by Corona Man » Fri Sep 16, 2016 11:02 am
by JK » Fri Sep 16, 2016 2:34 pm
by Stumps » Fri Sep 16, 2016 5:47 pm
LPH wrote:17/09/2016
Better Day last week – couple of nice PLACE Bets came in. Unfortunately, I forgot to ‘Trixie’ & ‘Yankee’ them up, so could’ve been better. Tomorrow’s races are a lottery IMHO. The Caulfield meeting is VERY tricky. The winner of the ‘Mannerism’ gets an automatic entry into the Caulfield Cup. Once again, both Sydney & Melbourne fields are effected by the weather – more Heavy tracks again this week, sadly. Will Waller scratch Winx again, as a result? Wouldn’t surprise.
Caulfield Race 8 – The Mannerism
As I’ve already backed Set Square for the Caulfield Cup, so I’m hopeful she’ll win this race & qualify for the Cup. The trainer was on TV Sunday suggesting that Set Square & Jameka are probably going on ‘separate paths’ to the Caulfield Cup after this race. He was pretty keen to win the Mannerism, though. Berisha has already qualified for the Cup, by virtue of winning the Mornington Cup earlier in the year – so this race is just a warm up for it & it won’t be featuring in the finish IMHO. I am a fan of Tom Melbourne, I think he can be a stayer of some quality & this Spring might be the making of him – reckon he might win a race like the Mooney Valley Cup or the Lexus on Derby Day & then run well in the Melbourne Cup with 50kgs – he’s currently 119th on the Order of entry, so will need to win a big race like one of those just to get in the ‘Big One’ ($51 at present). Sorry, bit of a tangent there. This race I’ll be backing 2 of them: Excess Knowledge – good gate & will be getting a ‘gun run’ 3rd or 4th on the fence the entire trip. The other is Set Square (naturally). Double figure odds the 2 of them – I’m backing both Eachway.
Box Trifecta: 2, 3, 6, 8, 12, 13
Caulfield Race 4 – BM 90, 1400m Race
Like a fresh horse here @ the Eachway Price, No. 5 Clemency. Great record fresh & the wet conditions shouldn’t worry her. She ‘maps’ OK – I reckon Dunn will have her 3 or 4 back in (to use a Trotting term) the ‘running line’. Expect him to bring her down the middle of the straight from the 300m & if she can finish off, she can win IMHO. I’ve backed her already @ $11, so the shortening $8.50 quote is good news, - 1 x 3 Units.
Box Trifecta: 1, 2, 4, 5, 9
These wet tracks in Sydney are beginning to annoy me. Not only does it make doing the form difficult, but the fields continually get ‘hammered’ with scratchings & that destroys the prices of those horses already backed!
Randwick Race 6 – The George Main (or if you prefer, "The Toothpaste Stakes")
8 runners – Winx is scaring away any competition! Will she win again? My gut feeling is Waller will scratch her again. I thought I heard somewhaere that the Top Weight will be scratched – anyone else hear that?
Le Romain was unlucky last start not to get us the money. At $15 I reckon he’s worth a small punt. Maybe an Exacta & Quinella too? Maybe bet like this: 3 Units the Win on Le Romain, 2 Units Exacta Winx/Le Romain, 5 Units Quinella Winx/Le Romain?
Randwick Race 8 – The Bill Richie
Interestingly, there are 2 x Godolphin Runners in the race & McDonald isn’t riding either of them.
He’s on one of the 4 Waller runners; Sadler’s Lake. Why is this? Is it because of the Inghams?
This horse has a reasonable wet record but will likely go back from the start, so that’s always a risk on a wet track. If he’s to figure in the finish, he’ll want them to be setting a good tempo up front. I reckon Lady Le Fay will probably do that. So at the price, I’m willing to gamble on Sadler’s Lake. If I can get $3.60 the PLACE, I’m very happy. Can I get $13 or $14 the win? We shall see. Big watch on No. 7 Tsarista – Berry has a very good strike rate when on Waller horses.
Box Trifecta: 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
Eagle Farm Race 7 - BM 75 1600m
I’m taking a punt on the weather & the track being wet. If it is (I’ve checked the forecast for Brisbane Airport which is near Eagle Farm Racecourse), then No. 4 Fusina is way over the odds @ $17. I’ve already taken it on UBET & the more rain the better for it.
I always look at Rob Heathcote runners 1st in Brisbane & I must admit I am a Jim Byrne fan too, so this 5 yr old will do me. I’m doing a ‘rain dance’ as we speak
Starting get closer to October Lads & that’s when the form begins to stack up.
Enjoy another day on the punt but tread carefully, particularly in Melbourne tomorrow.
by mighty_tiger_79 » Fri Sep 16, 2016 6:41 pm
by JK » Fri Sep 16, 2016 7:44 pm
by helicopterking » Sat Sep 17, 2016 8:51 am
by mighty_tiger_79 » Sat Sep 17, 2016 1:52 pm
by mighty_tiger_79 » Sat Sep 17, 2016 2:02 pm
by mighty_tiger_79 » Sat Sep 17, 2016 2:07 pm
by mighty_tiger_79 » Sat Sep 17, 2016 2:14 pm
by LPH » Sat Sep 17, 2016 2:15 pm
by mighty_tiger_79 » Sat Sep 17, 2016 2:16 pm
by mighty_tiger_79 » Sat Sep 17, 2016 2:17 pm
LPH wrote:MR 4 Box Trifecta pays $365
by mighty_tiger_79 » Sat Sep 17, 2016 2:20 pm
by Computer Crashed » Sat Sep 17, 2016 3:35 pm
by mighty_tiger_79 » Sat Sep 17, 2016 4:08 pm
by helicopterking » Sat Sep 17, 2016 4:09 pm
by mighty_tiger_79 » Sat Sep 17, 2016 4:09 pm
Computer Crashed wrote:I'm about to be found out as a mug punter or astute.
Has everyone over looked Real Love Mr8.
I'm on.
Bloody Hartnell has come back an impressive beast.
by mighty_tiger_79 » Sat Sep 17, 2016 4:10 pm
helicopterking wrote:Don't want to be anywhere less then 8 off the fence at Caulfield and Eagle Farm.
Competitions SANFL Official Site | Country Footy SA | Southern Football League | VFL Footy
Club Forums Snouts Louts | The Roost | Redlegs Forum |