OAKSY Doggies Tips

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Re: OAKSY Doggies Tips

Postby Oaksnaf » Tue Mar 01, 2016 8:50 pm

Oaksnaf wrote:WGL has been a real struggle of late. At least TIER 3 Geelong is here to save us.

RACE 1

4 LUNCHMONEY LEWIS $3.63 - 1st $8.80 return $242
8 RUSTY PATCHES $4.49 2nd Quin $11.20 return $112.0 Exacta $36.30 return $181.5
6 VON SCHNITZEL $4.98
3 HEINEKEN GIRL $8.44
1 ABBEWIGE GOLD $12.87
7 WHIPSTICK SID $21.79 3rd
2 CATHYS TIGER $26.90
5 ITS BURGER TIME $45.55

RACE 2

8 BARON CHARLIE $3.75 4th
6 LIMBURG PRINCESS $4.62
1 SNOW BOMBER $7.05
2 IVE GOT SPIRIT $7.83
3 MIGHTY DUCK $10.74
4 BLITZEN BELL $13.26
5 BUFFYS BEAR $20.21
7 LOTS OF TROUBLE $34.23

RACE 3

7 OK JAKE $2.26 1st $1.80 return $80
1 JARLETH $5.25
6 ALLEN OTHELLO $9.88
5 DYNA LEONA $10.98
3 SERMON ALLEN $13.55
8 YOU CAN $20.66 2nd
2 OLIVES CHOICE $31.48
9 IZA COMIN $47.99

RACE 4

1 CAMELOT ROSE $4.27 2nd
2 DYNA PARLANCE $5.27 1st $19.90 Quin $33.90 return $339
3 LIMBURG AVA $7.22
8 MISSIONS PRIDE $8.03
6 SISCO MAMA $8.92
5 DANGER BALE $11.01
4 STORM TROOPER $15.10
7 TIPPY ALLEN $23.02

RACE 5

6 FIORELLI ROSE $3.73 unplaced
2 PEARCE $6.32
10 ASHTASTIC $7.02
1 LADY LURCHER $7.80
4 BARCIAS FATE $9.63
3 GUNBARREL TWIST $10.70
8 JOLLY BALE $16.31
9 MILWALCAR $22.38

RACE 6

3 COOLAN GIRL $2.66 unplaced
6 FAITHFUL DYNASTY $5.01
4 TRIXIE DIAMOND $9.43
1 BABY BLITZEN $11.64
5 BELOCETTE $12.94
8 MY DOLLY MOLLY $14.37
2 SRING DRIFTER $17.75
7 ROADRUNNER THIEF $33.39

RACE 7

2 ALL OVER $3.37 unplaced
6 AMLINS MAGIC $4.16
3 BARONESS MOLLY $6.35
1 JACKS PRINCE $8.71
4 LEKTRA LUTHER $13.27
8 HOT AND LONESOME $20.23
5 FAWN PURSUIT $24.97
7 REIKO BALE $38.06

RACE 8

6 SANZMAN $4.35 unplaced
5 MOONLIGHT CRUISE $5.37
4 MAXIMUM MELVA $5.96
3 NINJA BALE $8.18
2 BABS BALE $9.09
8 UNO SPARTI $12.47
1 ROLL EM MISSY $15.39
7 INITIAL FACTOR $26.06


As we introduced the quinella box top 2 for X 10. We had a good day.

OUT $399
RETURN $954.50
P/L : $555.50

Running Tally
OUT $4447
P/L : -$88.50
POT: -2%

At the moment the wagering is 65/35 on win/exotics for the wagering we have outlined.
We will start to update some new wagering processes for the WIN bet in due course.
It will still be easy enough to follow though.

Hope Horsham tonight continues off from Geelong.
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Re: OAKSY Doggies Tips

Postby mighty_tiger_79 » Tue Mar 01, 2016 9:35 pm

wow, race 4 at Geelong was a super result and the wasn't hard at all to get following your market
Matty Wade is a star and deserves more respect from the forum family!
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Re: OAKSY Doggies Tips

Postby mighty_tiger_79 » Tue Mar 01, 2016 9:52 pm

Oaksnaf wrote:Gawler just about to win, wouldn't mind some extra cash for Geelong MT !
Will just back the best of your top 2 picks.

