North Melbourne

[bennymacca]

You only just beat st Kilda Essendon Melbourne, and have only played two teams in the top eight.

If you had the draw difficulty of some other teams you would have lost more games. And should have a better percentage than you do.

Gws is so high because they smashed hawthorn

[stan]

You only just beat st Kilda Essendon Melbourne, and have only played two teams in the top eight.

If you had the draw difficulty of some other teams you would have lost more games. And should have a better percentage than you do.

Gws is so high because they smashed hawthorn

And beat the Dogs and Geelong.

[Dutchy]

You only just beat st Kilda Essendon Melbourne, and have only played two teams in the top eight.

If you had the draw difficulty of some other teams you would have lost more games. And should have a better percentage than you do.

Gws is so high because they smashed hawthorn

Look at WB draw, played the same teams as NM except Hawks and GWS but had the luxury of 7 straight home games with no travel and when they played NM they got beat, yet they are well ahead on this ladder? Makes. No. Sense.

[Spargo]

If you had the draw difficulty of some other teams you would have lost more games.

And if my Aunty had balls, she'd be my uncle. If, if, if...
There's no such thing as overachieving either.
We're probably still the worst team in the eight

[bennymacca]

love how you guys seem to think i came up with this, it is champion data, not some random bloke's opinion.

It basically shows your performance against the good teams. Less than a goal win against St Kilda is a loss if you adjust for the ability of the teams, because on average the top team will beat an average team by more.

GWS on the other hand smashed hawthorn so if you adjust this for the difficulty of the teams it would turn into an even greater win.

Is it really that hard to understand?

Its a reflection of the close wins against average teams combined with an easy draw.

Just thought it was interesting because some were asking why North are still 6th favourite for the flag despite being 9-0.

[bennymacca]

Maybe this is a little easier to understand for those that are a little statistically challenged

186 hot plot for this round, vs the same time in 2015

2015

Screen Shot 2016-05-23 at 9.41.08 PM.png (190.69 KiB) Viewed 1024 times

2016

Screen Shot 2016-05-23 at 9.38.59 PM.png (176.46 KiB) Viewed 1024 times

[Grahaml]

Just in case someone in Australia was yet to see that graph? All it tells me if you're good at scoring and good at defending you're a good team. Fairly obvious I'd have thought.

[stan]

Just in case someone in Australia was yet to see that graph? All it tells me if you're good at scoring and good at defending you're a good team. Fairly obvious I'd have thought.

Oh I see the old be ahead on the scoreboard style of play. Gotcha [emoji12]

[bennymacca]

Just in case someone in Australia was yet to see that graph? All it tells me if you're good at scoring and good at defending you're a good team. Fairly obvious I'd have thought.

Let me guess, you hated maths at school and didn't think you could use it in real life?

[HH3]

So you're trying to predict the Premiership favourite using math?

NM were 9th on the 2015 chart and lost the prelim by 4 goals. So the chart means f**k all. Just some useless crap that moosh brain ex footballers use to fill the air time and their own pockets with media money.

[woodublieve12]

How are the odds for Friday nights game?
Ridiculous, got the swans at $1.40 and the kangaroos at $2.95. How is the undefeated side paying that much?????? This was of Sportsbet

[Lightning McQueen]

How are the odds for Friday nights game?
Ridiculous, got the swans at $1.40 and the kangaroos at $2.95. How is the undefeated side paying that much?????? This was of Sportsbet

Shit's about to get real for the Roo's now, they could potentially lose their next 6, they'll start favourites once until round 17.

[HH3]

Very unlikely to get through that block undefeated, but you can't really write a team off if they do lose a couple. Everyone else has lost at least two each already.

It seems like no one actually rates the Roos, no matter how well they've done for an average team the last few seasons.

[Lightning McQueen]

Very unlikely to get through that block undefeated, but you can't really write a team off if they do lose a couple. Everyone else has lost at least two each already.

It seems like no one actually rates the Roos, no matter how well they've done for an average team the last few seasons.

They must be doing something right. This middle chapter will tell the story.

[another grub]

$1.90 to make top 4 looks tempting

[Booney]

Then there's this much more relevant data.

North Melbourne

9 matches. 9 wins, 36 points. Top of the table.

[another grub]

50/50 to make top 4 ?

[HH3]

4/18 chance to make the top 4

Sent from my SM-G930F using Tapatalk

[Grahaml]

Just in case someone in Australia was yet to see that graph? All it tells me if you're good at scoring and good at defending you're a good team. Fairly obvious I'd have thought.

Let me guess, you hated maths at school and didn't think you could use it in real life?

Lol. Because that graph is supposed to be a challenge to anyone over 5? It's so simplistic you could call it moronic. It's also about as enlightening as saying premiership teams need to win a certain % of their H&A matches.

[Dutchy]

How are the odds for Friday nights game?
Ridiculous, got the swans at $1.40 and the kangaroos at $2.95. How is the undefeated side paying that much?????? This was of Sportsbet

Shit's about to get real for the Roo's now, they could potentially lose their next 6, they'll start favourites once until round 17.

They could have potentially lost their first 9, but didn't.