Last week was good but I hate Post Mortems, particularly "On the Punt"!
So we go back to 'Headquarters' in Melbourne for the next couple of weeks & the Sydney Carnival begins in earnest, this week.
Before I talk about tomorrow, I LOVED the run of Our Ivanhoe last week - had no luck whatsoever in the final furlong.
I took the $13 on offer last Sunday for the Australian Cup - now into $9 on Sportsbet. You'll get better tomorrow night, I reckon.
Top 5 Runner in Aussie Cup - for sure.
So to tomorrow:
Australian Guineas - Like The Derby winner
Tarzino, price has come in since last night's $8.50 & & 2.80, but his last run was full of merit & happy to bet against the fav.
Mahuta is a very interesting runner & to get $9 & $3 for a horse that has won its last 6 starts is very tempting.
The Oaks winner,
Jameka, is silly odds IMHO & 2 other roughies worth thought are 7 & 16.
Happy to back The Derby winner to beat the Oaks winner. Reckon the Trifecta will pay well, too.
Box Trifecta: 1, 2, 5, 7, 9, 16Like one in Race 3 - Top Weight;
Afleet Esprit - Hasn't Hayes come good in the last 12 - 18 months? He's well & truely on his way back to the summit of Victorian Racing & although Weir is still No. 1, I think Hayes will have more Group Winners by the end of the season, considering he has runners in Sydney as well... The Horse has a good record down the straight @ Flemington & at the price of $9, I'm happy to take on the fav. The $2.50 on offer for the PLACE is 'sweet' considering the fav is Odds On.
Randwick Guineas - every pundit suggests this is a certain winner, Press Statement. Is it the right price? Not for me. 9/4 On is too short IMHO. If it were $1.80, I'd consider backing it but $1.40 was what Winx paid last week & Press Statement is no Winx! Happy to watch the race & hope my 'Star Stable' runner, Stay with Me, runs well
I think
Calliope can win the Reisling, its better than its last run & 2/1 isn't a bad price, although $3.30 would be better.
In Race 3 I am backing
Loophole. Tommy Berry has an amazing record when he rides a Waller Horse. From memory its about a 30+ % WIN rate. This is the only ride he has for Waller tomorrow. Loophole is
$11 & $3.10 with Ladbrokes @ the Moment ($11 & $2.80 on Sportsbet, $11 & $2.95 with UBET), I'll take him 1 unit by 3 units.
Enjoy the Day in front of the TV, Lads