HORSHAM

RACE 3

8 WATTA RUSH $3.73....2nd
1 ZULU AEGIS $5.68 - winner $8 fixed and $6.20 - quinella $8.20
3 PAY THE BOO
2 ZULU HERCULES
5 JUST TOOIE $10.70
4 STARS BIG BOY $11.89
10 SOUTHY $13.21
7 CYCLONE DOTTIE $22.36

RACE 4

8 VELOBELL $3.42......1st $2.20 fixed - $2.40
7 CYRMELON FETTLE $5.80
2 RED HOT BELLA $6.44.....2nd
6 LEKTRA DAME $7.96.....3rd.............another tri in the top 4
4 MAXIMUM KICK $12.12
9 EAGLEHAWK BEFFA $13.47
1 FRUIT SPICE $18.48
5 ULTRA BRIGHT $22.82
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Re: OAKSY Doggies Tips

Postby mighty_tiger_79 » Tue Mar 01, 2016 9:54 pm

Oaksnaf wrote:RACE 5

2 ALLEN DYNAMO $3.95.........winner $2.90 f and $2.10 tote
4 ALL INN BOSTON $4.39
6 MYSTIC MARLOW $6.70
1 BROTHER MOSES $8.27
3 JUST BE PATIENT $12.60
5 POKER DATE $14.00
10 TALLY HO LEN $15.56
9 CRYMELON ORBIT $29.27

RACE 7

4 SUNDAY SIPPER $2.62
7 SAINT ELITE $6.09
6 BOUNTY $7.52
9 LITTLE MAKRIL $8.36
8 ASTON ASTEROID $10.32
2 CRYMELON PINK $15.73
10 TALLY HO BILLY $23.98

RACE 8

6 MARVELOUS MARVIN $1.89 52.89%
3 COOL BOOTS $7.44 13.44%
1 PICTURES PEARCE $11.34 8.82%,,,,,,,,,winner $11 fixed and $18 tote
8 CRACKERJACK DAK $12.60 7.94%
5 MIGHTY SAM $15.55 6.43%
4 MENDES $17.28 5.79%
2 STARBRIGHT TARA $21.33 4.69%
Matty Wade is a star and deserves more respect from the forum family!
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Re: OAKSY Doggies Tips

Postby Oaksnaf » Tue Mar 01, 2016 10:14 pm

HORSHAM

OUTLAY: $417
RETURN: $273
P/L: -$144

RUNNING TOTAL
OUTLAY: $4864
P/L: -$232.50
POT; -5%
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Re: OAKSY Doggies Tips

Postby Oaksnaf » Tue Mar 01, 2016 10:43 pm

mighty_tiger_79 wrote:wow, race 4 at Geelong was a super result and the wasn't hard at all to get following your market

The overs were massive for the 2nd rating. Top 2 ratings overlay are still running at +20% POT. We will slowly work this into a structured wagering.
Well we are +7% POT betting on all closing S-TAB OVERS from top rating to 8th rating. But as we know with greyhound racing the totes fluctuate significantly and after the green light. So it is impossible to bet on some 'overs and some unders you would have bet on.

The important factor to keep track of is your live bets. If you find that your wagering doesn't return the supposed dividends that your 'stats' show then there may be a few issues. You should also not watch a runner cross the post and think "ahh bugga I missed that runner, it was overs". If you have structure you are less likely to miss this.

We are up to 124 races. And Box QUIN 1,2 returns $199,60 for every $1 / Exacta 1-2 $96.30 / Tri 1-2-3 $116.70 F4 1-2-3-4 $274.10

So the structure of Box Quin 1,2, X 10 Exacta 1-2 X 2 Tri 1-2-3 X 3 and F4 1-2-3,4-3,4 X 1 works on the current figures.

I could run through my data and find many winning combinations. But I don't want to do that. I want to look at the S/R of combinations and in time, if I can find the VALUE then it will be prosperous.

