

1 UNCATCHABLE $3.42
3 JAZAANS BOY $5.21
2 BLINGZILLA $5.79
5 IRISH CONNECTION $6.44
8 MOTO WARRIOR $9.81
6 WAYWARD WIND $16.62
7 BARN A SHAKIN $38.60

RACE 12

5 UNEXCUSEABLE $3.56
8 ZIPLINE MARJEN $4.39
4 BOMBORA FLASH $4.88
6 RUBYS FAITH $6.02
1 BRAN NUE SHEWAMA $17.27
7 ARGYLE DIAMOND $29.25
3 ASTERIX ROSE $55.04
2 REDDING $103.56

Happy punting !

[Oaksnaf]

VALENTINES HVL

Results

R1 - $34 win - 2nd
Exotics loss -$10

R2 - $28 win - 1st @ 2.10
Exotics loss -$10

R3 $29 win - 1st @ $1.40
Exotics loss -$10

R4 $34 win - 3rd
Exotics loss -$10

R5 $24 win - 4th
Exotics loss -$10

R6 $26 win - unplaced
Exotics loss -$10

R7 $47 win - 1st @ $2.40
Exotics loss -$10

R8 $26 win - 1st @ $1.70
Exotics loss -$10

R9 $50 win - 2nd
Exotics loss -$10

R10 $29 win - 1st @ $1.50
Exotics loss - $10

R11 $29 win - 1st $4.40
Exacta 5 X $14.90 Tri 3 X $34.70 F4 1 X $199.50

R12 $28 win - 3rd
Exotics loss -$10

OUTLAY: $504
RETURN: $805.60
P/L: + $301.60

TOTAL
OUTLAY: $1,679
P/L: +$364.50
POT: 21.7%

[mighty_tiger_79]

Happy Valentines Day on the punt for you Oaksy, especially with the exotics in the 11th.

[Oaksnaf]

Yep - if we can continue the current S/R for one out trifectas it should be a good.

But it is only the end of Week 1. We have a long way to go.
Let's see what Tuesday brings.
Look forward to Angle Park Monday tips,

[Oaksnaf]

WGL 16/2 - Will update with scratchings

RACE 2

2 VIENNA PINK $3.75
6 BRANDEEN BAYLEY $4.62
4 IT GETS BETTER $7.05
5 DRUID BALE $7.83
7 CREATIVE HIT $10.74
3 ASTON SALUTE $13.26
8 LIL FEISTY $20.21
1 ITS DEBATABLE $34.23

RACE 3 **UPDATED AFTER SCRATCHING**

1 TAABINGA FLASH $3.95
2 ZALL OVER $4.87
4 ALLEN DYNAMO $6.69
3 MAGIC AMBUSH $7.43
9 ZIPPING COMET $8.25
7 AQUA MORGAN $15.53
8 BRINDLE AUDREY $21.31
6 SHIFTY JOSHUA $40.09


RACE 7 **UPDATED AFTER SCRATCHINGS**

2 GOSPEL LASS $3.69
6 AMLIN MYSTIQUE $5.06
7 TUMBLE AND DRY $5.63
1 SNOW GYPSY $9.53
5 FARCE ALLEN $11.76
4 YOU SAY SO $14.52
10 SENOR SOCKS $16.13
8 JESS FANTASY $30.36


RACE 8 **UPDATED AFTER SCRATCHINGS**

2 ZALL GOOD $3.24
4 THUNDERLIPS $6.09
5 VERDICT $6.76
3 CLASSY SPARKS $8.35
6 DROOPYS BENTLY $9.28
9 COSMIC SHIRAZ $15.71
8 YEAH WHATEVER $17.46
10 ULTAMITE TALENT $32.86

RACE 9 **UPDATED AFTER SCRATCHINGS**

5 STURRIDGE $3.51
6 CRACKDOWN $4.81
7 DON THE SASH $5.94
1 JULES FANCY $9.05
2 MISTER BROWN $10.06
10 ERRATIC LORD $18.92
4 DIAMOND MAXINE $21.02
3 EXTRA STARS $35.60

[mighty_tiger_79]

Warragul

Expect some very weird markets to be produced here

race 1

1 - $3.20
2 - $3.56
7 - $3.96
6 - $14.01
8 - $26.36
3 - $29.29
5 - $103.69
4 - $852.90


race 2

6 - $4.35
2 - $4.84
7 - $5.38
5 - $6.64
8 - $9.10
4 - $11.24
3 - $39.80
1 - $327.34

not sure what to make of that lot in race 2....

race 3

3 - $2.75
4 - $5.18
5 - $5.76
8 - - cant win but should be figuring in the exotics!
1 - $7.11
2 - $8.78
6 - $72.18
7 - $593.69