The fact of the matter is, what works one month, may not work the next month. Especially when it comes to studying the form.
I've noticed a real slump at Warragul recently. I've been running 'ghost' studies on only TIER 3 meetings, like Geelong. And have found recently I am much better suited at the moment. The switch today showed that +$555.50. A bit of luck? Perhaps.

It is important to realise you can change whatever you are doing. If the system doesn't work - there is no reason it will simply turn itself around because it has worked for the past 5 years. Trends are important. Short term and long term. If you are disciplined and can BEAT JOE then you're ok.

And by keeping track of JOE - you can actually start to see where some of the VALUE is.
JOE's 6th best rated runner from 123 races has returned $171.40 with a S/R of 9%. If that S/R with average starting odds of $17.99 - if you have that S/R at those odds then you will be printing money.

Data is good to have. Just don't confuse yourself. Keep it simply stupid.
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Re: OAKSY Doggies Tips

Postby Phil » Wed Mar 02, 2016 10:21 am

LOL "Keep it simply stupid." I'm sure you didn't mean it?
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Re: OAKSY Doggies Tips

Postby mighty_tiger_79 » Wed Mar 02, 2016 12:07 pm

The money was right for the first starter
Matty Wade is a star and deserves more respect from the forum family!
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Re: OAKSY Doggies Tips

Postby Oaksnaf » Wed Mar 02, 2016 3:13 pm

mighty_tiger_79 wrote:Early look at Wednesday meeting which has been brought forward a little bit.

race 1

3-2-1-4
query on the first starter 6, only has to be half reasonable to win here.

these wont run any quicker than 30-70

the 3 is the best of the raced bunch.
2 - a non winner, just likes to run 2nd
1,4 are the next best picks.
I have the 4 behind the red, just due to the draw.

race 2 - horrible

race 3
another ordinary event
the 8 looks the top pick here tentatively, I think the 3 at good ew odds looks the place bet here, slowish out and runs on nicely.

race 4
not much to see here with the 8 winning and the 6 placing

race 7

the 1 due to the box and lack of pace in this race will find itself sitting in prime position on the first turn
6,7,8 all have pace to get across, but they could all cause issues for themselves.
1-6-7-8 are my numbers, they will be the first four in running all the way

race 8

a two dog war here between the 2,4. I have the 4 leading, but the 2 will be pushing it hard early on

race 10

1 is the pick here, down in grade, drawn to be right in the finish. the main danger would be the 4, a former vic runner, in a very good kennel

race 11
7 should lead this lot and get another win
3,5,2 are next in line and not much separates these here
the 1 is very capable of punching through and leading the inside division if it improves on its recent efforts
the 8 will get a soft run if it can just jump with the 7

Great work MT .A nice quinella in R8 and R11 win seemed good odds for the comments .
$$$$
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Re: OAKSY Doggies Tips

Postby mighty_tiger_79 » Wed Mar 02, 2016 3:25 pm

Would been a super day barring interference in race 10.
Secured $5.40 on the Red.
Led easily before being dragged down....
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Re: OAKSY Doggies Tips

Postby mighty_tiger_79 » Wed Mar 02, 2016 5:06 pm

Bloody Fruitcake winning. I had something on it at Strath Friday and it went up with the lids at big odds
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Re: OAKSY Doggies Tips

Postby mighty_tiger_79 » Thu Mar 03, 2016 1:24 pm

Golden bone selections

1-7
2-6
3-5
4-4
5-3
6-1
7-5
8-2
9-2
10-7
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Re: OAKSY Doggies Tips

Postby mighty_tiger_79 » Thu Mar 03, 2016 3:00 pm

Traralgon r2 had a mixed bag of divvies across the 3 TABs on the winner
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Re: OAKSY Doggies Tips

Postby mighty_tiger_79 » Fri Mar 04, 2016 12:41 pm

Strath r3
8 springvale pat is unders @ $2.30
I like the dog but poorly drawn
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Re: OAKSY Doggies Tips

Postby Oaksnaf » Sun Mar 06, 2016 12:11 am

Could be a great day of punting outside the favourites at HVL.

There will be some pretty big 'paper' favourites tomorrow. Well if I have assessed JOE correctly that is. As you can see, we are quite a fair way outside what JOE thinks today.

RACE 5

3 SOLDIER SPY $3.26
1 EUMERALLA DONNY $4.97
8 ENCEE EYE GIBBS $6.82
4 SAAHD $8.42
2 HOT AND LONESOME $12.83
6 IM PUMPED $14.25
5 NOT HELD $19.55
7 MINER RUSH $36.78

RACE 6

5 BLAZING APACHE $3.62
8 AMLIN PRINCE $4.47
9 FLEET RETURN $5.52
2 CHLOES ENTITY $7.58
7 THAT’S THE PLAN $8.42
1 TONTOS MATE $24.14
10 RANGTANG $36.79

RACE 7

8 HIGH COMMANDO $4.27
3 SUN CHOICE $4.74
4 IDO VOODOO $6.50
5 WINSOME PRINCE $8.03
7 DR KLASS $9.91
10 DA MISHKA $13.60
2 LILAS GIRL $18.65
1 AVAS ANGEL $20.72

RACE 8

4 BEJAY THE DEJAY $2.90
3 MISS BELLADONNA $3.57
1 BLACK AND PRETTY $8.30
5 PAPPA GALLO $12.66
7 GOSPEL LASS $14.06
6 MOTT HAVEN $17.36
8 MY BABY PORSCHA $21.43

RACE 9

8 DR TORETTO $4.06
3 LORIMER LAD $5.01
1 ZIPLINE MARJEN $6.87
5 ALIRA KATE $7.64
4 DR VALHALLA $9.43
2 GO LITTLE PEBBLE $14.37
6 LEKTRA ALLAN $17.74
7 HORSHAM MYTH $21.90

RACE 10

5 CASH CAR STAR $3.27
9 RUBYS FAITH $4.98
1 OSCARS CHAMP $8.43
6 ICE COLD BUNDY $9.37
8 BLACK FOO $10.41
3 MALEUNE $12.85
7 DR LEONARDO $17.63
2 HESTIA BALE $26.87

RACE 11

5 ATARAXIA $4.08
1 KOSMIK KING $5.59
2 NANGAR FOX $6.21
8 TRONS SON $6.90
6 UNEXCUSABLE $10.52
7 LET RIP JOHNO $11.69
4 MAVERICK DUSTY $17.82
10 ANT HILL MOB $30.17

RACE 12

2 BIG JAKE $3.14
1 SWANS TWELVE $5.90
3 SPECIFY $6.56
7 HELLO SUNSHINE $10.00
4 BLACK SENOR $11.11
5 UNDER TAKER $13.71
6 LEKTRA LUTHER $18.81
8 LACEY LOIS $23.22

Happy Punting !
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Re: OAKSY Doggies Tips

Postby mighty_tiger_79 » Sun Mar 06, 2016 2:43 pm

race 5 was a good start with the exacta, and followed up in race 8, which paid well considering the small field I thought.
nice finish to the day with the top rater winning the last and was overs!!!

boxing up the top 3 or 4 in the exotics yielded more results for Stampy!
Matty Wade is a star and deserves more respect from the forum family!
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Re: OAKSY Doggies Tips

Postby Oaksnaf » Sun Mar 06, 2016 5:32 pm

A bit of an average day. Just did enough in the last.

OUT: $388
IN: $256
P/L: -$132

TOTAL

OUT: $5252
P/L: -$364.50

Still hanging about.
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Re: OAKSY Doggies Tips

Postby Oaksnaf » Mon Mar 07, 2016 11:11 pm

mighty_tiger_79 wrote:Golden bone selections

1-7
2-6
3-5
4-4
5-3
6-1
7-5
8-2
9-2
10-7

How is your Golden Bone tipping going?
Haven't checked results.

I assume you'll be doing some Tuesday mid-day meeting punting?

Hope so. As wouldn't mind a few extra for the Tier 3 Geelong action.
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Re: OAKSY Doggies Tips

Postby mighty_tiger_79 » Tue Mar 08, 2016 8:40 am

I'm about 200 off the lead.
I will be trying to do some arvo punting but today looks quite full on...
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Re: OAKSY Doggies Tips

Postby Oaksnaf » Tue Mar 08, 2016 9:02 am

GEELONG

RACE 1

1 ARTIC BLAZE $3.36
7 RUSTY PATCHES $4.61
8 IMA LARA LASS $5.12
2 SUGAR MCGUNDY $7.03
10 DYNAMIC AMUS $10.72
4 INDIGO BRUNA $18.15

RACE 2

2 SNOW BOMBER $3.02
3 RUN RUSTY RUN $4.60
4 DEE TEE VANE $7.80
1 LOOKING BACK $8.66
9 BEKELE $11.88
10 LADY KIP $18.11
6 HURRICANE QUEEN $22.36
7 JACK SNAPPER $42.07

RACE 3

2 DEMONISHEM $3.66
1 UNO PERRY $5.02
7 ALLEN OTHELLO $5.57
6 DYNA OMEN $6.88
3 SHARP INTENTION $11.65
8 QUEEN ELMA $17.76
4 JUMPED BAIL $30.07
5 LADY CAMELOT $37.13

RACE 4

8 LUNCHMONEY LEWIS $3.79
5 HEINEKEN BOY $5.19
2 BRACE FOR IMPACT $5.77
3 BLITZEN BELL $7.92
4 BLOWN TURBO $12.07
1 ALEJANDRO $13.41
7 POWERFUL STRESS $18.39
6 RAM RAIDER $31.15

RACE 5

2 LETS GO BLACKY $3.56
6 SUZY NITRO $5.42
1 TIME TAKER $6.03
8 SHELBYS MAGIC $7.44
4 BABY BLITZEN $11.34
5 BARONESS JILL $14.00
7 BUBBLE HEAD $21.34
3 MADAME BLACK $36.13

RACE 6

4 MOONLIGHT CRUISE $3.50
7 STRAIGHT AWAY $4.32
1 REX ON $6.58
9 DESPICABLE JAZZ $7.31
5 INTER CARMELLA $12.38
3 BABS BALE $23.30
2 COOLY QUEEN $25.89
8 THUNDEROUS NIGHT $31.96

RACE 7

4 FIERY UNIVERSE $4.16
5 MAKIKOS $5.13
7 CRUISYS EMPRESS $5.70
6 BOB ON $7.04
8 JADU $9.66
3 JOLLY BALE $14.72
1 MUM SAID NO $20.19
2 BIG HUTCHIE $38.00

RACE 8

3 NEXT GRANGE $3.58
8 CHAPPY $4.42
6 SANZMAN $7.48
5 MORNING CRUISE $9.23
1 BILLY BUBBA $10.26
4 CRUISYS LUCK $11.40
2 TINA TWO $23.83
7 KING ENRIGHT $40.36

RACE 9

3 SHES GOT GRACE $3.33
1 MISTEL ALLEN $4.56
8 PRINCESS JASMINE $5.63
6 DESTINI SPARK $9.54
2 BAZZ KEBAB $14.54
7 CALL ME SWIFT $16.16
4 LITTLE FERRET $24.63
5 AUTOMATIC $37.53

RACE 10

2 TAMAR BEAUTY $3.63
7 OUR LILLY $4.04
6 TROVS GEM $6.84
4 TRICKY TREY $10.42
5 HIGH SUCCESS $11.58
8 SHACHAR MAGIC $14.29
3 BLAZING NITRO $24.21
1 VEETEE GLAMOUR $26.90

RACE 11

2 DONS LICKER $3.57
5 HARVEST GOLD $5.44
3 MAXIMUM MADDY $6.05
8 FAWN PURSUIT $8.29
6 KING OF SUNSHINE $12.64
4 VICTORY CRUISE $14.04
9 EXIT ZERO $17.34
1 LITTLE MIX $23.78
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